Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry

The paper presents the main aspects of the development and implementation of a system that allows predicting climate risks for forestry on the basis of retrospective and forecast data. The existing variants of software for determining the hazard level of climatic risks in forestry are considered. Th...

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Main Authors: Soroka Anastasia, Peresunko Evgeniya, Semyonova Ekaterina, Peresunko Pavel, Nedbaev Ivan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2024-01-01
Series:BIO Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2024/64/bioconf_ForestryForum2024_04005.pdf
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author Soroka Anastasia
Peresunko Evgeniya
Semyonova Ekaterina
Peresunko Pavel
Nedbaev Ivan
author_facet Soroka Anastasia
Peresunko Evgeniya
Semyonova Ekaterina
Peresunko Pavel
Nedbaev Ivan
author_sort Soroka Anastasia
collection DOAJ
description The paper presents the main aspects of the development and implementation of a system that allows predicting climate risks for forestry on the basis of retrospective and forecast data. The existing variants of software for determining the hazard level of climatic risks in forestry are considered. The methods of analyzing climatic data are described and an original algorithm for calculating the danger level of risks is proposed. Particular attention is paid to the practical application of the system: examples of its use to assess the risks of forest fires, forest pests and diseases, changes in productivity and species composition, as well as the death of forest plantations from extreme weather events are given. Recommendations derived from the interpretation of the program results can be used by executive authorities for forest planning purposes, in particular, for the development of adaptation measures.
format Article
id doaj-art-c4ebc12c803a48fab2e9ac335b74ccd7
institution Kabale University
issn 2117-4458
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher EDP Sciences
record_format Article
series BIO Web of Conferences
spelling doaj-art-c4ebc12c803a48fab2e9ac335b74ccd72024-12-06T09:33:26ZengEDP SciencesBIO Web of Conferences2117-44582024-01-011450400510.1051/bioconf/202414504005bioconf_ForestryForum2024_04005Program system for climate risk assessment in forestrySoroka Anastasia0Peresunko Evgeniya1Semyonova Ekaterina2Peresunko Pavel3Nedbaev Ivan4St. Petersburg Research Institute of ForestrySiberian Federal UniversitySt. Petersburg Research Institute of ForestrySiberian Federal UniversitySt. Petersburg Research Institute of ForestryThe paper presents the main aspects of the development and implementation of a system that allows predicting climate risks for forestry on the basis of retrospective and forecast data. The existing variants of software for determining the hazard level of climatic risks in forestry are considered. The methods of analyzing climatic data are described and an original algorithm for calculating the danger level of risks is proposed. Particular attention is paid to the practical application of the system: examples of its use to assess the risks of forest fires, forest pests and diseases, changes in productivity and species composition, as well as the death of forest plantations from extreme weather events are given. Recommendations derived from the interpretation of the program results can be used by executive authorities for forest planning purposes, in particular, for the development of adaptation measures.https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2024/64/bioconf_ForestryForum2024_04005.pdf
spellingShingle Soroka Anastasia
Peresunko Evgeniya
Semyonova Ekaterina
Peresunko Pavel
Nedbaev Ivan
Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
BIO Web of Conferences
title Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
title_full Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
title_fullStr Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
title_full_unstemmed Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
title_short Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
title_sort program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
url https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2024/64/bioconf_ForestryForum2024_04005.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT sorokaanastasia programsystemforclimateriskassessmentinforestry
AT peresunkoevgeniya programsystemforclimateriskassessmentinforestry
AT semyonovaekaterina programsystemforclimateriskassessmentinforestry
AT peresunkopavel programsystemforclimateriskassessmentinforestry
AT nedbaevivan programsystemforclimateriskassessmentinforestry