Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic Accidents

Expressway traffic accidents often result in severe congestion, with their unpredictable nature complicating timely and effective response measures. This paper presents a comprehensive method for accurately estimating and analyzing the spatiotemporal delay effects of expressway accidents through the...

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Main Authors: Yunfei Zhang, Zhengrui Pan, Fangqi Zhu, Chaoyang Shi, Xue Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/13/11/407
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author Yunfei Zhang
Zhengrui Pan
Fangqi Zhu
Chaoyang Shi
Xue Yang
author_facet Yunfei Zhang
Zhengrui Pan
Fangqi Zhu
Chaoyang Shi
Xue Yang
author_sort Yunfei Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Expressway traffic accidents often result in severe congestion, with their unpredictable nature complicating timely and effective response measures. This paper presents a comprehensive method for accurately estimating and analyzing the spatiotemporal delay effects of expressway accidents through the integration of multi-source geographic data. The innovation lies in utilizing real-world vehicle trajectory data, combined with a Traffic Performance Index (TPI), to quantitatively assess delay impacts. By applying spatial clustering and hotspot detection techniques, we investigate the distribution patterns of delays and further employ a Spatial Error Model (SEM) to examine the relationships between accident characteristics and associated delay effects. Using expressway accident data and vehicle trajectory records from Hunan Province, the results demonstrate that the TPI-based approach effectively captures the duration, extent, and severity of traffic delays. Moreover, significant correlations are identified between delay impacts and specific accident characteristics, such as accident type, road type, road environment, pre-accident vehicle speed, and secondary accidents. This approach provides traffic management authorities with actionable insights into the overall roadway impact, facilitating targeted emergency response strategies and informing road usage policies tailored to the characteristics of accident impacts, thus helping to mitigate future risks.
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spelling doaj-art-bbe92286abeb43b6b1b78e0a5e296dcd2024-11-26T18:06:27ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642024-11-01131140710.3390/ijgi13110407Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic AccidentsYunfei Zhang0Zhengrui Pan1Fangqi Zhu2Chaoyang Shi3Xue Yang4School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410011, ChinaSchool of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410011, ChinaSchool of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410011, ChinaSchool of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430079, ChinaSchool of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaExpressway traffic accidents often result in severe congestion, with their unpredictable nature complicating timely and effective response measures. This paper presents a comprehensive method for accurately estimating and analyzing the spatiotemporal delay effects of expressway accidents through the integration of multi-source geographic data. The innovation lies in utilizing real-world vehicle trajectory data, combined with a Traffic Performance Index (TPI), to quantitatively assess delay impacts. By applying spatial clustering and hotspot detection techniques, we investigate the distribution patterns of delays and further employ a Spatial Error Model (SEM) to examine the relationships between accident characteristics and associated delay effects. Using expressway accident data and vehicle trajectory records from Hunan Province, the results demonstrate that the TPI-based approach effectively captures the duration, extent, and severity of traffic delays. Moreover, significant correlations are identified between delay impacts and specific accident characteristics, such as accident type, road type, road environment, pre-accident vehicle speed, and secondary accidents. This approach provides traffic management authorities with actionable insights into the overall roadway impact, facilitating targeted emergency response strategies and informing road usage policies tailored to the characteristics of accident impacts, thus helping to mitigate future risks.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/13/11/407traffic accidentspatiotemporal delay effectquantitative analysisSEMexpressway
spellingShingle Yunfei Zhang
Zhengrui Pan
Fangqi Zhu
Chaoyang Shi
Xue Yang
Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic Accidents
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
traffic accident
spatiotemporal delay effect
quantitative analysis
SEM
expressway
title Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic Accidents
title_full Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic Accidents
title_fullStr Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic Accidents
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic Accidents
title_short Quantitative Estimation and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Delay Effects in Expressway Traffic Accidents
title_sort quantitative estimation and analysis of spatiotemporal delay effects in expressway traffic accidents
topic traffic accident
spatiotemporal delay effect
quantitative analysis
SEM
expressway
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/13/11/407
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AT zhengruipan quantitativeestimationandanalysisofspatiotemporaldelayeffectsinexpresswaytrafficaccidents
AT fangqizhu quantitativeestimationandanalysisofspatiotemporaldelayeffectsinexpresswaytrafficaccidents
AT chaoyangshi quantitativeestimationandanalysisofspatiotemporaldelayeffectsinexpresswaytrafficaccidents
AT xueyang quantitativeestimationandanalysisofspatiotemporaldelayeffectsinexpresswaytrafficaccidents