Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction

Occupant behavior has been identified as a key factor affecting energy usage in buildings. Integrating occupancy data into HVAC control strategies presents an opportunity for substantial energy savings. The proposed study evaluates different occupancy prediction strategies with a focus on forecastin...

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Main Authors: Maniar Amine, Delahoche Laurent, Chrifi-Alaoui Larbi, Zegrari Mourad, Mohamed Hamlich, Marhic Bruno, Masson Jean-Baptiste
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2024-01-01
Series:ITM Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2024/12/itmconf_maih2024_01013.pdf
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author Maniar Amine
Delahoche Laurent
Chrifi-Alaoui Larbi
Zegrari Mourad
Mohamed Hamlich
Marhic Bruno
Masson Jean-Baptiste
author_facet Maniar Amine
Delahoche Laurent
Chrifi-Alaoui Larbi
Zegrari Mourad
Mohamed Hamlich
Marhic Bruno
Masson Jean-Baptiste
author_sort Maniar Amine
collection DOAJ
description Occupant behavior has been identified as a key factor affecting energy usage in buildings. Integrating occupancy data into HVAC control strategies presents an opportunity for substantial energy savings. The proposed study evaluates different occupancy prediction strategies with a focus on forecasting performance on highly variable signals such as CO2 concentration and noise levels. Our work compares single-step and multiple-steps prediction methods to analyze their impact on accuracy and reliability. The predicted signals can be used to identify future activity to improve occupancy forecasting. In this paper, we highlight the importance of accurate occupancy data and fitting forecasting strategy and propose future research directions to address current limitations in occupancy prediction models.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2271-2097
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher EDP Sciences
record_format Article
series ITM Web of Conferences
spelling doaj-art-b0c9a5c631ca4b7eabb806500e9e10102025-01-08T10:58:54ZengEDP SciencesITM Web of Conferences2271-20972024-01-01690101310.1051/itmconf/20246901013itmconf_maih2024_01013Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy predictionManiar Amine0Delahoche Laurent1Chrifi-Alaoui Larbi2Zegrari Mourad3Mohamed Hamlich4Marhic Bruno5Masson Jean-Baptiste6Laboratory of Innovative Technologies, University of Picardie Jules VerneLaboratory of Innovative Technologies, University of Picardie Jules VerneLaboratory of Innovative Technologies, University of Picardie Jules VerneLaboratory of Complex Cyber Physical Systems, Hassan II University of CasablancaLaboratory of Complex Cyber Physical Systems, Hassan II University of CasablancaLaboratory of Innovative Technologies, University of Picardie Jules VerneLaboratory of Innovative Technologies, University of Picardie Jules VerneOccupant behavior has been identified as a key factor affecting energy usage in buildings. Integrating occupancy data into HVAC control strategies presents an opportunity for substantial energy savings. The proposed study evaluates different occupancy prediction strategies with a focus on forecasting performance on highly variable signals such as CO2 concentration and noise levels. Our work compares single-step and multiple-steps prediction methods to analyze their impact on accuracy and reliability. The predicted signals can be used to identify future activity to improve occupancy forecasting. In this paper, we highlight the importance of accurate occupancy data and fitting forecasting strategy and propose future research directions to address current limitations in occupancy prediction models.https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2024/12/itmconf_maih2024_01013.pdf
spellingShingle Maniar Amine
Delahoche Laurent
Chrifi-Alaoui Larbi
Zegrari Mourad
Mohamed Hamlich
Marhic Bruno
Masson Jean-Baptiste
Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction
ITM Web of Conferences
title Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction
title_full Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction
title_fullStr Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction
title_full_unstemmed Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction
title_short Performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction
title_sort performance evaluation of forecasting strategies for building occupancy prediction
url https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2024/12/itmconf_maih2024_01013.pdf
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AT zegrarimourad performanceevaluationofforecastingstrategiesforbuildingoccupancyprediction
AT mohamedhamlich performanceevaluationofforecastingstrategiesforbuildingoccupancyprediction
AT marhicbruno performanceevaluationofforecastingstrategiesforbuildingoccupancyprediction
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