Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern Hemisphere

Global climate action is urgent, with forest carbon stock critical for mitigating climate change, yet vulnerable to its impacts. However, the long-term dynamics of climate-driven forest carbon stock have not fully been expressed. Here, we introduce the Forest Carbon Stock Accumulated by Single Tree...

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Main Authors: Fang Wu, Junwen Jia, Cheng Li, Yun Cao, Junfang Zhao, Xiaodong Yan, Xuefeng Cui
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-12-01
Series:Ecological Indicators
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24013827
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author Fang Wu
Junwen Jia
Cheng Li
Yun Cao
Junfang Zhao
Xiaodong Yan
Xuefeng Cui
author_facet Fang Wu
Junwen Jia
Cheng Li
Yun Cao
Junfang Zhao
Xiaodong Yan
Xuefeng Cui
author_sort Fang Wu
collection DOAJ
description Global climate action is urgent, with forest carbon stock critical for mitigating climate change, yet vulnerable to its impacts. However, the long-term dynamics of climate-driven forest carbon stock have not fully been expressed. Here, we introduce the Forest Carbon Stock Accumulated by Single Tree growth (FAST) framework and constructed a counterfactual scenario to isolate and quantify the climate-driven changes in forest total carbon stock for 1901–2022. Results show that breakpoints in climate-driven forest carbon stock occurred post-1970 are observed over 62% of the study areas, with Europe experiencing the latest, followed by Asia, and North America the earliest. Furthermore, we observe a prevailing increasing trend in climate-driven forest carbon stock, especially in post-breakpoints period (from 53% to 68%), indicating that climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity in most areas. FAST can be utilized for historical, current and future forest carbon stock estimation, providing scientific support for sustainable forest management decisions.
format Article
id doaj-art-a1b340410a3c4b0ab268c3f4e46b82f4
institution Kabale University
issn 1470-160X
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Ecological Indicators
spelling doaj-art-a1b340410a3c4b0ab268c3f4e46b82f42024-12-16T05:35:34ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2024-12-01169112925Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern HemisphereFang Wu0Junwen Jia1Cheng Li2Yun Cao3Junfang Zhao4Xiaodong Yan5Xuefeng Cui6School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaSchool of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardifz CF10 3AT, United KingdomDepartment of Ecology, School of Plant Protection, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, ChinaNational Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, ChinaFaculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Corresponding authors.State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology (ESPRE), School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, China; Corresponding authors.Global climate action is urgent, with forest carbon stock critical for mitigating climate change, yet vulnerable to its impacts. However, the long-term dynamics of climate-driven forest carbon stock have not fully been expressed. Here, we introduce the Forest Carbon Stock Accumulated by Single Tree growth (FAST) framework and constructed a counterfactual scenario to isolate and quantify the climate-driven changes in forest total carbon stock for 1901–2022. Results show that breakpoints in climate-driven forest carbon stock occurred post-1970 are observed over 62% of the study areas, with Europe experiencing the latest, followed by Asia, and North America the earliest. Furthermore, we observe a prevailing increasing trend in climate-driven forest carbon stock, especially in post-breakpoints period (from 53% to 68%), indicating that climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity in most areas. FAST can be utilized for historical, current and future forest carbon stock estimation, providing scientific support for sustainable forest management decisions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24013827FAST frameworkForestClimate-driven carbon stockLong-termRandom forest
spellingShingle Fang Wu
Junwen Jia
Cheng Li
Yun Cao
Junfang Zhao
Xiaodong Yan
Xuefeng Cui
Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern Hemisphere
Ecological Indicators
FAST framework
Forest
Climate-driven carbon stock
Long-term
Random forest
title Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern Hemisphere
title_full Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern Hemisphere
title_fullStr Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern Hemisphere
title_full_unstemmed Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern Hemisphere
title_short Climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the Northern Hemisphere
title_sort climate changes have alleviated constraints on forest carbon storage capacity since 1970 in most of the northern hemisphere
topic FAST framework
Forest
Climate-driven carbon stock
Long-term
Random forest
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24013827
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AT chengli climatechangeshavealleviatedconstraintsonforestcarbonstoragecapacitysince1970inmostofthenorthernhemisphere
AT yuncao climatechangeshavealleviatedconstraintsonforestcarbonstoragecapacitysince1970inmostofthenorthernhemisphere
AT junfangzhao climatechangeshavealleviatedconstraintsonforestcarbonstoragecapacitysince1970inmostofthenorthernhemisphere
AT xiaodongyan climatechangeshavealleviatedconstraintsonforestcarbonstoragecapacitysince1970inmostofthenorthernhemisphere
AT xuefengcui climatechangeshavealleviatedconstraintsonforestcarbonstoragecapacitysince1970inmostofthenorthernhemisphere