A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR Model

For the purpose of accurate measurement of regional systemic financial risks and prevention of regional economic turmoil, this paper proposes a new measure called the CoCVaR model, based on the tail mean loss, which is applied to measure the impact of stock returns of each listed company on the over...

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Main Authors: Mingxin Li, Jun Tang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2050169
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author Mingxin Li
Jun Tang
author_facet Mingxin Li
Jun Tang
author_sort Mingxin Li
collection DOAJ
description For the purpose of accurate measurement of regional systemic financial risks and prevention of regional economic turmoil, this paper proposes a new measure called the CoCVaR model, based on the tail mean loss, which is applied to measure the impact of stock returns of each listed company on the overall stock returns in Guangdong Province, China, from January 2010 to December 2020. It is found that there are significant CoVaR and CoCVaR for real estate, finance, utilities, and energy companies, while the risk spillover to the real economy market in Guangdong Province is more significant when companies in these industries are in extreme situations. There are insignificant CoCVaR for daily consumption, information technology, and health care. The risk spillover to the real economy market in Guangdong Province is smaller when companies in these industries are in crisis.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1026-0226
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-c92afa5b616c4c278cd5692b7fdfcbad2025-02-03T05:52:56ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2021-01-01202110.1155/2021/20501692050169A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR ModelMingxin Li0Jun Tang1Business School, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, ChinaCollege of Science, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou 014010, ChinaFor the purpose of accurate measurement of regional systemic financial risks and prevention of regional economic turmoil, this paper proposes a new measure called the CoCVaR model, based on the tail mean loss, which is applied to measure the impact of stock returns of each listed company on the overall stock returns in Guangdong Province, China, from January 2010 to December 2020. It is found that there are significant CoVaR and CoCVaR for real estate, finance, utilities, and energy companies, while the risk spillover to the real economy market in Guangdong Province is more significant when companies in these industries are in extreme situations. There are insignificant CoCVaR for daily consumption, information technology, and health care. The risk spillover to the real economy market in Guangdong Province is smaller when companies in these industries are in crisis.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2050169
spellingShingle Mingxin Li
Jun Tang
A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR Model
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR Model
title_full A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR Model
title_fullStr A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR Model
title_full_unstemmed A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR Model
title_short A Study on Regional Financial Risks Based on CoCVaR Model
title_sort study on regional financial risks based on cocvar model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2050169
work_keys_str_mv AT mingxinli astudyonregionalfinancialrisksbasedoncocvarmodel
AT juntang astudyonregionalfinancialrisksbasedoncocvarmodel
AT mingxinli studyonregionalfinancialrisksbasedoncocvarmodel
AT juntang studyonregionalfinancialrisksbasedoncocvarmodel