Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19

The current study investigates the intraday dynamics of futures and spot markets in India. By analyzing one-minute data of Nifty 50 and the associated futures index, the study finds that both the markets are cointegrated. The results of the VECM reveal that any disequilibrium between the spot and fu...

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Main Authors: Mohammed Arshad Khan, Md. Mobashshir Hussain, Asif Pervez, Mohd Atif, Rohit Bansal, Hamad A. Alhumoudi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2164974
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author Mohammed Arshad Khan
Md. Mobashshir Hussain
Asif Pervez
Mohd Atif
Rohit Bansal
Hamad A. Alhumoudi
author_facet Mohammed Arshad Khan
Md. Mobashshir Hussain
Asif Pervez
Mohd Atif
Rohit Bansal
Hamad A. Alhumoudi
author_sort Mohammed Arshad Khan
collection DOAJ
description The current study investigates the intraday dynamics of futures and spot markets in India. By analyzing one-minute data of Nifty 50 and the associated futures index, the study finds that both the markets are cointegrated. The results of the VECM reveal that any disequilibrium between the spot and futures market is restored by the spot market. Granger causality tests reveal that the spot and futures markets have a bidirectional causal relationship. Common factor weights and Hasbrouck’s information share (IS) reveal the greater role of the futures market in price discovery. Gonzalo and Granger's common factor model indicates that the permanent factor is made up of futures series only. Using the BEK-GARCH model, we found two-way volatility spillovers between the spot and futures markets. The futures market is found to have a greater impact in terms of volatility spillovers also. The findings of our research are relevant to investors, money managers, traders, and policymakers.
format Article
id doaj-art-bae21c7d0f314b7e8bcf3488c09fb91f
institution OA Journals
issn 2314-4785
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publishDate 2022-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Journal of Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-bae21c7d0f314b7e8bcf3488c09fb91f2025-08-20T02:18:42ZengWileyJournal of Mathematics2314-47852022-01-01202210.1155/2022/2164974Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19Mohammed Arshad Khan0Md. Mobashshir Hussain1Asif Pervez2Mohd Atif3Rohit Bansal4Hamad A. Alhumoudi5Department of AccountancyDepartment of Commerce and Business StudiesCentre for Distance and Online EducationDepartment of Commerce and Business StudiesDepartment of Management StudiesDepartment of AccountancyThe current study investigates the intraday dynamics of futures and spot markets in India. By analyzing one-minute data of Nifty 50 and the associated futures index, the study finds that both the markets are cointegrated. The results of the VECM reveal that any disequilibrium between the spot and futures market is restored by the spot market. Granger causality tests reveal that the spot and futures markets have a bidirectional causal relationship. Common factor weights and Hasbrouck’s information share (IS) reveal the greater role of the futures market in price discovery. Gonzalo and Granger's common factor model indicates that the permanent factor is made up of futures series only. Using the BEK-GARCH model, we found two-way volatility spillovers between the spot and futures markets. The futures market is found to have a greater impact in terms of volatility spillovers also. The findings of our research are relevant to investors, money managers, traders, and policymakers.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2164974
spellingShingle Mohammed Arshad Khan
Md. Mobashshir Hussain
Asif Pervez
Mohd Atif
Rohit Bansal
Hamad A. Alhumoudi
Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19
Journal of Mathematics
title Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19
title_full Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19
title_fullStr Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19
title_short Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19
title_sort intraday price discovery between spot and futures markets of nifty 50 an empirical study during the times of covid 19
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2164974
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