A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention Mechanism

This paper proposes a short-term electric load forecasting method combining convolutional neural networks and gated recurrent units with an attention mechanism. By integrating CNNs and GRUs, the method can fully leverage the strengths of CNNs in feature extraction and the advantages of GRUs in seque...

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Main Authors: Qingbo Hua, Zengliang Fan, Wei Mu, Jiqiang Cui, Rongxin Xing, Huabo Liu, Junwei Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/106
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author Qingbo Hua
Zengliang Fan
Wei Mu
Jiqiang Cui
Rongxin Xing
Huabo Liu
Junwei Gao
author_facet Qingbo Hua
Zengliang Fan
Wei Mu
Jiqiang Cui
Rongxin Xing
Huabo Liu
Junwei Gao
author_sort Qingbo Hua
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes a short-term electric load forecasting method combining convolutional neural networks and gated recurrent units with an attention mechanism. By integrating CNNs and GRUs, the method can fully leverage the strengths of CNNs in feature extraction and the advantages of GRUs in sequence modeling, enabling the model to comprehend signal data more comprehensively and effectively extract features from sequential data. The introduction of the attention mechanism allows the traditional model to dynamically focus on important parts of the input data while ignoring the unimportant parts. This capability enables the model to utilize input information more efficiently, thereby enhancing model performance. This paper applies the proposed model to a dataset comprising regional electric load and meteorological data for experimentation. The results show that compared with other common models, the proposed model effectively reduces the mean absolute error and root mean square error (121.51 and 263.43, respectively) and accurately predicts the short-term change in regional power load.
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id doaj-art-c41535e5917f4c68b9404085f7525d4c
institution Kabale University
issn 1996-1073
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Energies
spelling doaj-art-c41535e5917f4c68b9404085f7525d4c2025-01-10T13:17:07ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732024-12-0118110610.3390/en18010106A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention MechanismQingbo Hua0Zengliang Fan1Wei Mu2Jiqiang Cui3Rongxin Xing4Huabo Liu5Junwei Gao6Qingdao Elink Information Technology Co., Ltd., Qingdao 266033, ChinaQingdao Elink Information Technology Co., Ltd., Qingdao 266033, ChinaQingdao Elink Information Technology Co., Ltd., Qingdao 266033, ChinaSchool of Automation, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266100, ChinaSchool of Automation, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266100, ChinaSchool of Automation, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266100, ChinaSchool of Automation, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266100, ChinaThis paper proposes a short-term electric load forecasting method combining convolutional neural networks and gated recurrent units with an attention mechanism. By integrating CNNs and GRUs, the method can fully leverage the strengths of CNNs in feature extraction and the advantages of GRUs in sequence modeling, enabling the model to comprehend signal data more comprehensively and effectively extract features from sequential data. The introduction of the attention mechanism allows the traditional model to dynamically focus on important parts of the input data while ignoring the unimportant parts. This capability enables the model to utilize input information more efficiently, thereby enhancing model performance. This paper applies the proposed model to a dataset comprising regional electric load and meteorological data for experimentation. The results show that compared with other common models, the proposed model effectively reduces the mean absolute error and root mean square error (121.51 and 263.43, respectively) and accurately predicts the short-term change in regional power load.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/106attention mechanismconvolutional neural networkpower load forecasting
spellingShingle Qingbo Hua
Zengliang Fan
Wei Mu
Jiqiang Cui
Rongxin Xing
Huabo Liu
Junwei Gao
A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention Mechanism
Energies
attention mechanism
convolutional neural network
power load forecasting
title A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention Mechanism
title_full A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention Mechanism
title_fullStr A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention Mechanism
title_full_unstemmed A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention Mechanism
title_short A Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Using CNN-GRU with an Attention Mechanism
title_sort short term power load forecasting method using cnn gru with an attention mechanism
topic attention mechanism
convolutional neural network
power load forecasting
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/106
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