Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss

Background and objectivesDiagnosis and treatment of infertility and pregnancy loss are complicated by various factors. We aimed to develop a simpler, more efficient system for diagnosing infertility and pregnancy loss.MethodsThis study included 333 female patients with infertility and 319 female pat...

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Main Authors: Rui Zhang, Yuanbing Guo, Xiaonan Zhai, Juan Wang, Xiaoyan Hao, Liu Yang, Lei Zhou, Jiawei Gao, Jiayun Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1544724/full
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author Rui Zhang
Yuanbing Guo
Xiaonan Zhai
Juan Wang
Xiaoyan Hao
Liu Yang
Lei Zhou
Jiawei Gao
Jiayun Liu
author_facet Rui Zhang
Yuanbing Guo
Xiaonan Zhai
Juan Wang
Xiaoyan Hao
Liu Yang
Lei Zhou
Jiawei Gao
Jiayun Liu
author_sort Rui Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Background and objectivesDiagnosis and treatment of infertility and pregnancy loss are complicated by various factors. We aimed to develop a simpler, more efficient system for diagnosing infertility and pregnancy loss.MethodsThis study included 333 female patients with infertility and 319 female patients with pregnancy loss, as well as 327 healthy individuals for modeling; 1264 female patients with infertility and 1030 female patients with pregnancy loss, as well as 1059 healthy individuals for validating the models. The average age and basic information were matched between the groups. Three methods were used for screening 100+ clinical indicators, and five machine learning algorithms were used to develop and evaluate diagnostic models based on the most relevant indicators.ResultsMultivariate analysis revealed significant differences in several factors between the patients and the control group. 25-hydroxy vitamin D3 (25OHVD3) was the factor exhibiting the most prominent difference, and most patients presented deficiency in the levels of this vitamin. 25OHVD3 is associated with blood lipids, hormones, thyroid function, human papillomavirus infection, hepatitis B infection, sedimentation rate, renal function, coagulation function, and amino acids in patients with infertility. The model for infertility diagnosis included eleven factors and exhibited area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity values higher than 0.958, 86.52%, and 91.23%, respectively. The model for potential pregnancy loss was also developed using five machine learning algorithms and was based on 7 indicators. According to the results obtained from the testing set, the sensitivity was higher than 92.02%, the specificity was higher than 95.18%, the accuracy was higher than 94.34%, and the AUC was higher than 0.972.ConclusionThe simplicity, good diagnostic performance, and high sensitivity of the models presented here may facilitate early detection, treatment, and prevention of infertility and pregnancy loss.
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publishDate 2025-07-01
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spelling doaj-art-b7ea5e3b1c24471ab5ea16c5c8b2fbe92025-08-20T03:51:25ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922025-07-011610.3389/fendo.2025.15447241544724Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy lossRui ZhangYuanbing GuoXiaonan ZhaiJuan WangXiaoyan HaoLiu YangLei ZhouJiawei GaoJiayun LiuBackground and objectivesDiagnosis and treatment of infertility and pregnancy loss are complicated by various factors. We aimed to develop a simpler, more efficient system for diagnosing infertility and pregnancy loss.MethodsThis study included 333 female patients with infertility and 319 female patients with pregnancy loss, as well as 327 healthy individuals for modeling; 1264 female patients with infertility and 1030 female patients with pregnancy loss, as well as 1059 healthy individuals for validating the models. The average age and basic information were matched between the groups. Three methods were used for screening 100+ clinical indicators, and five machine learning algorithms were used to develop and evaluate diagnostic models based on the most relevant indicators.ResultsMultivariate analysis revealed significant differences in several factors between the patients and the control group. 25-hydroxy vitamin D3 (25OHVD3) was the factor exhibiting the most prominent difference, and most patients presented deficiency in the levels of this vitamin. 25OHVD3 is associated with blood lipids, hormones, thyroid function, human papillomavirus infection, hepatitis B infection, sedimentation rate, renal function, coagulation function, and amino acids in patients with infertility. The model for infertility diagnosis included eleven factors and exhibited area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity values higher than 0.958, 86.52%, and 91.23%, respectively. The model for potential pregnancy loss was also developed using five machine learning algorithms and was based on 7 indicators. According to the results obtained from the testing set, the sensitivity was higher than 92.02%, the specificity was higher than 95.18%, the accuracy was higher than 94.34%, and the AUC was higher than 0.972.ConclusionThe simplicity, good diagnostic performance, and high sensitivity of the models presented here may facilitate early detection, treatment, and prevention of infertility and pregnancy loss.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1544724/fullinfertilitypregnancy lossmachine learning25OHVD3diagnosis
spellingShingle Rui Zhang
Yuanbing Guo
Xiaonan Zhai
Juan Wang
Xiaoyan Hao
Liu Yang
Lei Zhou
Jiawei Gao
Jiayun Liu
Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss
Frontiers in Endocrinology
infertility
pregnancy loss
machine learning
25OHVD3
diagnosis
title Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss
title_full Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss
title_fullStr Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss
title_full_unstemmed Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss
title_short Machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss
title_sort machine learning algorithm based on combined clinical indicators for the prediction of infertility and pregnancy loss
topic infertility
pregnancy loss
machine learning
25OHVD3
diagnosis
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1544724/full
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