Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving target

ABSTRACT As climate conditions continue to shift, species assemblages and composition within ecological communities may be reshuffled in unpredictable ways. Some habitat types may cease to exist while others may expand in size; protecting ecosystems and species in their current locations will become...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jennifer Wilkening, Wendy Pearson‐Prestera, Ninad Avinash Mungi, Sabuj Bhattacharyya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-03-01
Series:Wildlife Society Bulletin
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.944
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846120092225503232
author Jennifer Wilkening
Wendy Pearson‐Prestera
Ninad Avinash Mungi
Sabuj Bhattacharyya
author_facet Jennifer Wilkening
Wendy Pearson‐Prestera
Ninad Avinash Mungi
Sabuj Bhattacharyya
author_sort Jennifer Wilkening
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT As climate conditions continue to shift, species assemblages and composition within ecological communities may be reshuffled in unpredictable ways. Some habitat types may cease to exist while others may expand in size; protecting ecosystems and species in their current locations will become increasingly difficult. Threatened and endangered species are likely to be disproportionately affected by climate change because they are often habitat specialists and relatively rare. In the United States, the 1973 Endangered Species Act has prevented the extinction of many species. The identification and conservation of critical habitat is an important tool for species preservation. But how do we designate and preserve habitat for protected species when we are unsure about future habitat conditions? We address this question based upon the concept of managing for anticipated change, rather than focusing on the maintenance of existing conditions. We used an ecological niche modeling program (MaxEnt) to model current and future climatic niche for an endangered mammal endemic to southern California, USA; the Stephens’ kangaroo rat (SKR, Dipodomys stephensi). Our results indicate that the climatic niche of SKR was governed primarily by precipitation during the dry season, precipitation seasonality, annual mean temperature, and mean summer temperature. Projecting current species‐presence relationships to different scenarios predicted for the future revealed substantial loss in climatic niche with increased emission rates. Areas of future suitable climatic niche were evaluated in relation to land ownership and identified as potential reserves or translocation sites, which can aid in conservation planning for this species. Additionally, species vulnerability assessments and a climate‐change analysis tool were utilized to demonstrate how overall understanding of climate change effects can be enhanced. Information presented here can serve as guiding principles for the inclusion of climate change considerations into management plans, and can better inform overall decision‐making related to endangered species management. © 2019 The Wildlife Society.
format Article
id doaj-art-b5f71e626d984acba847299e918b6d02
institution Kabale University
issn 2328-5540
language English
publishDate 2019-03-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Wildlife Society Bulletin
spelling doaj-art-b5f71e626d984acba847299e918b6d022024-12-16T13:25:48ZengWileyWildlife Society Bulletin2328-55402019-03-01431112010.1002/wsb.944Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving targetJennifer Wilkening0Wendy Pearson‐Prestera1Ninad Avinash Mungi2Sabuj Bhattacharyya3United States Department of DefenseEnvironmental Security, MCIWEST‐Marine Corp BaseCamp PendletonCA 92055USAUnited States Department of DefenseEnvironmental Security, MCIWEST‐Marine Corp BaseCamp PendletonCA 92055USAWildlife Institute of IndiaChandrabaniDehradun 248001UttarakhandIndiaCentre for Ecological SciencesIndian Institute of ScienceBangalore 560012IndiaABSTRACT As climate conditions continue to shift, species assemblages and composition within ecological communities may be reshuffled in unpredictable ways. Some habitat types may cease to exist while others may expand in size; protecting ecosystems and species in their current locations will become increasingly difficult. Threatened and endangered species are likely to be disproportionately affected by climate change because they are often habitat specialists and relatively rare. In the United States, the 1973 Endangered Species Act has prevented the extinction of many species. The identification and conservation of critical habitat is an important tool for species preservation. But how do we designate and preserve habitat for protected species when we are unsure about future habitat conditions? We address this question based upon the concept of managing for anticipated change, rather than focusing on the maintenance of existing conditions. We used an ecological niche modeling program (MaxEnt) to model current and future climatic niche for an endangered mammal endemic to southern California, USA; the Stephens’ kangaroo rat (SKR, Dipodomys stephensi). Our results indicate that the climatic niche of SKR was governed primarily by precipitation during the dry season, precipitation seasonality, annual mean temperature, and mean summer temperature. Projecting current species‐presence relationships to different scenarios predicted for the future revealed substantial loss in climatic niche with increased emission rates. Areas of future suitable climatic niche were evaluated in relation to land ownership and identified as potential reserves or translocation sites, which can aid in conservation planning for this species. Additionally, species vulnerability assessments and a climate‐change analysis tool were utilized to demonstrate how overall understanding of climate change effects can be enhanced. Information presented here can serve as guiding principles for the inclusion of climate change considerations into management plans, and can better inform overall decision‐making related to endangered species management. © 2019 The Wildlife Society.https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.944Californiaclimate changeconservation planningDipodomys stephensiStephens’ kangaroo ratthreatened and endangered species
spellingShingle Jennifer Wilkening
Wendy Pearson‐Prestera
Ninad Avinash Mungi
Sabuj Bhattacharyya
Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving target
Wildlife Society Bulletin
California
climate change
conservation planning
Dipodomys stephensi
Stephens’ kangaroo rat
threatened and endangered species
title Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving target
title_full Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving target
title_fullStr Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving target
title_full_unstemmed Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving target
title_short Endangered species management and climate change: When habitat conservation becomes a moving target
title_sort endangered species management and climate change when habitat conservation becomes a moving target
topic California
climate change
conservation planning
Dipodomys stephensi
Stephens’ kangaroo rat
threatened and endangered species
url https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.944
work_keys_str_mv AT jenniferwilkening endangeredspeciesmanagementandclimatechangewhenhabitatconservationbecomesamovingtarget
AT wendypearsonprestera endangeredspeciesmanagementandclimatechangewhenhabitatconservationbecomesamovingtarget
AT ninadavinashmungi endangeredspeciesmanagementandclimatechangewhenhabitatconservationbecomesamovingtarget
AT sabujbhattacharyya endangeredspeciesmanagementandclimatechangewhenhabitatconservationbecomesamovingtarget