Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM Model

Precipitation is affected by various meteorological factors, leading to low prediction accuracy. To solve this problem, multiple meteorological factors affecting precipitation were considered, and the attention mechanism was used to assign different weights to various meteorological factors. Combine...

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Main Authors: CHENG Yuxiang, XIAO Liying, WANG Pinggen, LIU Xiangzhou, ZHANG Chenhui
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2024-06-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.06.009
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author CHENG Yuxiang
XIAO Liying
WANG Pinggen
LIU Xiangzhou
ZHANG Chenhui
author_facet CHENG Yuxiang
XIAO Liying
WANG Pinggen
LIU Xiangzhou
ZHANG Chenhui
author_sort CHENG Yuxiang
collection DOAJ
description Precipitation is affected by various meteorological factors, leading to low prediction accuracy. To solve this problem, multiple meteorological factors affecting precipitation were considered, and the attention mechanism was used to assign different weights to various meteorological factors. Combined with the bidirectional long short-term memory neural network (BiLSTM), an improved attention-BiLSTM model was proposed to predict monthly precipitation. By taking the Nanchang Meteorological Station in Jiangxi Province as an example, the observation data of monthly precipitation and meteorological factors (temperature, evaporation, pressure, etc.) from 1989 to 2018 were used as input data for the model. The attention mechanism identified the weights of various meteorological factors to improve the prediction performance of the BiLSTM model for precipitation. The results show that the attention-BiLSTM model can effectively improve the accuracy of precipitation prediction. Through the correction of the attention mechanism, the low precipitation prediction values by the original BiLSTM model are significantly improved.
format Article
id doaj-art-a2b27039367a4970a3c087c5b85ec05f
institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
language zho
publishDate 2024-06-01
publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-a2b27039367a4970a3c087c5b85ec05f2025-01-15T03:01:04ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352024-06-0145738162792853Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM ModelCHENG YuxiangXIAO LiyingWANG PinggenLIU XiangzhouZHANG ChenhuiPrecipitation is affected by various meteorological factors, leading to low prediction accuracy. To solve this problem, multiple meteorological factors affecting precipitation were considered, and the attention mechanism was used to assign different weights to various meteorological factors. Combined with the bidirectional long short-term memory neural network (BiLSTM), an improved attention-BiLSTM model was proposed to predict monthly precipitation. By taking the Nanchang Meteorological Station in Jiangxi Province as an example, the observation data of monthly precipitation and meteorological factors (temperature, evaporation, pressure, etc.) from 1989 to 2018 were used as input data for the model. The attention mechanism identified the weights of various meteorological factors to improve the prediction performance of the BiLSTM model for precipitation. The results show that the attention-BiLSTM model can effectively improve the accuracy of precipitation prediction. Through the correction of the attention mechanism, the low precipitation prediction values by the original BiLSTM model are significantly improved.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.06.009monthly precipitationmeteorological factorsattention mechanismBiLSTMprediction performance
spellingShingle CHENG Yuxiang
XIAO Liying
WANG Pinggen
LIU Xiangzhou
ZHANG Chenhui
Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM Model
Renmin Zhujiang
monthly precipitation
meteorological factors
attention mechanism
BiLSTM
prediction performance
title Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM Model
title_full Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM Model
title_fullStr Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM Model
title_full_unstemmed Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM Model
title_short Monthly Precipitation Prediction Based on Attention-BiLSTM Model
title_sort monthly precipitation prediction based on attention bilstm model
topic monthly precipitation
meteorological factors
attention mechanism
BiLSTM
prediction performance
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.06.009
work_keys_str_mv AT chengyuxiang monthlyprecipitationpredictionbasedonattentionbilstmmodel
AT xiaoliying monthlyprecipitationpredictionbasedonattentionbilstmmodel
AT wangpinggen monthlyprecipitationpredictionbasedonattentionbilstmmodel
AT liuxiangzhou monthlyprecipitationpredictionbasedonattentionbilstmmodel
AT zhangchenhui monthlyprecipitationpredictionbasedonattentionbilstmmodel