Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula Function

Exploring the characteristics of hydrological drought in watersheds is greatly significant for scientific drought prevention. In this paper, taking the Fuhe River basin as the study area, the SWAT model is used to obtain runoff sequences for 31 sub-basins in the study area and compute the Standardiz...

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Main Authors: LONG Peng, JIAN Hongfu, HAN Huiming, LIU Mingchao
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2024-07-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.07.008
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author LONG Peng
JIAN Hongfu
HAN Huiming
LIU Mingchao
author_facet LONG Peng
JIAN Hongfu
HAN Huiming
LIU Mingchao
author_sort LONG Peng
collection DOAJ
description Exploring the characteristics of hydrological drought in watersheds is greatly significant for scientific drought prevention. In this paper, taking the Fuhe River basin as the study area, the SWAT model is used to obtain runoff sequences for 31 sub-basins in the study area and compute the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI). The tour theory and the conditional probability methods of the Copula function are applied to compare and analyze the hydrological drought characteristics in the basin. The results show that 51 drought events occurred in the Fuhe River Basin during 1960—2019, with an average drought duration and intensity of 4.22 months and 4.70, respectively. Under univariate factors, the risk of drought is relatively high in the vicinity of the mainstream of the basin. The Frank Copula function effectively fits the joint distribution of drought variables in most sub-basins, with the co-recurrence return period for severe droughts and above being less than 8 years. In general, the risk of severe hydrological drought in the Fuhe River Basin is relatively high, and the basin's drought resistance capacity needs to be improved.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
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publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
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spelling doaj-art-b2d7de4b390d408cad289be8e11900322025-01-15T03:01:12ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352024-07-0145677666690656Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula FunctionLONG PengJIAN HongfuHAN HuimingLIU MingchaoExploring the characteristics of hydrological drought in watersheds is greatly significant for scientific drought prevention. In this paper, taking the Fuhe River basin as the study area, the SWAT model is used to obtain runoff sequences for 31 sub-basins in the study area and compute the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI). The tour theory and the conditional probability methods of the Copula function are applied to compare and analyze the hydrological drought characteristics in the basin. The results show that 51 drought events occurred in the Fuhe River Basin during 1960—2019, with an average drought duration and intensity of 4.22 months and 4.70, respectively. Under univariate factors, the risk of drought is relatively high in the vicinity of the mainstream of the basin. The Frank Copula function effectively fits the joint distribution of drought variables in most sub-basins, with the co-recurrence return period for severe droughts and above being less than 8 years. In general, the risk of severe hydrological drought in the Fuhe River Basin is relatively high, and the basin's drought resistance capacity needs to be improved.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.07.008hydrological droughttrip theoryCopula functionFuhe River Basin
spellingShingle LONG Peng
JIAN Hongfu
HAN Huiming
LIU Mingchao
Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula Function
Renmin Zhujiang
hydrological drought
trip theory
Copula function
Fuhe River Basin
title Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula Function
title_full Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula Function
title_fullStr Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula Function
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula Function
title_short Analysis of Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Fuhe River Basin Based on Copula Function
title_sort analysis of hydrological drought characteristics in fuhe river basin based on copula function
topic hydrological drought
trip theory
Copula function
Fuhe River Basin
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.07.008
work_keys_str_mv AT longpeng analysisofhydrologicaldroughtcharacteristicsinfuheriverbasinbasedoncopulafunction
AT jianhongfu analysisofhydrologicaldroughtcharacteristicsinfuheriverbasinbasedoncopulafunction
AT hanhuiming analysisofhydrologicaldroughtcharacteristicsinfuheriverbasinbasedoncopulafunction
AT liumingchao analysisofhydrologicaldroughtcharacteristicsinfuheriverbasinbasedoncopulafunction