Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China
In the context of global warming and the increasing water shortage in dry areas, it is necessary to find a sustainable pathway for utilization of land resources (ULR) to solve these problems. For this purpose, using socioeconomic and environmental indicators from 2006 to 2018 and taking the Tarim Ba...
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| Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2024-12-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability |
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| Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2335140 |
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| author | Yifei Song Weicheng Wu Yanfei Zhang Minqiang Zhu Xinxin Ke Yuan Li Yecheng He Cuimin Zhou Wenjing Li Rong Jing Peixia Song Linqian Fu Chunling Mao Meng Xie Xiaoping Song Aiqing Chen Sicheng Li Aohui Li Yingxu Song |
| author_facet | Yifei Song Weicheng Wu Yanfei Zhang Minqiang Zhu Xinxin Ke Yuan Li Yecheng He Cuimin Zhou Wenjing Li Rong Jing Peixia Song Linqian Fu Chunling Mao Meng Xie Xiaoping Song Aiqing Chen Sicheng Li Aohui Li Yingxu Song |
| author_sort | Yifei Song |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In the context of global warming and the increasing water shortage in dry areas, it is necessary to find a sustainable pathway for utilization of land resources (ULR) to solve these problems. For this purpose, using socioeconomic and environmental indicators from 2006 to 2018 and taking the Tarim Basin, China as an example, this study employed an integrated approach composed of the indicator evaluation system (IES) and the System Dynamics (SD) model to evaluate the possibility of sustainable ULR in the basin. During the simulation, three scenarios namely traditional development (TD), economic priority (EP) and harmonious development (HD) were designed, and different thresholds were set for each indicator of potential ULR in each sub-region to predict their future development status. The IES was established to derive the sustainable utilization degree (SUD) of ULR. The results show that the SUD in Tarim in 2030 is likely be 0.60 (TD), 0.62 (EP) and 0.68 (HD), indicating that only in HD scenario is it possible to find pathway to solve water scarcity problem and achieve sustainable ULR. This study provides a supportive idea for decision-making on sustainable ULR in Tarim and also an approach for similar sustainability assessment in other dry areas. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-a83afa1e1db24df68aa78c9979c687f6 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1473-5903 1747-762X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability |
| spelling | doaj-art-a83afa1e1db24df68aa78c9979c687f62025-01-06T14:27:41ZengTaylor & Francis GroupInternational Journal of Agricultural Sustainability1473-59031747-762X2024-12-0122110.1080/14735903.2024.2335140Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, ChinaYifei Song0Weicheng Wu1Yanfei Zhang2Minqiang Zhu3Xinxin Ke4Yuan Li5Yecheng He6Cuimin Zhou7Wenjing Li8Rong Jing9Peixia Song10Linqian Fu11Chunling Mao12Meng Xie13Xiaoping Song14Aiqing Chen15Sicheng Li16Aohui Li17Yingxu Song18Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of ChinaIn the context of global warming and the increasing water shortage in dry areas, it is necessary to find a sustainable pathway for utilization of land resources (ULR) to solve these problems. For this purpose, using socioeconomic and environmental indicators from 2006 to 2018 and taking the Tarim Basin, China as an example, this study employed an integrated approach composed of the indicator evaluation system (IES) and the System Dynamics (SD) model to evaluate the possibility of sustainable ULR in the basin. During the simulation, three scenarios namely traditional development (TD), economic priority (EP) and harmonious development (HD) were designed, and different thresholds were set for each indicator of potential ULR in each sub-region to predict their future development status. The IES was established to derive the sustainable utilization degree (SUD) of ULR. The results show that the SUD in Tarim in 2030 is likely be 0.60 (TD), 0.62 (EP) and 0.68 (HD), indicating that only in HD scenario is it possible to find pathway to solve water scarcity problem and achieve sustainable ULR. This study provides a supportive idea for decision-making on sustainable ULR in Tarim and also an approach for similar sustainability assessment in other dry areas.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2335140System dynamic (SD) modelindicator evaluation system (IES)multi-scenario simulationsustainability of natural resource utilizationsustainable utilization degrees (SUD) |
| spellingShingle | Yifei Song Weicheng Wu Yanfei Zhang Minqiang Zhu Xinxin Ke Yuan Li Yecheng He Cuimin Zhou Wenjing Li Rong Jing Peixia Song Linqian Fu Chunling Mao Meng Xie Xiaoping Song Aiqing Chen Sicheng Li Aohui Li Yingxu Song Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability System dynamic (SD) model indicator evaluation system (IES) multi-scenario simulation sustainability of natural resource utilization sustainable utilization degrees (SUD) |
| title | Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China |
| title_full | Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China |
| title_fullStr | Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China |
| title_short | Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China |
| title_sort | optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization a comprehensive analysis of practices in the tarim basin china |
| topic | System dynamic (SD) model indicator evaluation system (IES) multi-scenario simulation sustainability of natural resource utilization sustainable utilization degrees (SUD) |
| url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2335140 |
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