Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and Alerts

Abstract A Ground Level Enhancement (GLE) event can be observed as an increase in the background of ground‐based neutron monitor observations and is often associated with an increase of >500 MeV space‐based proton flux measurements. GLE events begin as very high‐energy SEP events associated with...

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Main Authors: N. Crosby, H. Mavromichalaki, O. Malandraki, M. Gerontidou, M. Karavolos, D. Lingri, P. Makrantoni, M. Papailiou, P. Paschalis, A. Tezari
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-09-01
Series:Space Weather
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003839
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author N. Crosby
H. Mavromichalaki
O. Malandraki
M. Gerontidou
M. Karavolos
D. Lingri
P. Makrantoni
M. Papailiou
P. Paschalis
A. Tezari
author_facet N. Crosby
H. Mavromichalaki
O. Malandraki
M. Gerontidou
M. Karavolos
D. Lingri
P. Makrantoni
M. Papailiou
P. Paschalis
A. Tezari
author_sort N. Crosby
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A Ground Level Enhancement (GLE) event can be observed as an increase in the background of ground‐based neutron monitor observations and is often associated with an increase of >500 MeV space‐based proton flux measurements. GLE events begin as very high‐energy SEP events associated with GeV protons. For such events to be detected at sea level, proton energies must exceed about 433 MeV. Since the increased flux of such particles can be a major problem to technology in space and on Earth and pose a threat for human health, developing real time warning systems is of great importance. GLE Alert++ is a product, built by the Athens Cosmic Ray Group of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, that issues alerts when a GLE event starts to register and is based on ground‐based neutron monitor observations. From the space‐based approach, the HESPERIA UMASEP‐500 product, jointly developed within the framework of the EU HORIZON2020 HESPERIA project by the Universidad de Malaga, Spain and National Observatory of Athens, Greece, provides forecasts of GLE events and >500 MeV protons relying on GOES satellite Soft X‐Ray and high energy proton observations. These two products are fully integrated as federated products on the ESA SWE Portal and are provided as part of the ESA Space Safety Program Space Weather Service Network. In this paper we present how the products were built, provide examples of their outputs as seen on the ESA SWE Portal, and show how the products complement each other and how using them together can in some instances provide more information for users of these services.
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spelling doaj-art-aac213e0db0a4339bf24e2d1dffc2f882025-01-14T16:35:30ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902024-09-01229n/an/a10.1029/2023SW003839Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and AlertsN. Crosby0H. Mavromichalaki1O. Malandraki2M. Gerontidou3M. Karavolos4D. Lingri5P. Makrantoni6M. Papailiou7P. Paschalis8A. Tezari9Royal Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy Brussels BelgiumNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens GreeceNational Observatory of Athens/IAASARS Athens GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens GreeceNational Observatory of Athens/IAASARS Athens GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens GreeceAbstract A Ground Level Enhancement (GLE) event can be observed as an increase in the background of ground‐based neutron monitor observations and is often associated with an increase of >500 MeV space‐based proton flux measurements. GLE events begin as very high‐energy SEP events associated with GeV protons. For such events to be detected at sea level, proton energies must exceed about 433 MeV. Since the increased flux of such particles can be a major problem to technology in space and on Earth and pose a threat for human health, developing real time warning systems is of great importance. GLE Alert++ is a product, built by the Athens Cosmic Ray Group of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, that issues alerts when a GLE event starts to register and is based on ground‐based neutron monitor observations. From the space‐based approach, the HESPERIA UMASEP‐500 product, jointly developed within the framework of the EU HORIZON2020 HESPERIA project by the Universidad de Malaga, Spain and National Observatory of Athens, Greece, provides forecasts of GLE events and >500 MeV protons relying on GOES satellite Soft X‐Ray and high energy proton observations. These two products are fully integrated as federated products on the ESA SWE Portal and are provided as part of the ESA Space Safety Program Space Weather Service Network. In this paper we present how the products were built, provide examples of their outputs as seen on the ESA SWE Portal, and show how the products complement each other and how using them together can in some instances provide more information for users of these services.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003839ground level enhancement eventssolar flaresneutron monitorssolar proton eventsforecastingalerts
spellingShingle N. Crosby
H. Mavromichalaki
O. Malandraki
M. Gerontidou
M. Karavolos
D. Lingri
P. Makrantoni
M. Papailiou
P. Paschalis
A. Tezari
Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and Alerts
Space Weather
ground level enhancement events
solar flares
neutron monitors
solar proton events
forecasting
alerts
title Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and Alerts
title_full Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and Alerts
title_fullStr Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and Alerts
title_full_unstemmed Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and Alerts
title_short Very High Energy Solar Energetic Particle Events and Ground Level Enhancement Events: Forecasting and Alerts
title_sort very high energy solar energetic particle events and ground level enhancement events forecasting and alerts
topic ground level enhancement events
solar flares
neutron monitors
solar proton events
forecasting
alerts
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003839
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