A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMY

Developing an effective employment system in the Arctic regions in the context of stagnant demographic and migration trends requires identifying types of economic activities that significantly influence employment growth. This necessity underscores the relevance of the research. The study aims to d...

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Main Author: Vladimir Nikolaevich Myakshin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Russian Academy of Sciences, Federal Research Centre Kola Science Centre 2024-12-01
Series:Север и рынок: формирование экономического порядка
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author Vladimir Nikolaevich Myakshin
author_facet Vladimir Nikolaevich Myakshin
author_sort Vladimir Nikolaevich Myakshin
collection DOAJ
description Developing an effective employment system in the Arctic regions in the context of stagnant demographic and migration trends requires identifying types of economic activities that significantly influence employment growth. This necessity underscores the relevance of the research. The study aims to determine sectoral priorities for boosting employment by identifying key employment growth drivers. The research hypothesis posits that sectors of economic specialization with a positive regional component in structural changes (indicating favorable regional factors) should be classified as employment growth drivers. To analyze the sectoral employment structures of the Arctic regions, the shift-share analysis method was employed, enabling the evaluation of the impact of national, sectoral, and regional factors on regional employment. This was complemented by the calculation of localization coefficients to assess the competitiveness and growth potential of economic activities from an employment perspective. The study’s primary contribution lies in developing an algorithm for identifying key employment growth drivers through structural change analysis and specialization analysis. The research introduces a novel classification system for economic activities based on localization coefficients and regional structural shifts. This classification distinguishes three groups: key employment growth drivers, potential employment growth drivers, and possible future employment growth drivers. The proposed methodology was tested using official data from the Federal State Statistics Service for the Arctic regions. The study assessed the employment growth potential of various economic activities and classified them according to the defined criteria. Identifying key employment growth drivers contributes to the scientific foundation of regional employment policies, a critical component of socio-economic development in the Arctic economy. This emphasizes the study’s relevance and its scientific and practical significance. Future research should focus on developing models that account for interrelations between economic activities and their multiplier effects.
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series Север и рынок: формирование экономического порядка
spelling doaj-art-bd2a923a6fcc423e8beb3d0c2e4d195a2025-01-10T02:38:39ZengThe Russian Academy of Sciences, Federal Research Centre Kola Science CentreСевер и рынок: формирование экономического порядка2220-802X2024-12-0127472410.37614/2220-802X.4.2024.86.001A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMYVladimir Nikolaevich Myakshin0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3989-7367Laverov Federal Centre for Integrated Arctic Research of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Arkhangelsk, RussiaDeveloping an effective employment system in the Arctic regions in the context of stagnant demographic and migration trends requires identifying types of economic activities that significantly influence employment growth. This necessity underscores the relevance of the research. The study aims to determine sectoral priorities for boosting employment by identifying key employment growth drivers. The research hypothesis posits that sectors of economic specialization with a positive regional component in structural changes (indicating favorable regional factors) should be classified as employment growth drivers. To analyze the sectoral employment structures of the Arctic regions, the shift-share analysis method was employed, enabling the evaluation of the impact of national, sectoral, and regional factors on regional employment. This was complemented by the calculation of localization coefficients to assess the competitiveness and growth potential of economic activities from an employment perspective. The study’s primary contribution lies in developing an algorithm for identifying key employment growth drivers through structural change analysis and specialization analysis. The research introduces a novel classification system for economic activities based on localization coefficients and regional structural shifts. This classification distinguishes three groups: key employment growth drivers, potential employment growth drivers, and possible future employment growth drivers. The proposed methodology was tested using official data from the Federal State Statistics Service for the Arctic regions. The study assessed the employment growth potential of various economic activities and classified them according to the defined criteria. Identifying key employment growth drivers contributes to the scientific foundation of regional employment policies, a critical component of socio-economic development in the Arctic economy. This emphasizes the study’s relevance and its scientific and practical significance. Future research should focus on developing models that account for interrelations between economic activities and their multiplier effects.arctic regionsregional employment structurestructural change componentseconomic activity typesspecialization sectorsregional employment policy.
spellingShingle Vladimir Nikolaevich Myakshin
A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMY
Север и рынок: формирование экономического порядка
arctic regions
regional employment structure
structural change components
economic activity types
specialization sectors
regional employment policy.
title A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMY
title_full A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMY
title_fullStr A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMY
title_full_unstemmed A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMY
title_short A METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR IDENTIFYING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH DRIVERS IN THE ARCTIC ECONOMY
title_sort methodological framework for identifying employment growth drivers in the arctic economy
topic arctic regions
regional employment structure
structural change components
economic activity types
specialization sectors
regional employment policy.
work_keys_str_mv AT vladimirnikolaevichmyakshin amethodologicalframeworkforidentifyingemploymentgrowthdriversinthearcticeconomy
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