Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic Model

Cholera is a global threat to public health and is an indicator of inequity and lack of social development. By the World Health Organization (WHO), there are 1.3–4.0 million cases of cholera and 21,000–143,000 deaths worldwide due to the infection each year. This innovative work discusses the spread...

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Main Authors: Muath Awadalla, Tahir Nawaz Cheema, Ali Raza, Eugenio Rocha, Sharafat Ali, Muhammad Bilal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/ddns/9677485
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author Muath Awadalla
Tahir Nawaz Cheema
Ali Raza
Eugenio Rocha
Sharafat Ali
Muhammad Bilal
author_facet Muath Awadalla
Tahir Nawaz Cheema
Ali Raza
Eugenio Rocha
Sharafat Ali
Muhammad Bilal
author_sort Muath Awadalla
collection DOAJ
description Cholera is a global threat to public health and is an indicator of inequity and lack of social development. By the World Health Organization (WHO), there are 1.3–4.0 million cases of cholera and 21,000–143,000 deaths worldwide due to the infection each year. This innovative work discusses the spread of the cholera virus; the model of this disease was formulated mathematically and solved with the help of the artificial neural network technique. The developed model identified the nonlinear ordinary differential equations represented by susceptible (Sc), vaccinated (Vc), infectious (Ic), recovery (Rc), and concentration of cholera in water (Bc) and the cholera model reference dataset is formed using the explicit Runge–Kutta method. A dataset is arbitrarily used for each cyclic update in Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation for the numerical study of cholera dynamics. The Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation is implemented to refine the dataset of the cholera model for training, testing, and validation. The accuracy of the proposed technique is evaluated through mean squared error (MSE), error histograms, merit functions, reliable performance, and regression. These findings underscore the potential of intelligent optimization to enhance the precision of epidemic predictions and inform more effective, targeted cholera control strategies. Thus, intelligent optimization offers a valuable tool for public health response in vulnerable areas.
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issn 1607-887X
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spelling doaj-art-bad9b4f695df44f18b4b04a394723c7d2024-12-27T00:00:11ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1607-887X2024-01-01202410.1155/ddns/9677485Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic ModelMuath Awadalla0Tahir Nawaz Cheema1Ali Raza2Eugenio Rocha3Sharafat Ali4Muhammad Bilal5Department of Mathematics and StatisticsDepartment of MathematicsDepartment of Physical SciencesCenter of Research and Development in Mathematics and ApplicationsDepartment of MathematicsCenter of Research and Development in Mathematics and ApplicationsCholera is a global threat to public health and is an indicator of inequity and lack of social development. By the World Health Organization (WHO), there are 1.3–4.0 million cases of cholera and 21,000–143,000 deaths worldwide due to the infection each year. This innovative work discusses the spread of the cholera virus; the model of this disease was formulated mathematically and solved with the help of the artificial neural network technique. The developed model identified the nonlinear ordinary differential equations represented by susceptible (Sc), vaccinated (Vc), infectious (Ic), recovery (Rc), and concentration of cholera in water (Bc) and the cholera model reference dataset is formed using the explicit Runge–Kutta method. A dataset is arbitrarily used for each cyclic update in Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation for the numerical study of cholera dynamics. The Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation is implemented to refine the dataset of the cholera model for training, testing, and validation. The accuracy of the proposed technique is evaluated through mean squared error (MSE), error histograms, merit functions, reliable performance, and regression. These findings underscore the potential of intelligent optimization to enhance the precision of epidemic predictions and inform more effective, targeted cholera control strategies. Thus, intelligent optimization offers a valuable tool for public health response in vulnerable areas.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/ddns/9677485
spellingShingle Muath Awadalla
Tahir Nawaz Cheema
Ali Raza
Eugenio Rocha
Sharafat Ali
Muhammad Bilal
Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic Model
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic Model
title_full Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic Model
title_fullStr Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic Model
title_full_unstemmed Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic Model
title_short Intelligent Optimization Analysis of the Cholera Epidemic Model
title_sort intelligent optimization analysis of the cholera epidemic model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/ddns/9677485
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AT tahirnawazcheema intelligentoptimizationanalysisofthecholeraepidemicmodel
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AT eugeniorocha intelligentoptimizationanalysisofthecholeraepidemicmodel
AT sharafatali intelligentoptimizationanalysisofthecholeraepidemicmodel
AT muhammadbilal intelligentoptimizationanalysisofthecholeraepidemicmodel