Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid Cities

The purpose of the study is to develop a general method to predict local temperature changes from mitigating the urban heat island effect using local climate engineering. Specifically, the effects of a plume of calcite particles above cities have been found. Previous modeling work has been carried o...

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Main Author: Alan S. Hoback
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Applied Sciences
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/285
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author Alan S. Hoback
author_facet Alan S. Hoback
author_sort Alan S. Hoback
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of the study is to develop a general method to predict local temperature changes from mitigating the urban heat island effect using local climate engineering. Specifically, the effects of a plume of calcite particles above cities have been found. Previous modeling work has been carried out with supercomputers, but those models have limited geographies and timelines. The main goal of this work is to produce a method that can be applied more generally and more quickly. This overcomes limited modeling data in arid regions. Arid cities show the most effective use of calcite plumes for local solar radiation management, but those areas have limited data. The new method is to use numerical fit techniques using actual weather data. The default heating and cooling rates are fit to historic rates, and then the radiative properties of the calcite are used to predict the change in the heat transfer rates. Air temperatures at a standard height of 2 m are predicted. The key findings are that the numerical fit gives comparable results to the full supercomputer model, but the numerical fit gives predictions of greater temperature change. This was explained as primarily due to how advection is handled differently by the methods. Adjustments in the methods are discussed so that the effect of advection is included. The conclusion is that numerical fit provides a method that can easily be applied to arid regions.
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spelling doaj-art-ba3a96c773954d65afadc3e9a238cdd92025-01-10T13:15:02ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-12-0115128510.3390/app15010285Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid CitiesAlan S. Hoback0College of Engineering & Science, University of Detroit Mercy, Detroit, MI 48221, USAThe purpose of the study is to develop a general method to predict local temperature changes from mitigating the urban heat island effect using local climate engineering. Specifically, the effects of a plume of calcite particles above cities have been found. Previous modeling work has been carried out with supercomputers, but those models have limited geographies and timelines. The main goal of this work is to produce a method that can be applied more generally and more quickly. This overcomes limited modeling data in arid regions. Arid cities show the most effective use of calcite plumes for local solar radiation management, but those areas have limited data. The new method is to use numerical fit techniques using actual weather data. The default heating and cooling rates are fit to historic rates, and then the radiative properties of the calcite are used to predict the change in the heat transfer rates. Air temperatures at a standard height of 2 m are predicted. The key findings are that the numerical fit gives comparable results to the full supercomputer model, but the numerical fit gives predictions of greater temperature change. This was explained as primarily due to how advection is handled differently by the methods. Adjustments in the methods are discussed so that the effect of advection is included. The conclusion is that numerical fit provides a method that can easily be applied to arid regions.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/285urban heat mitigationarid climatessolar radiation managementsingle column modelaerosol reflectivity
spellingShingle Alan S. Hoback
Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid Cities
Applied Sciences
urban heat mitigation
arid climates
solar radiation management
single column model
aerosol reflectivity
title Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid Cities
title_full Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid Cities
title_fullStr Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid Cities
title_full_unstemmed Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid Cities
title_short Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid Cities
title_sort numerical fit modeling for temperature mitigation in arid cities
topic urban heat mitigation
arid climates
solar radiation management
single column model
aerosol reflectivity
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/285
work_keys_str_mv AT alanshoback numericalfitmodelingfortemperaturemitigationinaridcities