National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption

Abstract International initiatives, such as the Bonn Challenge, Trillion Tree Campaign, New York Declaration on Forests, and United Nations Decade on Ecosystem Restoration, have set ambitious targets for forest restoration. However, the effectiveness and cost‐efficiency of large‐scale forest restora...

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Main Authors: Jiehao Zhang, Yulong Zhang, Xia Wang, Tiehu He, Huijuan Xia, Kerong Zhang, Quanfa Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-12-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004976
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author Jiehao Zhang
Yulong Zhang
Xia Wang
Tiehu He
Huijuan Xia
Kerong Zhang
Quanfa Zhang
author_facet Jiehao Zhang
Yulong Zhang
Xia Wang
Tiehu He
Huijuan Xia
Kerong Zhang
Quanfa Zhang
author_sort Jiehao Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract International initiatives, such as the Bonn Challenge, Trillion Tree Campaign, New York Declaration on Forests, and United Nations Decade on Ecosystem Restoration, have set ambitious targets for forest restoration. However, the effectiveness and cost‐efficiency of large‐scale forest restoration projects (FRP) in different climatic zones, and the trade‐off between carbon sequestration and water consumption caused by FRP are poorly understood. Here, we conducted a comprehensive examination of 2,778 counties in China, where the world's most ambitious FRP was executed during the past two decades. Results showed that, on average, each square kilometer of FRP yielded an additional 0.6 square kilometers of forests and contributed an extra 1354.9 tC to forest carbon storage, with the aridity index emerging as a key influencer. The actual expenditure incurred per ton of increased forest carbon storage amounted to approximately 118.9 USD in average, with the lowest in Southwest at 50.9 USD. The expansion of forest cover and enhanced biomass storage led to a notable increase in water consumption, and the trade‐off was particularly pronounced in arid regions. Our study provides empirical evidence that FRP is an effective and cost‐efficient climate change mitigation strategy for humid climate zones under current carbon prices. However, FRP is not cost‐efficient in semi‐arid and arid regions. These findings have significant implications for global forest restoration endeavors and formulating sound climate change mitigation policies.
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spelling doaj-art-a8047d12119e462ebb57f9b03bb0aa8b2024-12-24T14:06:58ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772024-12-011212n/an/a10.1029/2024EF004976National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water ConsumptionJiehao Zhang0Yulong Zhang1Xia Wang2Tiehu He3Huijuan Xia4Kerong Zhang5Quanfa Zhang6Key Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology Wuhan Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan ChinaDivision of Earth and Climate Sciences Nicholas School of the Environment Duke University Durham NC USAKey Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology Wuhan Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan ChinaKey Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology Wuhan Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan ChinaKey Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology Wuhan Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan ChinaKey Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology Wuhan Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan ChinaKey Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology Wuhan Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan ChinaAbstract International initiatives, such as the Bonn Challenge, Trillion Tree Campaign, New York Declaration on Forests, and United Nations Decade on Ecosystem Restoration, have set ambitious targets for forest restoration. However, the effectiveness and cost‐efficiency of large‐scale forest restoration projects (FRP) in different climatic zones, and the trade‐off between carbon sequestration and water consumption caused by FRP are poorly understood. Here, we conducted a comprehensive examination of 2,778 counties in China, where the world's most ambitious FRP was executed during the past two decades. Results showed that, on average, each square kilometer of FRP yielded an additional 0.6 square kilometers of forests and contributed an extra 1354.9 tC to forest carbon storage, with the aridity index emerging as a key influencer. The actual expenditure incurred per ton of increased forest carbon storage amounted to approximately 118.9 USD in average, with the lowest in Southwest at 50.9 USD. The expansion of forest cover and enhanced biomass storage led to a notable increase in water consumption, and the trade‐off was particularly pronounced in arid regions. Our study provides empirical evidence that FRP is an effective and cost‐efficient climate change mitigation strategy for humid climate zones under current carbon prices. However, FRP is not cost‐efficient in semi‐arid and arid regions. These findings have significant implications for global forest restoration endeavors and formulating sound climate change mitigation policies.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004976ecosystem restorationclimate change mitigationcarbon sequestrationevapotranspirationwater‐carbon trade‐off
spellingShingle Jiehao Zhang
Yulong Zhang
Xia Wang
Tiehu He
Huijuan Xia
Kerong Zhang
Quanfa Zhang
National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption
Earth's Future
ecosystem restoration
climate change mitigation
carbon sequestration
evapotranspiration
water‐carbon trade‐off
title National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption
title_full National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption
title_fullStr National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption
title_full_unstemmed National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption
title_short National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost‐Efficiency, and Trade‐Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption
title_sort national forest restoration projects in china cost efficiency and trade off between carbon sequestration and water consumption
topic ecosystem restoration
climate change mitigation
carbon sequestration
evapotranspiration
water‐carbon trade‐off
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004976
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