Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its Validation

Abstract We present a methodology that allows researchers to simulate in real time the spatiotemporal dynamics of the ground electric field (GEF) in a given 3‐D conductivity model of the Earth based on continuously augmented data on the spatiotemporal evolution of the inducing source. The formalism...

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Main Authors: Mikhail Kruglyakov, Alexey Kuvshinov, Elena Marshalko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-04-01
Series:Space Weather
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002906
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author Mikhail Kruglyakov
Alexey Kuvshinov
Elena Marshalko
author_facet Mikhail Kruglyakov
Alexey Kuvshinov
Elena Marshalko
author_sort Mikhail Kruglyakov
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We present a methodology that allows researchers to simulate in real time the spatiotemporal dynamics of the ground electric field (GEF) in a given 3‐D conductivity model of the Earth based on continuously augmented data on the spatiotemporal evolution of the inducing source. The formalism relies on the factorization of the source by spatial modes (SM) and time series of respective expansion coefficients and exploits precomputed GEF kernels generated by corresponding SM. To validate the formalism, we invoke a high‐resolution 3‐D conductivity model of Fennoscandia and consider a realistic source built using the Spherical Elementary Current Systems (SECS) method as applied to magnetic field data from the International Monitor for Auroral Geomagnetic Effect network of observations. The factorization of the SECS‐recovered source is then performed using the principal component analysis. Eventually, we show that the GEF computation at a given time instant on a 512 × 512 grid requires less than 0.025 s provided that GEF kernels due to pre‐selected SM are computed in advance. Taking the 7–8 September 2017 geomagnetic storm as a space weather event, we show that real‐time high‐resolution 3‐D modeling of the GEF is feasible. This opens a practical opportunity for GEF (and eventually geomagnetically induced currents) nowcasting and forecasting.
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spelling doaj-art-b1ee32386a6749fda4e265af9d4f79432025-01-14T16:27:25ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902022-04-01204n/an/a10.1029/2021SW002906Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its ValidationMikhail Kruglyakov0Alexey Kuvshinov1Elena Marshalko2University of Otago Dunedin New ZealandInstitute of Geophysics ETH Zürich Zürich SwitzerlandInstitute of Physics of the Earth Moscow RussiaAbstract We present a methodology that allows researchers to simulate in real time the spatiotemporal dynamics of the ground electric field (GEF) in a given 3‐D conductivity model of the Earth based on continuously augmented data on the spatiotemporal evolution of the inducing source. The formalism relies on the factorization of the source by spatial modes (SM) and time series of respective expansion coefficients and exploits precomputed GEF kernels generated by corresponding SM. To validate the formalism, we invoke a high‐resolution 3‐D conductivity model of Fennoscandia and consider a realistic source built using the Spherical Elementary Current Systems (SECS) method as applied to magnetic field data from the International Monitor for Auroral Geomagnetic Effect network of observations. The factorization of the SECS‐recovered source is then performed using the principal component analysis. Eventually, we show that the GEF computation at a given time instant on a 512 × 512 grid requires less than 0.025 s provided that GEF kernels due to pre‐selected SM are computed in advance. Taking the 7–8 September 2017 geomagnetic storm as a space weather event, we show that real‐time high‐resolution 3‐D modeling of the GEF is feasible. This opens a practical opportunity for GEF (and eventually geomagnetically induced currents) nowcasting and forecasting.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002906
spellingShingle Mikhail Kruglyakov
Alexey Kuvshinov
Elena Marshalko
Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its Validation
Space Weather
title Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its Validation
title_full Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its Validation
title_fullStr Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its Validation
title_full_unstemmed Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its Validation
title_short Real‐Time 3‐D Modeling of the Ground Electric Field Due To Space Weather Events. A Concept and Its Validation
title_sort real time 3 d modeling of the ground electric field due to space weather events a concept and its validation
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002906
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AT elenamarshalko realtime3dmodelingofthegroundelectricfieldduetospaceweathereventsaconceptanditsvalidation