Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector

What are the aggregate consequences of policies that target adopting more efficient technologies in an economy with a large informal sector? Using a heterogeneous agents model with endogenous occupation choice between workers and formal and informal entrepreneurs and calibrated to Mexico, we found t...

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Main Authors: Miguel Mascarúa, Ricardo Montañez-Enríquez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-09-01
Series:Latin American Journal of Central Banking
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666143824000292
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author Miguel Mascarúa
Ricardo Montañez-Enríquez
author_facet Miguel Mascarúa
Ricardo Montañez-Enríquez
author_sort Miguel Mascarúa
collection DOAJ
description What are the aggregate consequences of policies that target adopting more efficient technologies in an economy with a large informal sector? Using a heterogeneous agents model with endogenous occupation choice between workers and formal and informal entrepreneurs and calibrated to Mexico, we found that in economies with a large informal sector, a decrease in the overall tax rate increases by more the adoption of advanced technologies than in economies with a low informal sector. Furthermore, the burden on government revenues is lower in a highly informal economy. In addition, we find that such policies are more efficient than those that target adopting more advanced technologies because they tackle two distortionary problems: the informality rate and the low adoption of advanced technologies. Such policies become relevant, as we estimate that climate change can reduce aggregate production by up to 6.6% in the long-run.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2025-09-01
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series Latin American Journal of Central Banking
spelling doaj-art-a07c84591e5a43d095dc6c8939e24c652025-08-21T04:17:20ZengElsevierLatin American Journal of Central Banking2666-14382025-09-016310014710.1016/j.latcb.2024.100147Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sectorMiguel Mascarúa0Ricardo Montañez-Enríquez1Dirección General de Investigación Económica. Banco de México, MexicoCenter for Latin American Monetary Studies (CEMLA), Mexico; Corresponding author.What are the aggregate consequences of policies that target adopting more efficient technologies in an economy with a large informal sector? Using a heterogeneous agents model with endogenous occupation choice between workers and formal and informal entrepreneurs and calibrated to Mexico, we found that in economies with a large informal sector, a decrease in the overall tax rate increases by more the adoption of advanced technologies than in economies with a low informal sector. Furthermore, the burden on government revenues is lower in a highly informal economy. In addition, we find that such policies are more efficient than those that target adopting more advanced technologies because they tackle two distortionary problems: the informality rate and the low adoption of advanced technologies. Such policies become relevant, as we estimate that climate change can reduce aggregate production by up to 6.6% in the long-run.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666143824000292InformalityHeterogeneous producersTechnology adoptionClimate change
spellingShingle Miguel Mascarúa
Ricardo Montañez-Enríquez
Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
Latin American Journal of Central Banking
Informality
Heterogeneous producers
Technology adoption
Climate change
title Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
title_full Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
title_fullStr Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
title_full_unstemmed Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
title_short Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
title_sort climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
topic Informality
Heterogeneous producers
Technology adoption
Climate change
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666143824000292
work_keys_str_mv AT miguelmascarua climatechangeandtechnologyadoptionwithalargeinformalsector
AT ricardomontanezenriquez climatechangeandtechnologyadoptionwithalargeinformalsector