Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and Guangdong

As a longstanding and indispensable part of developing countries, small farmers face challenges brought by the dissemination of GM technology. Despite governments’ efforts to promote collective cultivation of GM crops through top-down policies aimed at enhancing small farmers’ production efficiency...

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Main Authors: Yu Pang, Helin Zou, Chunchun Jia, Chao Gu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:GM Crops & Food
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/21645698.2024.2445795
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author Yu Pang
Helin Zou
Chunchun Jia
Chao Gu
author_facet Yu Pang
Helin Zou
Chunchun Jia
Chao Gu
author_sort Yu Pang
collection DOAJ
description As a longstanding and indispensable part of developing countries, small farmers face challenges brought by the dissemination of GM technology. Despite governments’ efforts to promote collective cultivation of GM crops through top-down policies aimed at enhancing small farmers’ production efficiency and market competitiveness, actual participation rates among small farmers in many developing countries remain low. This reflects a gap and mismatch between policy design and the actual needs of small farmers. Based on a survey and empirical analysis of 964 small farmers in Guangdong and Xinjiang, China, this study finds that small farmers’ acceptance of GM technology is influenced not only by expected profitability but also by factors such as their independence and risk assessment of the technology. The findings reveal that, first, small farmers’ expected profitability from GM technology and their perception of independent market adaptability positively influence their willingness to participate in collective GM crop farming. Independent market adaptability acts as a partial mediator in this relationship and is moderated by small farmers’ risk assessments of GM technology. Variables such as gender, age, education level, and farming experience do not show significant effects. This study enriches the theoretical frameworks related to technology acceptance, innovation and diffusion, livelihood strategies, and collective transformation among small farmers in developing countries. It provides scientific evidence for policymakers to design more effective and aligned policies concerning GM crops.
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publishDate 2025-12-01
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series GM Crops & Food
spelling doaj-art-b30fbb688ed44e7fa5d1d7bc857647912025-01-09T09:03:45ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGM Crops & Food2164-56982164-57012025-12-011619711710.1080/21645698.2024.2445795Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and GuangdongYu Pang0Helin Zou1Chunchun Jia2Chao Gu3Research Center for Chinese Politics, School of Government, Peking University, Beijing, ChinaSchool of Statistics and Mathematics, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, ChinaSchool of Business Administration, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing, Jiangsu, ChinaResearch Center for Chinese Politics, School of Government, Peking University, Beijing, ChinaAs a longstanding and indispensable part of developing countries, small farmers face challenges brought by the dissemination of GM technology. Despite governments’ efforts to promote collective cultivation of GM crops through top-down policies aimed at enhancing small farmers’ production efficiency and market competitiveness, actual participation rates among small farmers in many developing countries remain low. This reflects a gap and mismatch between policy design and the actual needs of small farmers. Based on a survey and empirical analysis of 964 small farmers in Guangdong and Xinjiang, China, this study finds that small farmers’ acceptance of GM technology is influenced not only by expected profitability but also by factors such as their independence and risk assessment of the technology. The findings reveal that, first, small farmers’ expected profitability from GM technology and their perception of independent market adaptability positively influence their willingness to participate in collective GM crop farming. Independent market adaptability acts as a partial mediator in this relationship and is moderated by small farmers’ risk assessments of GM technology. Variables such as gender, age, education level, and farming experience do not show significant effects. This study enriches the theoretical frameworks related to technology acceptance, innovation and diffusion, livelihood strategies, and collective transformation among small farmers in developing countries. It provides scientific evidence for policymakers to design more effective and aligned policies concerning GM crops.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/21645698.2024.2445795Collective farmingdeveloping countriesGM technologyindependencesmall farmers
spellingShingle Yu Pang
Helin Zou
Chunchun Jia
Chao Gu
Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and Guangdong
GM Crops & Food
Collective farming
developing countries
GM technology
independence
small farmers
title Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and Guangdong
title_full Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and Guangdong
title_fullStr Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and Guangdong
title_full_unstemmed Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and Guangdong
title_short Expected profitability, independence, and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of GM crop collectivization——evidence from Xinjiang and Guangdong
title_sort expected profitability independence and risk assessment of small farmers in the wave of gm crop collectivization evidence from xinjiang and guangdong
topic Collective farming
developing countries
GM technology
independence
small farmers
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/21645698.2024.2445795
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AT helinzou expectedprofitabilityindependenceandriskassessmentofsmallfarmersinthewaveofgmcropcollectivizationevidencefromxinjiangandguangdong
AT chunchunjia expectedprofitabilityindependenceandriskassessmentofsmallfarmersinthewaveofgmcropcollectivizationevidencefromxinjiangandguangdong
AT chaogu expectedprofitabilityindependenceandriskassessmentofsmallfarmersinthewaveofgmcropcollectivizationevidencefromxinjiangandguangdong