Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world study

Background: Everolimus is beneficial for patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2−) advanced breast cancer (ABC). However, some patients developed drug resistance and the well-established predictor for everolimus efficacy was limited. Ob...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yujing Tan, Zexi Peng, Hanfang Jiang, Fei Ma, Jiayu Wang, Pin Zhang, Qing Li, Xinzhu Tian, Yuhang Han, Danyang Ji, Binghe Xu, Weihong Zhao, Ying Fan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2024-11-01
Series:Therapeutic Advances in Medical Oncology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/17588359241292256
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846165996374589440
author Yujing Tan
Zexi Peng
Hanfang Jiang
Fei Ma
Jiayu Wang
Pin Zhang
Qing Li
Xinzhu Tian
Yuhang Han
Danyang Ji
Binghe Xu
Weihong Zhao
Ying Fan
author_facet Yujing Tan
Zexi Peng
Hanfang Jiang
Fei Ma
Jiayu Wang
Pin Zhang
Qing Li
Xinzhu Tian
Yuhang Han
Danyang Ji
Binghe Xu
Weihong Zhao
Ying Fan
author_sort Yujing Tan
collection DOAJ
description Background: Everolimus is beneficial for patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2−) advanced breast cancer (ABC). However, some patients developed drug resistance and the well-established predictor for everolimus efficacy was limited. Objectives: The study was designed to evaluate the efficacy of everolimus in different treatment lines and identify several clinicopathological markers to estimate everolimus efficacy in patients with HR+/HER2− ABC. Design: This was a retrospective and multicenter study. Methods: Between 2014 and 2022, more than 2000 patients with tumors who received everolimus were collected from multiple cancer centers in China (National Cancer Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute). A training cohort and two validation cohorts were developed. Results: The training cohort included 338 patients. The median progression-free survival (PFS) for everolimus was 5.6 months, with an objective response rate of 25.1% and a clinical benefit rate of 54.4%. PFS was significantly worse from first-line (1L) to second-line (2L) to third-line (3L), with PFS 1L for 13.5 months, PFS 2L for 6.1 months, and PFS 3L for 4.1 months ( p  = 2.9e−6, hazard ratio (HR) = 0.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.61–0.82). The clinicopathological characteristics, including post-1L everolimus treatment, Ki67 index of more than 40%, more than two metastatic sites at first recurrence, and receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, were independent risk factors for PFS. A predictive model for everolimus efficacy was established using these four factors. In the low-risk group, patients achieved a median PFS of 12.6 months, significantly longer compared to 2.7 months for those in the high-risk group ( p  = 2.4e−64, HR = 9.41, 95% CI = 7.05–12.56). The area under the curve was 0.96, 0.95, and 0.94 for 6-month, 1-year, and 3-year PFS, respectively. Internal validation cohort (PFS 18.4 vs 3.1 months, p  = 3.6e−11, HR = 3.78, 95% CI = 2.49–5.74) and external validation cohort (PFS 13.5 vs 3.1 months, p  = 2.9e−10, HR = 11.53, 95% CI = 4.68–28.37) confirmed its power for estimating clinical benefits of everolimus. Conclusion: A predictive model was successfully established to predict survival outcomes for everolimus in patients with HR+/HER2− ABC, which may provide references for the management of everolimus in Chinese patients with HR+/HER2− ABC.
format Article
id doaj-art-9cfbdf368e3343baad86b1b62d38deae
institution Kabale University
issn 1758-8359
language English
publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher SAGE Publishing
record_format Article
series Therapeutic Advances in Medical Oncology
spelling doaj-art-9cfbdf368e3343baad86b1b62d38deae2024-11-16T13:03:56ZengSAGE PublishingTherapeutic Advances in Medical Oncology1758-83592024-11-011610.1177/17588359241292256Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world studyYujing TanZexi PengHanfang JiangFei MaJiayu WangPin ZhangQing LiXinzhu TianYuhang HanDanyang JiBinghe XuWeihong ZhaoYing FanBackground: Everolimus is beneficial for patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2−) advanced breast cancer (ABC). However, some patients developed drug resistance and the well-established predictor for everolimus efficacy was limited. Objectives: The study was designed to evaluate the efficacy of everolimus in different treatment lines and identify several clinicopathological markers to estimate everolimus efficacy in patients with HR+/HER2− ABC. Design: This was a retrospective and multicenter study. Methods: Between 2014 and 2022, more than 2000 patients with tumors who received everolimus were collected from multiple cancer centers in China (National Cancer Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute). A training cohort and two validation cohorts were developed. Results: The training cohort included 338 patients. The median progression-free survival (PFS) for everolimus was 5.6 months, with an objective response rate of 25.1% and a clinical benefit rate of 54.4%. PFS was significantly worse from first-line (1L) to second-line (2L) to third-line (3L), with PFS 1L for 13.5 months, PFS 2L for 6.1 months, and PFS 3L for 4.1 months ( p  = 2.9e−6, hazard ratio (HR) = 0.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.61–0.82). The clinicopathological characteristics, including post-1L everolimus treatment, Ki67 index of more than 40%, more than two metastatic sites at first recurrence, and receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, were independent risk factors for PFS. A predictive model for everolimus efficacy was established using these four factors. In the low-risk group, patients achieved a median PFS of 12.6 months, significantly longer compared to 2.7 months for those in the high-risk group ( p  = 2.4e−64, HR = 9.41, 95% CI = 7.05–12.56). The area under the curve was 0.96, 0.95, and 0.94 for 6-month, 1-year, and 3-year PFS, respectively. Internal validation cohort (PFS 18.4 vs 3.1 months, p  = 3.6e−11, HR = 3.78, 95% CI = 2.49–5.74) and external validation cohort (PFS 13.5 vs 3.1 months, p  = 2.9e−10, HR = 11.53, 95% CI = 4.68–28.37) confirmed its power for estimating clinical benefits of everolimus. Conclusion: A predictive model was successfully established to predict survival outcomes for everolimus in patients with HR+/HER2− ABC, which may provide references for the management of everolimus in Chinese patients with HR+/HER2− ABC.https://doi.org/10.1177/17588359241292256
spellingShingle Yujing Tan
Zexi Peng
Hanfang Jiang
Fei Ma
Jiayu Wang
Pin Zhang
Qing Li
Xinzhu Tian
Yuhang Han
Danyang Ji
Binghe Xu
Weihong Zhao
Ying Fan
Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world study
Therapeutic Advances in Medical Oncology
title Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world study
title_full Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world study
title_fullStr Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world study
title_full_unstemmed Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world study
title_short Everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy: a multicenter real-world study
title_sort everolimus treatment in patients with hormone receptor positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative advanced breast cancer and a predictive model for its efficacy a multicenter real world study
url https://doi.org/10.1177/17588359241292256
work_keys_str_mv AT yujingtan everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT zexipeng everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT hanfangjiang everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT feima everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT jiayuwang everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT pinzhang everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT qingli everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT xinzhutian everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT yuhanghan everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT danyangji everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT binghexu everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT weihongzhao everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy
AT yingfan everolimustreatmentinpatientswithhormonereceptorpositiveandhumanepidermalgrowthfactorreceptor2negativeadvancedbreastcancerandapredictivemodelforitsefficacyamulticenterrealworldstudy