Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon Sequestration

As an extreme event driven by global climate change, drought poses a severe threat to terrestrial ecosystems. The Yangtze River Basin (YZRB) and Yellow River Basin (YRB) are key ecological barriers and economic zones in China, holding strategic importance for exploring the evolution of drought patte...

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Main Authors: Yuanhe Yu, Huan Deng, Shupeng Gao, Jinliang Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Agriculture
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/14/1552
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author Yuanhe Yu
Huan Deng
Shupeng Gao
Jinliang Wang
author_facet Yuanhe Yu
Huan Deng
Shupeng Gao
Jinliang Wang
author_sort Yuanhe Yu
collection DOAJ
description As an extreme event driven by global climate change, drought poses a severe threat to terrestrial ecosystems. The Yangtze River Basin (YZRB) and Yellow River Basin (YRB) are key ecological barriers and economic zones in China, holding strategic importance for exploring the evolution of drought patterns and their ecological impacts. Using meteorological station data and Climatic Research Unit Gridded Time Series (CRU TS) data, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought evolution in the YZRB and YRB from 1961 to 2021 using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and run theory. Additionally, this study examined drought effects on ecosystem carbon sequestration (CS) at the city, county, and pixel scales. The results revealed the following: (1) the CRU data effectively captured precipitation (annual <i>r</i> = 0.94) and temperature (annual <i>r</i> = 0.95) trends in both basins, despite significantly underestimating winter temperatures, with the optimal SPEI calculation accuracy found at the monthly scale; (2) both basins experienced frequent autumn–winter droughts, with the YRB facing stronger droughts, including nine events which exceeded 10 months (the longest lasting 25 months), while the mild droughts increased in frequency and extreme intensity; and (3) the drought impacts on CS demonstrated a significant threshold effect, where the intensified drought unexpectedly enhanced CS in western regions, such as the Garzê Autonomous Prefecture in Sichuan Province and Changdu City in the Xizang Autonomous Region, but suppressed CS in the midstream and downstream plains. The CS responded positively under weak drought conditions but declined once the drought intensity surpassed the threshold. This study revealed a nonlinear relationship between drought and CS across climatic zones, thereby providing a scientific foundation for enhancing ecological resilience.
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spelling doaj-art-b13c515acd724f1ebd0de6948d6a46132025-08-20T03:55:48ZengMDPI AGAgriculture2077-04722025-07-011514155210.3390/agriculture15141552Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon SequestrationYuanhe Yu0Huan Deng1Shupeng Gao2Jinliang Wang3College of Soil and Water Conservation, Southwest Forestry University, Kunming 650224, ChinaSchool of Geographical Science and Tourism, Zhaotong University, Zhaotong 657000, ChinaCollege of Soil and Water Conservation, Southwest Forestry University, Kunming 650224, ChinaFaculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500, ChinaAs an extreme event driven by global climate change, drought poses a severe threat to terrestrial ecosystems. The Yangtze River Basin (YZRB) and Yellow River Basin (YRB) are key ecological barriers and economic zones in China, holding strategic importance for exploring the evolution of drought patterns and their ecological impacts. Using meteorological station data and Climatic Research Unit Gridded Time Series (CRU TS) data, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought evolution in the YZRB and YRB from 1961 to 2021 using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and run theory. Additionally, this study examined drought effects on ecosystem carbon sequestration (CS) at the city, county, and pixel scales. The results revealed the following: (1) the CRU data effectively captured precipitation (annual <i>r</i> = 0.94) and temperature (annual <i>r</i> = 0.95) trends in both basins, despite significantly underestimating winter temperatures, with the optimal SPEI calculation accuracy found at the monthly scale; (2) both basins experienced frequent autumn–winter droughts, with the YRB facing stronger droughts, including nine events which exceeded 10 months (the longest lasting 25 months), while the mild droughts increased in frequency and extreme intensity; and (3) the drought impacts on CS demonstrated a significant threshold effect, where the intensified drought unexpectedly enhanced CS in western regions, such as the Garzê Autonomous Prefecture in Sichuan Province and Changdu City in the Xizang Autonomous Region, but suppressed CS in the midstream and downstream plains. The CS responded positively under weak drought conditions but declined once the drought intensity surpassed the threshold. This study revealed a nonlinear relationship between drought and CS across climatic zones, thereby providing a scientific foundation for enhancing ecological resilience.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/14/1552standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI)drought characteristicsnet primary productivityecosystem responserun theory
spellingShingle Yuanhe Yu
Huan Deng
Shupeng Gao
Jinliang Wang
Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon Sequestration
Agriculture
standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI)
drought characteristics
net primary productivity
ecosystem response
run theory
title Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon Sequestration
title_full Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon Sequestration
title_fullStr Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon Sequestration
title_full_unstemmed Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon Sequestration
title_short Drought Evolution in the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins and Its Dual Impact on Ecosystem Carbon Sequestration
title_sort drought evolution in the yangtze and yellow river basins and its dual impact on ecosystem carbon sequestration
topic standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI)
drought characteristics
net primary productivity
ecosystem response
run theory
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/14/1552
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AT huandeng droughtevolutionintheyangtzeandyellowriverbasinsanditsdualimpactonecosystemcarbonsequestration
AT shupenggao droughtevolutionintheyangtzeandyellowriverbasinsanditsdualimpactonecosystemcarbonsequestration
AT jinliangwang droughtevolutionintheyangtzeandyellowriverbasinsanditsdualimpactonecosystemcarbonsequestration