Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspections

Effective enforcement of laws and regulations hinges heavily on robust inspection policies. While data-driven approaches to testing the effectiveness of these policies are gaining popularity, they suffer significant drawbacks, particularly a lack of explainability and generalizability. This paper pr...

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Main Authors: Eunice Koid, Haiko van der Voort, Martijn Warnier
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2025-01-01
Series:Data & Policy
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Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324924000348/type/journal_article
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author Eunice Koid
Haiko van der Voort
Martijn Warnier
author_facet Eunice Koid
Haiko van der Voort
Martijn Warnier
author_sort Eunice Koid
collection DOAJ
description Effective enforcement of laws and regulations hinges heavily on robust inspection policies. While data-driven approaches to testing the effectiveness of these policies are gaining popularity, they suffer significant drawbacks, particularly a lack of explainability and generalizability. This paper proposes an approach to crafting inspection policies that combines data-driven insights with behavioral theories to create an agent-based simulation model that we call a theory-infused phenomenological agent-based model (TIP-ABM). Moreover, this approach outlines a systematic process for combining theories and data to construct a phenomenological ABM, beginning with defining macro-level empirical phenomena. Illustrated through a case study of the Dutch inland shipping sector, the proposed methodology enhances explainability by illuminating inspectors’ tacit knowledge while iterating between statistical data and underlying theories. The broader generalizability of the proposed approach beyond the inland shipping context requires further research.
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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series Data & Policy
spelling doaj-art-ab7bd2ea982c4486b1f2070b1e36f0ae2025-01-16T21:51:05ZengCambridge University PressData & Policy2632-32492025-01-01710.1017/dap.2024.34Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspectionsEunice Koid0Haiko van der Voort1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2795-9444Martijn Warnier2Multi-Actor Systems Department, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The NetherlandsMulti-Actor Systems Department, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The NetherlandsMulti-Actor Systems Department, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The NetherlandsEffective enforcement of laws and regulations hinges heavily on robust inspection policies. While data-driven approaches to testing the effectiveness of these policies are gaining popularity, they suffer significant drawbacks, particularly a lack of explainability and generalizability. This paper proposes an approach to crafting inspection policies that combines data-driven insights with behavioral theories to create an agent-based simulation model that we call a theory-infused phenomenological agent-based model (TIP-ABM). Moreover, this approach outlines a systematic process for combining theories and data to construct a phenomenological ABM, beginning with defining macro-level empirical phenomena. Illustrated through a case study of the Dutch inland shipping sector, the proposed methodology enhances explainability by illuminating inspectors’ tacit knowledge while iterating between statistical data and underlying theories. The broader generalizability of the proposed approach beyond the inland shipping context requires further research.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324924000348/type/journal_articleagent-based modelingdata-driven modelinginspectionsrisk-based regulation
spellingShingle Eunice Koid
Haiko van der Voort
Martijn Warnier
Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspections
Data & Policy
agent-based modeling
data-driven modeling
inspections
risk-based regulation
title Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspections
title_full Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspections
title_fullStr Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspections
title_full_unstemmed Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspections
title_short Agent-based modeling for data-driven enforcement: combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario-based analysis of inspections
title_sort agent based modeling for data driven enforcement combining empirical data with behavioral theory for scenario based analysis of inspections
topic agent-based modeling
data-driven modeling
inspections
risk-based regulation
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324924000348/type/journal_article
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AT haikovandervoort agentbasedmodelingfordatadrivenenforcementcombiningempiricaldatawithbehavioraltheoryforscenariobasedanalysisofinspections
AT martijnwarnier agentbasedmodelingfordatadrivenenforcementcombiningempiricaldatawithbehavioraltheoryforscenariobasedanalysisofinspections