Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration

The motion of waves in water causes the slow movement of drifting sea targets—a phenomenon usually ignored in target-drift prediction models for maritime search and rescue (SAR). This study examined the wave-induced drift’s influence on field-observation experiments involving two common, differently...

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Main Authors: Kui Zhu, Xueyao Chen, Lin Mu, Dingfeng Yu, Runze Yu, Zhaolong Sun, Tong Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1532757/full
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author Kui Zhu
Xueyao Chen
Lin Mu
Lin Mu
Lin Mu
Dingfeng Yu
Dingfeng Yu
Runze Yu
Zhaolong Sun
Tong Zhou
Tong Zhou
author_facet Kui Zhu
Xueyao Chen
Lin Mu
Lin Mu
Lin Mu
Dingfeng Yu
Dingfeng Yu
Runze Yu
Zhaolong Sun
Tong Zhou
Tong Zhou
author_sort Kui Zhu
collection DOAJ
description The motion of waves in water causes the slow movement of drifting sea targets—a phenomenon usually ignored in target-drift prediction models for maritime search and rescue (SAR). This study examined the wave-induced drift’s influence on field-observation experiments involving two common, differently sized SAR targets—an offshore fishing vessel (OFV) and a person in the water (PIW)—using parameter stepwise calibration and machine-learning (ML) methods. The sample of wave-induced drift velocity was obtained by gradually separating current-induced (CI) drift’s and wind-induced (WI) drift’s influence from the target-drift velocity using the least-square method and AP98 model. A force analysis method and three ML methods, long short-term memory (LSTM), back-propagation (BP) neural network, and random forest (RF), were used to fit the wave-induced drift velocity by combining eight different parameter schemes. Finally, the drift trajectories considering the influence of waves were fitted and verified based on 2 independent samples respectively. Compared with the force analysis method, the accuracy of the ML methods in the verification test was higher. In addition, the results show that for OFVs, considering wave-induced drift’s influence in the ensemble-trajectory prediction could improve the simulation accuracy. However, for a PIW, no significant improvement was observed. This result also indicates that wave-induced drift may not be simply ignored in large SAR targets’ drift prediction.
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spelling doaj-art-ca9006aea33e49429fd1d4ddd3fdeb282025-01-14T05:10:18ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452025-01-011110.3389/fmars.2024.15327571532757Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibrationKui Zhu0Xueyao Chen1Lin Mu2Lin Mu3Lin Mu4Dingfeng Yu5Dingfeng Yu6Runze Yu7Zhaolong Sun8Tong Zhou9Tong Zhou10College of Electrical Engineering, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan, ChinaCollege of Life Sciences and Oceanography, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, ChinaCollege of Marine Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, ChinaHubei Key Laboratory of Marine Electromagnetic Detection and Control, Wuhan, ChinaElectrical Engineering Department, Wuhan Second Ship Design and Research Institute, Wuhan, ChinaStrategic Consulting Center, PipeChina Engineering Technology Innovation Co. Ltd., Tianjin, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan, ChinaHubei Key Laboratory of Marine Electromagnetic Detection and Control, Wuhan, ChinaElectrical Engineering Department, Wuhan Second Ship Design and Research Institute, Wuhan, ChinaThe motion of waves in water causes the slow movement of drifting sea targets—a phenomenon usually ignored in target-drift prediction models for maritime search and rescue (SAR). This study examined the wave-induced drift’s influence on field-observation experiments involving two common, differently sized SAR targets—an offshore fishing vessel (OFV) and a person in the water (PIW)—using parameter stepwise calibration and machine-learning (ML) methods. The sample of wave-induced drift velocity was obtained by gradually separating current-induced (CI) drift’s and wind-induced (WI) drift’s influence from the target-drift velocity using the least-square method and AP98 model. A force analysis method and three ML methods, long short-term memory (LSTM), back-propagation (BP) neural network, and random forest (RF), were used to fit the wave-induced drift velocity by combining eight different parameter schemes. Finally, the drift trajectories considering the influence of waves were fitted and verified based on 2 independent samples respectively. Compared with the force analysis method, the accuracy of the ML methods in the verification test was higher. In addition, the results show that for OFVs, considering wave-induced drift’s influence in the ensemble-trajectory prediction could improve the simulation accuracy. However, for a PIW, no significant improvement was observed. This result also indicates that wave-induced drift may not be simply ignored in large SAR targets’ drift prediction.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1532757/fulltarget-drift predictionsearch and rescuewave-induced driftAP98 modelensemble simulations
spellingShingle Kui Zhu
Xueyao Chen
Lin Mu
Lin Mu
Lin Mu
Dingfeng Yu
Dingfeng Yu
Runze Yu
Zhaolong Sun
Tong Zhou
Tong Zhou
Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration
Frontiers in Marine Science
target-drift prediction
search and rescue
wave-induced drift
AP98 model
ensemble simulations
title Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration
title_full Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration
title_fullStr Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration
title_full_unstemmed Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration
title_short Modeling of wave-induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration
title_sort modeling of wave induced drift based on stepwise parameter calibration
topic target-drift prediction
search and rescue
wave-induced drift
AP98 model
ensemble simulations
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1532757/full
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