Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff Prediction

The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) technique is improved by the extremum center cubic spline interpolation. On this basis, the improved EEMD is combined with the nearest neighbor bootstrapping regressive model (NNBR) to obtain an improved EEMD-NNBR coupling model. The improved EEMD can...

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Main Authors: ZHENG Fangfang, WANG Wensheng, ZHANG Lanting
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2021-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.02.001
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author ZHENG Fangfang
WANG Wensheng
ZHANG Lanting
author_facet ZHENG Fangfang
WANG Wensheng
ZHANG Lanting
author_sort ZHENG Fangfang
collection DOAJ
description The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) technique is improved by the extremum center cubic spline interpolation. On this basis, the improved EEMD is combined with the nearest neighbor bootstrapping regressive model (NNBR) to obtain an improved EEMD-NNBR coupling model. The improved EEMD can better fit the upper and lower extreme points, and extend the sequence mean to the two ends of the sequence to reduce the end effect. This paper firstly decomposes the annual runoff series by the improved EEMD to obtain the intrinsic mode function (IMF) and trend term, and then establishes the NNBR for each IMF and trend term to obtain the predicted values of decomposed series, and accumulates the predicted values to get the annual runoff, finally applies the improved EEMD-NNBR coupling model for the annual runoff prediction of Pingshan Station. The results show that compared with the original coupling model, the mean relative error of the improved EEMD-NNBR coupling model have reduced from 10.08% to 8.59%, so the proposed model can improve the accuracy of runoff prediction.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-9db18f2e016443b49541a9fdc5e70a6f2025-01-15T02:29:08ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352021-01-014247647830Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff PredictionZHENG FangfangWANG WenshengZHANG LantingThe ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) technique is improved by the extremum center cubic spline interpolation. On this basis, the improved EEMD is combined with the nearest neighbor bootstrapping regressive model (NNBR) to obtain an improved EEMD-NNBR coupling model. The improved EEMD can better fit the upper and lower extreme points, and extend the sequence mean to the two ends of the sequence to reduce the end effect. This paper firstly decomposes the annual runoff series by the improved EEMD to obtain the intrinsic mode function (IMF) and trend term, and then establishes the NNBR for each IMF and trend term to obtain the predicted values of decomposed series, and accumulates the predicted values to get the annual runoff, finally applies the improved EEMD-NNBR coupling model for the annual runoff prediction of Pingshan Station. The results show that compared with the original coupling model, the mean relative error of the improved EEMD-NNBR coupling model have reduced from 10.08% to 8.59%, so the proposed model can improve the accuracy of runoff prediction.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.02.001EEMDcubic spline interpolationEEMD-NNBR coupling modelannual runoff prediction
spellingShingle ZHENG Fangfang
WANG Wensheng
ZHANG Lanting
Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff Prediction
Renmin Zhujiang
EEMD
cubic spline interpolation
EEMD-NNBR coupling model
annual runoff prediction
title Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff Prediction
title_full Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff Prediction
title_fullStr Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff Prediction
title_short Application of Improved EEMD-NNBR Coupling Model in Annual Runoff Prediction
title_sort application of improved eemd nnbr coupling model in annual runoff prediction
topic EEMD
cubic spline interpolation
EEMD-NNBR coupling model
annual runoff prediction
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.02.001
work_keys_str_mv AT zhengfangfang applicationofimprovedeemdnnbrcouplingmodelinannualrunoffprediction
AT wangwensheng applicationofimprovedeemdnnbrcouplingmodelinannualrunoffprediction
AT zhanglanting applicationofimprovedeemdnnbrcouplingmodelinannualrunoffprediction