Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representations

Abstract Objective To systematically evaluate which lesion‐based imaging features and methods allow for the best statistical prediction of poststroke deficits across independent datasets. Methods We utilized imaging and clinical data from three independent datasets of patients experiencing acute str...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Anna K. Bonkhoff, Alexander L. Cohen, William Drew, Michael A. Ferguson, Aaliya Hussain, Christopher Lin, Frederic L. W. V. J. Schaper, Anthony Bourached, Anne‐Katrin Giese, Lara C. Oliveira, Robert W. Regenhardt, Markus D. Schirmer, Christina Jern, Arne G. Lindgren, Jane Maguire, Ona Wu, Sahar Zafar, John Y. Rhee, Eyal Y. Kimchi, Maurizio Corbetta, Natalia S. Rost, Michael D. Fox, MRI‐GENIE and GISCOME Investigators and the International Stroke Genetics Consortium
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-12-01
Series:Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/acn3.52215
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846118529123745792
author Anna K. Bonkhoff
Alexander L. Cohen
William Drew
Michael A. Ferguson
Aaliya Hussain
Christopher Lin
Frederic L. W. V. J. Schaper
Anthony Bourached
Anne‐Katrin Giese
Lara C. Oliveira
Robert W. Regenhardt
Markus D. Schirmer
Christina Jern
Arne G. Lindgren
Jane Maguire
Ona Wu
Sahar Zafar
John Y. Rhee
Eyal Y. Kimchi
Maurizio Corbetta
Natalia S. Rost
Michael D. Fox
MRI‐GENIE and GISCOME Investigators and the International Stroke Genetics Consortium
author_facet Anna K. Bonkhoff
Alexander L. Cohen
William Drew
Michael A. Ferguson
Aaliya Hussain
Christopher Lin
Frederic L. W. V. J. Schaper
Anthony Bourached
Anne‐Katrin Giese
Lara C. Oliveira
Robert W. Regenhardt
Markus D. Schirmer
Christina Jern
Arne G. Lindgren
Jane Maguire
Ona Wu
Sahar Zafar
John Y. Rhee
Eyal Y. Kimchi
Maurizio Corbetta
Natalia S. Rost
Michael D. Fox
MRI‐GENIE and GISCOME Investigators and the International Stroke Genetics Consortium
author_sort Anna K. Bonkhoff
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective To systematically evaluate which lesion‐based imaging features and methods allow for the best statistical prediction of poststroke deficits across independent datasets. Methods We utilized imaging and clinical data from three independent datasets of patients experiencing acute stroke (N1 = 109, N2 = 638, N3 = 794) to statistically predict acute stroke severity (NIHSS) based on lesion volume, lesion location, and structural and functional disconnection with the lesion location using normative connectomes. Results We found that prediction models trained on small single‐center datasets could perform well using within‐dataset cross‐validation, but results did not generalize to independent datasets (median R2N1 = 0.2%). Performance across independent datasets improved using large single‐center training data (R2N2 = 15.8%) and improved further using multicenter training data (R2N3 = 24.4%). These results were consistent across lesion attributes and prediction models. Including either structural or functional disconnection in the models outperformed prediction based on volume or location alone (P < 0.001, FDR‐corrected). Interpretation We conclude that (1) prediction performance in independent datasets of patients with acute stroke cannot be inferred from cross‐validated results within a dataset, as performance results obtained via these two methods differed consistently, (2) prediction performance can be improved by training on large and, importantly, multicenter datasets, and (3) structural and functional disconnection allow for improved prediction of acute stroke severity.
format Article
id doaj-art-b47f4e7b9dbb4f63b0c29998bd080cde
institution Kabale University
issn 2328-9503
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology
spelling doaj-art-b47f4e7b9dbb4f63b0c29998bd080cde2024-12-17T16:12:21ZengWileyAnnals of Clinical and Translational Neurology2328-95032024-12-0111123081309410.1002/acn3.52215Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representationsAnna K. Bonkhoff0Alexander L. Cohen1William Drew2Michael A. Ferguson3Aaliya Hussain4Christopher Lin5Frederic L. W. V. J. Schaper6Anthony Bourached7Anne‐Katrin Giese8Lara C. Oliveira9Robert W. Regenhardt10Markus D. Schirmer11Christina Jern12Arne G. Lindgren13Jane Maguire14Ona Wu15Sahar Zafar16John Y. Rhee17Eyal Y. Kimchi18Maurizio Corbetta19Natalia S. Rost20Michael D. Fox21MRI‐GENIE and GISCOME Investigators and the International Stroke Genetics ConsortiumJ. Philip Kistler Stroke Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USADepartment of Neurology Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USACenter for Brain Circuit Therapeutics, Department of Neurology, Psychiatry, and Radiology Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USABrigham and Women's Hospital Harvard Medical School, Psychiatry, and Radiology Boston Massachusetts USACenter for Brain Circuit Therapeutics, Department of Neurology, Psychiatry, and Radiology Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USACenter for Brain Circuit Therapeutics, Department of Neurology, Psychiatry, and Radiology Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USACenter for Brain Circuit Therapeutics, Department of Neurology, Psychiatry, and Radiology Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USAJ. Philip Kistler Stroke Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USADepartment of Neurology University Medical Center Hamburg‐Eppendorf Hamburg GermanyJ. Philip Kistler Stroke Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USAJ. Philip Kistler Stroke Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USAJ. Philip Kistler Stroke Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USADepartment of Laboratory Medicine, the Sahlgrenska Academy Institute of Biomedicine, University of Gothenburg Gothenburg SwedenDepartment of Neurology Skåne University Hospital Lund SwedenUniversity of Technology Sydney Sydney AustraliaAthinoula A. Martinos Center for Biomedical Imaging, Department of Radiology Massachusetts General Hospital Charlestown Massachusetts USADepartment of Neurology Massachusetts General Hospital Boston Massachusetts USACenter for Neuro‐oncology, Department of Medical Oncology Dana Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USADepartment of Neurology Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University Chicago Illinois USADepartment of Neuroscience and Padova Neuroscience Center University of Padova Padova ItalyJ. Philip Kistler Stroke Research Center Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USACenter for Brain Circuit Therapeutics, Department of Neurology, Psychiatry, and Radiology Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston Massachusetts USAAbstract Objective To systematically evaluate which lesion‐based imaging features and methods allow for the best statistical prediction of poststroke deficits across independent datasets. Methods We utilized imaging and clinical data from three independent datasets of patients experiencing acute stroke (N1 = 109, N2 = 638, N3 = 794) to statistically predict acute stroke severity (NIHSS) based on lesion volume, lesion location, and structural and functional disconnection with the lesion location using normative connectomes. Results We found that prediction models trained on small single‐center datasets could perform well using within‐dataset cross‐validation, but results did not generalize to independent datasets (median R2N1 = 0.2%). Performance across independent datasets improved using large single‐center training data (R2N2 = 15.8%) and improved further using multicenter training data (R2N3 = 24.4%). These results were consistent across lesion attributes and prediction models. Including either structural or functional disconnection in the models outperformed prediction based on volume or location alone (P < 0.001, FDR‐corrected). Interpretation We conclude that (1) prediction performance in independent datasets of patients with acute stroke cannot be inferred from cross‐validated results within a dataset, as performance results obtained via these two methods differed consistently, (2) prediction performance can be improved by training on large and, importantly, multicenter datasets, and (3) structural and functional disconnection allow for improved prediction of acute stroke severity.https://doi.org/10.1002/acn3.52215
spellingShingle Anna K. Bonkhoff
Alexander L. Cohen
William Drew
Michael A. Ferguson
Aaliya Hussain
Christopher Lin
Frederic L. W. V. J. Schaper
Anthony Bourached
Anne‐Katrin Giese
Lara C. Oliveira
Robert W. Regenhardt
Markus D. Schirmer
Christina Jern
Arne G. Lindgren
Jane Maguire
Ona Wu
Sahar Zafar
John Y. Rhee
Eyal Y. Kimchi
Maurizio Corbetta
Natalia S. Rost
Michael D. Fox
MRI‐GENIE and GISCOME Investigators and the International Stroke Genetics Consortium
Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representations
Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology
title Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representations
title_full Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representations
title_fullStr Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representations
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representations
title_short Prediction of stroke severity: systematic evaluation of lesion representations
title_sort prediction of stroke severity systematic evaluation of lesion representations
url https://doi.org/10.1002/acn3.52215
work_keys_str_mv AT annakbonkhoff predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT alexanderlcohen predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT williamdrew predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT michaelaferguson predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT aaliyahussain predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT christopherlin predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT fredericlwvjschaper predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT anthonybourached predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT annekatringiese predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT laracoliveira predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT robertwregenhardt predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT markusdschirmer predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT christinajern predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT arneglindgren predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT janemaguire predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT onawu predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT saharzafar predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT johnyrhee predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT eyalykimchi predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT mauriziocorbetta predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT nataliasrost predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT michaeldfox predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations
AT mrigenieandgiscomeinvestigatorsandtheinternationalstrokegeneticsconsortium predictionofstrokeseveritysystematicevaluationoflesionrepresentations