Finnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?

With the ascension of both Finland and Sweden to NATO, the Scandinavian and Baltic regions are facing the restructuring of the security architecture that can lead either toward more regional security or instability. This research aims to identify potential points of conflict between NATO and Russia...

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Main Author: Filipović Aleksa
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Institute for Political Studies, Belgrade 2024-01-01
Series:Srpska Politička Misao
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0354-5989/2024/0354-59892403151F.pdf
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author Filipović Aleksa
author_facet Filipović Aleksa
author_sort Filipović Aleksa
collection DOAJ
description With the ascension of both Finland and Sweden to NATO, the Scandinavian and Baltic regions are facing the restructuring of the security architecture that can lead either toward more regional security or instability. This research aims to identify potential points of conflict between NATO and Russia that can develop after Finland and Sweden joined NATO, and to give an assessment of the possibility of military escalation between Russia and NATO. This is achieved by employing content analysis during the research of the reports, strategies, and doctrines, as well as with employment of the case-study method, which was used when analyzing specific examples of the interaction between the Nordic countries, NATO, and Russia in the Scandinavian and Baltic regions. With three potential regional conflict points between NATO and Russia identified, which are the Baltic Sea/Kaliningrad, the Russo-Finnish border, and the Arctic region, it can be concluded that Finnish and Swedish NATO membership applications, as well as their ascension to NATO, are a cause for the increase of the conflict potential in the region, which can lead towards NATO-Russia military escalation and probable employment of nuclear weapons.
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spelling doaj-art-c59a501cae2d40fea6179752e991e4aa2025-01-14T11:09:34ZdeuInstitute for Political Studies, BelgradeSrpska Politička Misao0354-59892024-01-0185315117410.5937/spm85-449560354-59892403151FFinnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?Filipović Aleksa0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1394-0571Institute of European Studies, Belgrade, SerbiaWith the ascension of both Finland and Sweden to NATO, the Scandinavian and Baltic regions are facing the restructuring of the security architecture that can lead either toward more regional security or instability. This research aims to identify potential points of conflict between NATO and Russia that can develop after Finland and Sweden joined NATO, and to give an assessment of the possibility of military escalation between Russia and NATO. This is achieved by employing content analysis during the research of the reports, strategies, and doctrines, as well as with employment of the case-study method, which was used when analyzing specific examples of the interaction between the Nordic countries, NATO, and Russia in the Scandinavian and Baltic regions. With three potential regional conflict points between NATO and Russia identified, which are the Baltic Sea/Kaliningrad, the Russo-Finnish border, and the Arctic region, it can be concluded that Finnish and Swedish NATO membership applications, as well as their ascension to NATO, are a cause for the increase of the conflict potential in the region, which can lead towards NATO-Russia military escalation and probable employment of nuclear weapons.https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0354-5989/2024/0354-59892403151F.pdffinlandswedennatorussianordefcokaliningradbaltic seaarctica2/ad
spellingShingle Filipović Aleksa
Finnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?
Srpska Politička Misao
finland
sweden
nato
russia
nordefco
kaliningrad
baltic sea
arctic
a2/ad
title Finnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?
title_full Finnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?
title_fullStr Finnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?
title_full_unstemmed Finnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?
title_short Finnish and Swedish NATO membership: A path towards more regional security or instability?
title_sort finnish and swedish nato membership a path towards more regional security or instability
topic finland
sweden
nato
russia
nordefco
kaliningrad
baltic sea
arctic
a2/ad
url https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0354-5989/2024/0354-59892403151F.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT filipovicaleksa finnishandswedishnatomembershipapathtowardsmoreregionalsecurityorinstability