THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018
Monthly precipitation values for six meteorological stations representing different climatic regions in Syria were used to estimate the change in drought characteristics during the period 1958-2018 by applying the Precipitation Anomaly Index (RAI) on different time scales. Trends were used with Mann...
Saved in:
Main Authors: | , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | Arabic |
Published: |
University of Anbar
2024-12-01
|
Series: | مجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://ajas.uoanbar.edu.iq/article_184480_dddfb70d0e1f534b116185d58f3bd510.pdf |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
_version_ | 1841545686723592192 |
---|---|
author | M. E. Skaff L. E. Abboud E. E. Mahfoud R. A. Saker |
author_facet | M. E. Skaff L. E. Abboud E. E. Mahfoud R. A. Saker |
author_sort | M. E. Skaff |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Monthly precipitation values for six meteorological stations representing different climatic regions in Syria were used to estimate the change in drought characteristics during the period 1958-2018 by applying the Precipitation Anomaly Index (RAI) on different time scales. Trends were used with Mann-Kendall test to detect significant changes in drought index, and the number and duration of dry periods. Descriptive statistical analysis with T-test was also used to compare the values of the drought index between the periods 1958-1988 and 1988-2018.Results showed increasing annual drought severity related to decreasing tendency in drought index values especially in spring and winter in all regions, and increment in extreme drought frequency versus diminishing frequency of extreme moisture.These changes to drier conditions in all studied regions will negatively affect water resources availability, agricultural production, and ecosystems stability and productivity, which threaten water and food security, and will Pose grand challenges to manage environmental resources in the future. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-ac5c8a004dbf4936afb07ca71be63e38 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1992-7479 2617-6211 |
language | Arabic |
publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
publisher | University of Anbar |
record_format | Article |
series | مجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية |
spelling | doaj-art-ac5c8a004dbf4936afb07ca71be63e382025-01-11T22:05:11ZaraUniversity of Anbarمجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية1992-74792617-62112024-12-012221284131110.32649/ajas.2024.184480184480THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018M. E. Skaff0L. E. Abboud1E. E. Mahfoud2R. A. Saker3Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityFaculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityFaculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityFaculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen UniversityMonthly precipitation values for six meteorological stations representing different climatic regions in Syria were used to estimate the change in drought characteristics during the period 1958-2018 by applying the Precipitation Anomaly Index (RAI) on different time scales. Trends were used with Mann-Kendall test to detect significant changes in drought index, and the number and duration of dry periods. Descriptive statistical analysis with T-test was also used to compare the values of the drought index between the periods 1958-1988 and 1988-2018.Results showed increasing annual drought severity related to decreasing tendency in drought index values especially in spring and winter in all regions, and increment in extreme drought frequency versus diminishing frequency of extreme moisture.These changes to drier conditions in all studied regions will negatively affect water resources availability, agricultural production, and ecosystems stability and productivity, which threaten water and food security, and will Pose grand challenges to manage environmental resources in the future.https://ajas.uoanbar.edu.iq/article_184480_dddfb70d0e1f534b116185d58f3bd510.pdfdroughtdrought characteristicsclimate changerainfall anomaly indexsyria |
spellingShingle | M. E. Skaff L. E. Abboud E. E. Mahfoud R. A. Saker THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018 مجلة الأنبار للعلوم الزراعية drought drought characteristics climate change rainfall anomaly index syria |
title | THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018 |
title_full | THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018 |
title_fullStr | THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018 |
title_full_unstemmed | THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018 |
title_short | THE EFFECT OF PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY AND CHANGE ON THE INCREASING DROUGHT RISK IN SOME CLIMATIC REGIONS IN SYRIA DURING THE PERIOD 1958-2018 |
title_sort | effect of precipitation variability and change on the increasing drought risk in some climatic regions in syria during the period 1958 2018 |
topic | drought drought characteristics climate change rainfall anomaly index syria |
url | https://ajas.uoanbar.edu.iq/article_184480_dddfb70d0e1f534b116185d58f3bd510.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT meskaff theeffectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 AT leabboud theeffectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 AT eemahfoud theeffectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 AT rasaker theeffectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 AT meskaff effectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 AT leabboud effectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 AT eemahfoud effectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 AT rasaker effectofprecipitationvariabilityandchangeontheincreasingdroughtriskinsomeclimaticregionsinsyriaduringtheperiod19582018 |