THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018

Monthly precipitation values for six meteorological stations representing different climatic regions in Syria were used to estimate the change in drought characteristics during the period 1958-2018 by applying the Precipitation Anomaly Index (RAI) on different time scales. Trends were used with Mann...

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Main Authors: M. E. Skaff, L. E. Abboud, E. E. Mahfoud, R. A. Saker
Format: Article
Language:Arabic
Published: University of Anbar 2024-12-01
Series:مجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية
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Online Access:https://ajas.uoanbar.edu.iq/article_184480_dddfb70d0e1f534b116185d58f3bd510.pdf
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author M. E. Skaff
L. E. Abboud
E. E. Mahfoud
R. A. Saker
author_facet M. E. Skaff
L. E. Abboud
E. E. Mahfoud
R. A. Saker
author_sort M. E. Skaff
collection DOAJ
description Monthly precipitation values for six meteorological stations representing different climatic regions in Syria were used to estimate the change in drought characteristics during the period 1958-2018 by applying the Precipitation Anomaly Index (RAI) on different time scales. Trends were used with Mann-Kendall test to detect significant changes in drought index, and the number and duration of dry periods. Descriptive statistical analysis with T-test was also used to compare the values of the drought index between the periods 1958-1988 and 1988-2018.Results showed increasing annual drought severity related to decreasing tendency in drought index values especially in spring and winter in all regions, and increment in extreme drought frequency versus diminishing frequency of extreme moisture.These changes to drier conditions in all studied regions will negatively affect water resources availability, agricultural production, and ecosystems stability and productivity, which threaten water and food security, and will Pose grand challenges to manage environmental resources in the future.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1992-7479
2617-6211
language Arabic
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher University of Anbar
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series مجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية
spelling doaj-art-ac5c8a004dbf4936afb07ca71be63e382025-01-11T22:05:11ZaraUniversity of Anbarمجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية1992-74792617-62112024-12-012221284131110.32649/ajas.2024.184480184480THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018M. E. Skaff0L. E. Abboud1E. E. Mahfoud2R. A. Saker3Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityFaculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityFaculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityFaculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityMonthly precipitation values for six meteorological stations representing different climatic regions in Syria were used to estimate the change in drought characteristics during the period 1958-2018 by applying the Precipitation Anomaly Index (RAI) on different time scales. Trends were used with Mann-Kendall test to detect significant changes in drought index, and the number and duration of dry periods. Descriptive statistical analysis with T-test was also used to compare the values of the drought index between the periods 1958-1988 and 1988-2018.Results showed increasing annual drought severity related to decreasing tendency in drought index values especially in spring and winter in all regions, and increment in extreme drought frequency versus diminishing frequency of extreme moisture.These changes to drier conditions in all studied regions will negatively affect water resources availability, agricultural production, and ecosystems stability and productivity, which threaten water and food security, and will Pose grand challenges to manage environmental resources in the future.https://ajas.uoanbar.edu.iq/article_184480_dddfb70d0e1f534b116185d58f3bd510.pdfdroughtdrought characteristicsclimate changerainfall anomaly indexsyria
spellingShingle M. E. Skaff
L. E. Abboud
E. E. Mahfoud
R. A. Saker
THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018
مجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية
drought
drought characteristics
climate change
rainfall anomaly index
syria
title THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018
title_full THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018
title_fullStr THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018
title_full_unstemmed THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018
title_short THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018
title_sort effect of precipitation variability and change on the increasing drought risk in some climatic regions in syria during the period 1958 2018
topic drought
drought characteristics
climate change
rainfall anomaly index
syria
url https://ajas.uoanbar.edu.iq/article_184480_dddfb70d0e1f534b116185d58f3bd510.pdf
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