Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graph

Aiming at the problem of ignoring the impact of attack cost and intrusion intention on network security in the current network risk assessment model,in order to accurately assess the target network risk,a method of network intrusion intention analysis based on Bayesian attack graph was proposed.Base...

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Main Authors: Zhiyong LUO, Xu YANG, Jiahui LIU, Rui XU
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Journal on Communications 2020-09-01
Series:Tongxin xuebao
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2020172/
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author Zhiyong LUO
Xu YANG
Jiahui LIU
Rui XU
author_facet Zhiyong LUO
Xu YANG
Jiahui LIU
Rui XU
author_sort Zhiyong LUO
collection DOAJ
description Aiming at the problem of ignoring the impact of attack cost and intrusion intention on network security in the current network risk assessment model,in order to accurately assess the target network risk,a method of network intrusion intention analysis based on Bayesian attack graph was proposed.Based on the atomic attack probability calculated by vulnerability value,attack cost and attack benefit,the static risk assessment model was established in combination with the quantitative attack graph of Bayesian belief network,and the dynamic update model of intrusion intention was used to realize the dynamic assessment of network risk,which provided the basis for the dynamic defense measures of attack surface.Experiments show that the model is not only effective in evaluating the overall security of the network,but also feasible in predicting attack paths.
format Article
id doaj-art-ca5339e6993a4b0aa9d370c16340b3f9
institution Kabale University
issn 1000-436X
language zho
publishDate 2020-09-01
publisher Editorial Department of Journal on Communications
record_format Article
series Tongxin xuebao
spelling doaj-art-ca5339e6993a4b0aa9d370c16340b3f92025-01-14T07:19:56ZzhoEditorial Department of Journal on CommunicationsTongxin xuebao1000-436X2020-09-014116016959737447Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graphZhiyong LUOXu YANGJiahui LIURui XUAiming at the problem of ignoring the impact of attack cost and intrusion intention on network security in the current network risk assessment model,in order to accurately assess the target network risk,a method of network intrusion intention analysis based on Bayesian attack graph was proposed.Based on the atomic attack probability calculated by vulnerability value,attack cost and attack benefit,the static risk assessment model was established in combination with the quantitative attack graph of Bayesian belief network,and the dynamic update model of intrusion intention was used to realize the dynamic assessment of network risk,which provided the basis for the dynamic defense measures of attack surface.Experiments show that the model is not only effective in evaluating the overall security of the network,but also feasible in predicting attack paths.http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2020172/Bayesian belief networkattack graphnetwork securityintrusion intentionrisk assessment
spellingShingle Zhiyong LUO
Xu YANG
Jiahui LIU
Rui XU
Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graph
Tongxin xuebao
Bayesian belief network
attack graph
network security
intrusion intention
risk assessment
title Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graph
title_full Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graph
title_fullStr Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graph
title_full_unstemmed Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graph
title_short Network intrusion intention analysis model based on Bayesian attack graph
title_sort network intrusion intention analysis model based on bayesian attack graph
topic Bayesian belief network
attack graph
network security
intrusion intention
risk assessment
url http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2020172/
work_keys_str_mv AT zhiyongluo networkintrusionintentionanalysismodelbasedonbayesianattackgraph
AT xuyang networkintrusionintentionanalysismodelbasedonbayesianattackgraph
AT jiahuiliu networkintrusionintentionanalysismodelbasedonbayesianattackgraph
AT ruixu networkintrusionintentionanalysismodelbasedonbayesianattackgraph