Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in Japan

This study explored the possibility of using currently available data to forecast when and where a large earthquake could occur in the near future. Such forecasts require measurements and understanding of past and current three-dimensional (3D) displacement patterns. We analyzed the geometric patter...

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Main Author: Junichi Susaki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10973118/
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author Junichi Susaki
author_facet Junichi Susaki
author_sort Junichi Susaki
collection DOAJ
description This study explored the possibility of using currently available data to forecast when and where a large earthquake could occur in the near future. Such forecasts require measurements and understanding of past and current three-dimensional (3D) displacement patterns. We analyzed the geometric patterns of 3D displacement using coordinate data from over 1,300 global navigation satellite system stations in Japan. We found that the monthly displacement velocities of a station were on a single flat plane, although a significantly large earthquake had occurred, and the normal planes of all stations were on a single quadratic curve surface. Moreover, the sum of the absolute differences in 15-d velocities indicated a significant displacement over a wide area after the occurrence of a large earthquake.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2169-3536
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-a9c754868c9b4ff8ba7785e3f9171bee2025-08-20T03:49:17ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113821938221010.1109/ACCESS.2025.356316610973118Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in JapanJunichi Susaki0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2648-1298Graduate School of Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, JapanThis study explored the possibility of using currently available data to forecast when and where a large earthquake could occur in the near future. Such forecasts require measurements and understanding of past and current three-dimensional (3D) displacement patterns. We analyzed the geometric patterns of 3D displacement using coordinate data from over 1,300 global navigation satellite system stations in Japan. We found that the monthly displacement velocities of a station were on a single flat plane, although a significantly large earthquake had occurred, and the normal planes of all stations were on a single quadratic curve surface. Moreover, the sum of the absolute differences in 15-d velocities indicated a significant displacement over a wide area after the occurrence of a large earthquake.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10973118/GNSS3D displacementgeometric pattern
spellingShingle Junichi Susaki
Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in Japan
IEEE Access
GNSS
3D displacement
geometric pattern
title Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in Japan
title_full Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in Japan
title_fullStr Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in Japan
title_full_unstemmed Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in Japan
title_short Consistent Geometric Patterns Observed in Three-Dimensional Displacement of Nationwide GNSS Stations in Japan
title_sort consistent geometric patterns observed in three dimensional displacement of nationwide gnss stations in japan
topic GNSS
3D displacement
geometric pattern
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10973118/
work_keys_str_mv AT junichisusaki consistentgeometricpatternsobservedinthreedimensionaldisplacementofnationwidegnssstationsinjapan