Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community Learning

The real-time prediction of energy production is essential for effective energy management and planning. Forecasts are essential in various areas, including the efficient utilization of energy resources, the provision of energy flexibility services, decision-making amidst uncertainty, the balancing...

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Main Authors: Ferdi Doğan, Saadin Oyucu, Derya Betul Unsal, Ahmet Aksöz, Majid Vafaeipour
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/336
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author Ferdi Doğan
Saadin Oyucu
Derya Betul Unsal
Ahmet Aksöz
Majid Vafaeipour
author_facet Ferdi Doğan
Saadin Oyucu
Derya Betul Unsal
Ahmet Aksöz
Majid Vafaeipour
author_sort Ferdi Doğan
collection DOAJ
description The real-time prediction of energy production is essential for effective energy management and planning. Forecasts are essential in various areas, including the efficient utilization of energy resources, the provision of energy flexibility services, decision-making amidst uncertainty, the balancing of supply and demand, and the optimization of online energy systems. This study examines the use of tree-based ensemble learning models for renewable energy production prediction, focusing on environmental factors such as temperature, pressure, and humidity. The study’s primary contribution lies in demonstrating the effectiveness of the bagged trees model in reducing overfitting and achieving higher accuracy compared to other models, while maintaining computational efficiency. The results indicate that less sophisticated models are inadequate for accurately representing complex datasets. The results evaluate the effectiveness of machine learning methods in delivering valuable insights for energy sectors managing environmental conditions and predicting renewable energy sources
format Article
id doaj-art-a60f9423f5fa48f4beb10651be6cdd2e
institution Kabale University
issn 2076-3417
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Applied Sciences
spelling doaj-art-a60f9423f5fa48f4beb10651be6cdd2e2025-01-10T13:15:12ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172025-01-0115133610.3390/app15010336Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community LearningFerdi Doğan0Saadin Oyucu1Derya Betul Unsal2Ahmet Aksöz3Majid Vafaeipour4Department of Computer Engineering, Adıyaman University, Adiyaman 02040, TürkiyeDepartment of Computer Engineering, Adıyaman University, Adiyaman 02040, TürkiyeDepartment of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Cumhuriyet University, Sivas 58140, TürkiyeMOBILERS Research Team, Sivas Cumhuriyet University, Sivas 58580, TürkiyeElectric Vehicle and Energy Research Group (EVERGI), Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre (MOBI), Department of Electrical Engineering and Energy Technology, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 1050 Brussels, BelgiumThe real-time prediction of energy production is essential for effective energy management and planning. Forecasts are essential in various areas, including the efficient utilization of energy resources, the provision of energy flexibility services, decision-making amidst uncertainty, the balancing of supply and demand, and the optimization of online energy systems. This study examines the use of tree-based ensemble learning models for renewable energy production prediction, focusing on environmental factors such as temperature, pressure, and humidity. The study’s primary contribution lies in demonstrating the effectiveness of the bagged trees model in reducing overfitting and achieving higher accuracy compared to other models, while maintaining computational efficiency. The results indicate that less sophisticated models are inadequate for accurately representing complex datasets. The results evaluate the effectiveness of machine learning methods in delivering valuable insights for energy sectors managing environmental conditions and predicting renewable energy sourceshttps://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/336environmental factorsrenewable energy sourcesmachine learningELdecision tree
spellingShingle Ferdi Doğan
Saadin Oyucu
Derya Betul Unsal
Ahmet Aksöz
Majid Vafaeipour
Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community Learning
Applied Sciences
environmental factors
renewable energy sources
machine learning
EL
decision tree
title Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community Learning
title_full Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community Learning
title_fullStr Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community Learning
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community Learning
title_short Impact of Environmental Conditions on Renewable Energy Prediction: An Investigation Through Tree-Based Community Learning
title_sort impact of environmental conditions on renewable energy prediction an investigation through tree based community learning
topic environmental factors
renewable energy sources
machine learning
EL
decision tree
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/336
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AT deryabetulunsal impactofenvironmentalconditionsonrenewableenergypredictionaninvestigationthroughtreebasedcommunitylearning
AT ahmetaksoz impactofenvironmentalconditionsonrenewableenergypredictionaninvestigationthroughtreebasedcommunitylearning
AT majidvafaeipour impactofenvironmentalconditionsonrenewableenergypredictionaninvestigationthroughtreebasedcommunitylearning