The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing Market

This paper investigates the anchoring bias in the real estate market, focusing on the impact of uninformative random values on price estimations. Through a randomized controlled trial, the study examines whether selective accessibility contributes to the anchoring effect and to what extent the bias...

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Main Authors: Węgrzyn Joanna, Kuta Julia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2024-12-01
Series:Real Estate Management and Valuation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/remav-2024-0031
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author Węgrzyn Joanna
Kuta Julia
author_facet Węgrzyn Joanna
Kuta Julia
author_sort Węgrzyn Joanna
collection DOAJ
description This paper investigates the anchoring bias in the real estate market, focusing on the impact of uninformative random values on price estimations. Through a randomized controlled trial, the study examines whether selective accessibility contributes to the anchoring effect and to what extent the bias is transmitted from estimated asking prices to transaction prices on the primary housing market. The study was conducted in 2023 among Krakow University of Economics students on the example of the Krakow housing market in Poland. A multiple regression model indicates that randomly assigned numbers serve as cues affecting price estimations, with potential differences of up to 10.5% of the asking price offered by a developer. Additionally, gender and decision-making competencies influence estimation patterns, suggesting varying attitudes towards price-setting strategies that can be implemented by developers. These findings contribute to understanding the complexities of decision-making in real estate markets and highlight avenues for further research.
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publishDate 2024-12-01
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series Real Estate Management and Valuation
spelling doaj-art-c4092f6f64ff43068e60a91ae4ef8c3c2025-01-02T05:59:44ZengSciendoReal Estate Management and Valuation2300-52892024-12-0132411110.2478/remav-2024-0031The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing MarketWęgrzyn Joanna0Kuta Julia1Department of Real Estate and Investment Economics, Krakow University of Economics, ul. Rakowicka 27, 31-510Kraków, PolandDepartment of Real Estate and Investment Economics, Krakow University of Economics, ul. Rakowicka 27, 31-510Kraków, PolandThis paper investigates the anchoring bias in the real estate market, focusing on the impact of uninformative random values on price estimations. Through a randomized controlled trial, the study examines whether selective accessibility contributes to the anchoring effect and to what extent the bias is transmitted from estimated asking prices to transaction prices on the primary housing market. The study was conducted in 2023 among Krakow University of Economics students on the example of the Krakow housing market in Poland. A multiple regression model indicates that randomly assigned numbers serve as cues affecting price estimations, with potential differences of up to 10.5% of the asking price offered by a developer. Additionally, gender and decision-making competencies influence estimation patterns, suggesting varying attitudes towards price-setting strategies that can be implemented by developers. These findings contribute to understanding the complexities of decision-making in real estate markets and highlight avenues for further research.https://doi.org/10.2478/remav-2024-0031anchoringbehavioral real estatehousingexperimentpolandc91d10d91r30
spellingShingle Węgrzyn Joanna
Kuta Julia
The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing Market
Real Estate Management and Valuation
anchoring
behavioral real estate
housing
experiment
poland
c91
d10
d91
r30
title The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing Market
title_full The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing Market
title_fullStr The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing Market
title_full_unstemmed The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing Market
title_short The Effect of Anchoring Bias on the Estimation of Asking and Transaction Prices in the Housing Market
title_sort effect of anchoring bias on the estimation of asking and transaction prices in the housing market
topic anchoring
behavioral real estate
housing
experiment
poland
c91
d10
d91
r30
url https://doi.org/10.2478/remav-2024-0031
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