Risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury

Abstract Background Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) has been associated with increased mortality from various cerebrovascular events and a higher incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in certain patient populations. However, the relationship between SHR and the mortality risk in patients with AKI...

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Main Authors: Yue Shi, Hangyu Duan, Jing Liu, Xiujie Shi, Mingming Zhao, Yu Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-04-01
Series:Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13098-025-01675-y
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author Yue Shi
Hangyu Duan
Jing Liu
Xiujie Shi
Mingming Zhao
Yu Zhang
author_facet Yue Shi
Hangyu Duan
Jing Liu
Xiujie Shi
Mingming Zhao
Yu Zhang
author_sort Yue Shi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) has been associated with increased mortality from various cerebrovascular events and a higher incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in certain patient populations. However, the relationship between SHR and the mortality risk in patients with AKI has not been fully elucidated. Our study sought to comprehensively investigate the association and potential mediating effects between SHR and 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients with AKI. Methods 3703 patients with AKI were included in this study. Feature importance variables were screened by a random forest algorithm, and the independent association of SHR with mortality risk was determined by Kaplan ‒ Meier survival analysis with Cox regression analysis. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was conducted to assess the non-linear relationship between SHR and mortality risk. Mediation analysis was deployed to investigate the indirect effect of SHR on respiratory failure (RF) -mediated mortality risk. Results Among the patients with AKI included in this study, the 28-day mortality was 13.6% and the 90-day mortality was 18.7%. Fully adjusted Cox regression demonstrated that SHR was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality (HR, 1.77 [95% CI 1.38–2.27], P < 0.001) and 90-day mortality (HR, 1.69 [95% CI 1.36–2.11], P < 0.001) in patients with AKI. RCS analysis revealed a linear relationship between SHR and outcome events. Additionally, the effect of SHR on 28-day and 90-day mortality risk were mediated by an increased RF risk in 6.62% and 6.54%, respectively. Conclusion High SHR is an independent risk factor for 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients with AKI, and its effect is partly mediated by an increased risk of RF.
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spelling doaj-art-a0d1fb2cc26c4da79dcb29559a11a79c2025-08-20T03:07:43ZengBMCDiabetology & Metabolic Syndrome1758-59962025-04-0117111210.1186/s13098-025-01675-yRisk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injuryYue Shi0Hangyu Duan1Jing Liu2Xiujie Shi3Mingming Zhao4Yu Zhang5Department of Nephrology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical SciencesDepartment of Nephrology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical SciencesDepartment of Nephrology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical SciencesDeparment of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Tsinghua UniversityDepartment of Nephrology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical SciencesDepartment of Nephrology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical SciencesAbstract Background Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) has been associated with increased mortality from various cerebrovascular events and a higher incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in certain patient populations. However, the relationship between SHR and the mortality risk in patients with AKI has not been fully elucidated. Our study sought to comprehensively investigate the association and potential mediating effects between SHR and 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients with AKI. Methods 3703 patients with AKI were included in this study. Feature importance variables were screened by a random forest algorithm, and the independent association of SHR with mortality risk was determined by Kaplan ‒ Meier survival analysis with Cox regression analysis. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was conducted to assess the non-linear relationship between SHR and mortality risk. Mediation analysis was deployed to investigate the indirect effect of SHR on respiratory failure (RF) -mediated mortality risk. Results Among the patients with AKI included in this study, the 28-day mortality was 13.6% and the 90-day mortality was 18.7%. Fully adjusted Cox regression demonstrated that SHR was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality (HR, 1.77 [95% CI 1.38–2.27], P < 0.001) and 90-day mortality (HR, 1.69 [95% CI 1.36–2.11], P < 0.001) in patients with AKI. RCS analysis revealed a linear relationship between SHR and outcome events. Additionally, the effect of SHR on 28-day and 90-day mortality risk were mediated by an increased RF risk in 6.62% and 6.54%, respectively. Conclusion High SHR is an independent risk factor for 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients with AKI, and its effect is partly mediated by an increased risk of RF.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13098-025-01675-yStress hyperglycemia ratioAcute kidney injuryMortalityMIMIC-IVCohort studyMediation analysis
spellingShingle Yue Shi
Hangyu Duan
Jing Liu
Xiujie Shi
Mingming Zhao
Yu Zhang
Risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury
Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome
Stress hyperglycemia ratio
Acute kidney injury
Mortality
MIMIC-IV
Cohort study
Mediation analysis
title Risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury
title_full Risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury
title_fullStr Risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury
title_full_unstemmed Risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury
title_short Risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury
title_sort risk analysis and mediation analysis of stress hyperglycemia ratio and all cause mortality in patients with acute kidney injury
topic Stress hyperglycemia ratio
Acute kidney injury
Mortality
MIMIC-IV
Cohort study
Mediation analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13098-025-01675-y
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