The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade students

Abstract The purpose of this study was to predict an academic achievement model based on cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and body mass index (BMI) in ninth-graders. The study sample included 6 530 adolescents from 341 public schools in Slovakia. Criterion-referenced competency tests measuring academ...

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Main Authors: Viktor Bielik, Vladimír Nosáľ, Libuša Nechalová, Milan Špánik, Katarína Žilková, Marian Grendar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Pediatrics
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12887-024-05353-2
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author Viktor Bielik
Vladimír Nosáľ
Libuša Nechalová
Milan Špánik
Katarína Žilková
Marian Grendar
author_facet Viktor Bielik
Vladimír Nosáľ
Libuša Nechalová
Milan Špánik
Katarína Žilková
Marian Grendar
author_sort Viktor Bielik
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The purpose of this study was to predict an academic achievement model based on cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and body mass index (BMI) in ninth-graders. The study sample included 6 530 adolescents from 341 public schools in Slovakia. Criterion-referenced competency tests measuring academic performance in mathematics and mother language (Slovak), CRF, and BMI were assessed in the academic year 2022–2023. The results from the Random Forest Regression (RFR) machine learning algorithm suggest that adolescents who meet the international CRF and BMI criterion-referenced standards have a higher probability of getting a higher academic achievement score than unfit students with overweight or obesity. The chances of achieving the highest level of academic performance rose by 165% in mathematics and by 484% in mother language for boys who were fit and of normal weight compared to unfit boys with obesity. Unfit boys with obesity and unfit overweight girls had significantly lower odds of having the highest level of academic achievement compared to fit and normal-weight adolescents in mathematics (OR = 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20–0.71; p = 0.003; OR = 0.32; 95% CI, 0.18–0.55; p < 0.001) and mother language, respectively (OR = 0.17; 95% CI, 0.09–0.34; p < 0.001; OR = 0.17; 95% CI, 0.08–0.38; p < 0.001). Our results suggest that CRF is a significant predictor, with fit and normal-weight boys showing higher odds of better academic performance, but the model’s modest predictive power suggests other factors also play a role.
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spelling doaj-art-a96c717c23e24c20b91591e56cfd65ea2025-01-12T12:40:05ZengBMCBMC Pediatrics1471-24312025-01-0125111110.1186/s12887-024-05353-2The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade studentsViktor Bielik0Vladimír Nosáľ1Libuša Nechalová2Milan Špánik3Katarína Žilková4Marian Grendar5Department of Biological and Medical Science, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport, Comenius University in BratislavaNeurological Clinic, Jessenius Faculty of Medicine in Martin, Comenius University in BratislavaDepartment of Biological and Medical Science, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport, Comenius University in BratislavaSlovak Olympic and Sports CommitteeDepartment of Didactics of Mathematics and Science Subjects, Faculty of Education, Comenius University in BratislavaBiomedical Center Martin, Jessenius Faculty of Medicine in Martin, Comenius University in BratislavaAbstract The purpose of this study was to predict an academic achievement model based on cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and body mass index (BMI) in ninth-graders. The study sample included 6 530 adolescents from 341 public schools in Slovakia. Criterion-referenced competency tests measuring academic performance in mathematics and mother language (Slovak), CRF, and BMI were assessed in the academic year 2022–2023. The results from the Random Forest Regression (RFR) machine learning algorithm suggest that adolescents who meet the international CRF and BMI criterion-referenced standards have a higher probability of getting a higher academic achievement score than unfit students with overweight or obesity. The chances of achieving the highest level of academic performance rose by 165% in mathematics and by 484% in mother language for boys who were fit and of normal weight compared to unfit boys with obesity. Unfit boys with obesity and unfit overweight girls had significantly lower odds of having the highest level of academic achievement compared to fit and normal-weight adolescents in mathematics (OR = 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20–0.71; p = 0.003; OR = 0.32; 95% CI, 0.18–0.55; p < 0.001) and mother language, respectively (OR = 0.17; 95% CI, 0.09–0.34; p < 0.001; OR = 0.17; 95% CI, 0.08–0.38; p < 0.001). Our results suggest that CRF is a significant predictor, with fit and normal-weight boys showing higher odds of better academic performance, but the model’s modest predictive power suggests other factors also play a role.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12887-024-05353-2Academic performancePhysical fitnessRandom forest machine learningSchool-aged children
spellingShingle Viktor Bielik
Vladimír Nosáľ
Libuša Nechalová
Milan Špánik
Katarína Žilková
Marian Grendar
The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade students
BMC Pediatrics
Academic performance
Physical fitness
Random forest machine learning
School-aged children
title The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade students
title_full The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade students
title_fullStr The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade students
title_full_unstemmed The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade students
title_short The prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and BMI status for ninth-grade students
title_sort prediction model of academic achievement based on cardiorespiratory fitness and bmi status for ninth grade students
topic Academic performance
Physical fitness
Random forest machine learning
School-aged children
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12887-024-05353-2
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