A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting

Abstract Deep learning models are widely used for traffic forecasting on freeways due to their ability to learn complex temporal and spatial relationships. In particular, graph neural networks, which integrate graph theory into deep learning, have become popular for modeling traffic sensor networks....

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Main Authors: Semin Kwak, Danya Li, Nikolas Geroliminis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78148-1
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author Semin Kwak
Danya Li
Nikolas Geroliminis
author_facet Semin Kwak
Danya Li
Nikolas Geroliminis
author_sort Semin Kwak
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Deep learning models are widely used for traffic forecasting on freeways due to their ability to learn complex temporal and spatial relationships. In particular, graph neural networks, which integrate graph theory into deep learning, have become popular for modeling traffic sensor networks. However, traditional graph convolutional networks (GCNs) face limitations in capturing long-range spatial correlations, which can hinder accurate long-term predictions. To address this issue, we propose the Two-level Resolution Neural Network, which enhances interpretability by introducing two resolution blocks. The first block captures large-scale regional traffic patterns, while the second block, using a GCN, focuses on small-scale spatial correlations, informed by the regional predictions. This structure allows the model to intuitively integrate both local and distant traffic data, improving long-term forecasting. In addition to its predictive capabilities, TwoResNet offers enhanced interpretability, particularly in scenarios involving noisy or incomplete data.
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spelling doaj-art-c670eb2c77c7479c8a1645dc76067b7f2025-01-05T12:30:03ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-12-0114111710.1038/s41598-024-78148-1A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecastingSemin Kwak0Danya Li1Nikolas Geroliminis2Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Southern CaliforniaDepartment of Technology, Management and Economics, Technical University of Denmark (DTU)Department of Civil Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL)Abstract Deep learning models are widely used for traffic forecasting on freeways due to their ability to learn complex temporal and spatial relationships. In particular, graph neural networks, which integrate graph theory into deep learning, have become popular for modeling traffic sensor networks. However, traditional graph convolutional networks (GCNs) face limitations in capturing long-range spatial correlations, which can hinder accurate long-term predictions. To address this issue, we propose the Two-level Resolution Neural Network, which enhances interpretability by introducing two resolution blocks. The first block captures large-scale regional traffic patterns, while the second block, using a GCN, focuses on small-scale spatial correlations, informed by the regional predictions. This structure allows the model to intuitively integrate both local and distant traffic data, improving long-term forecasting. In addition to its predictive capabilities, TwoResNet offers enhanced interpretability, particularly in scenarios involving noisy or incomplete data.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78148-1Multivariate time-series forecastingFreeway sensor networkTraffic predictionTwo-level resolution neural networkGeometric deep learning
spellingShingle Semin Kwak
Danya Li
Nikolas Geroliminis
A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting
Scientific Reports
Multivariate time-series forecasting
Freeway sensor network
Traffic prediction
Two-level resolution neural network
Geometric deep learning
title A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting
title_full A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting
title_fullStr A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting
title_full_unstemmed A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting
title_short A two-level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting
title_sort two level resolution neural network with enhanced interpretability for freeway traffic forecasting
topic Multivariate time-series forecasting
Freeway sensor network
Traffic prediction
Two-level resolution neural network
Geometric deep learning
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78148-1
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