The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports

Abstract Raw material criticality has played an important role in geostrategic thinking, especially since the crisis surrounding the price and supply of rare earths at the beginning of the 2010s. However, once dependency and strategic importance grow too strong, substitution efforts will take place...

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Main Authors: Ulrich Blum, Jiarui Zhong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2021-12-01
Series:Intereconomics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-021-1015-4
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author Ulrich Blum
Jiarui Zhong
author_facet Ulrich Blum
Jiarui Zhong
author_sort Ulrich Blum
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Raw material criticality has played an important role in geostrategic thinking, especially since the crisis surrounding the price and supply of rare earths at the beginning of the 2010s. However, once dependency and strategic importance grow too strong, substitution efforts will take place that could reduce or even eradicate the previous criticality. Critical resources rarely become obsolete very quickly. However, this could happen in the case of crude oil because climate policy is forcing defossilisation, but also because artificial scarcity is falling as a result of geostrategic rivalries that are causing oversupply. This article analyses this process and the possible consequences using Saudi Arabia as an example. The development of a green hydrogen industry has potential, but it should not be overestimated in view of the absorption capacity of the economy.
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series Intereconomics
spelling doaj-art-9c63702f8e3e4c6ca88f2d4499ee1b642025-01-17T08:34:14ZengSpringerIntereconomics0020-53461613-964X2021-12-0156636237010.1007/s10272-021-1015-4The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil ExportsUlrich Blum0Jiarui Zhong1Chair for Political Economy, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-WittenbergChair for Political Economy, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-WittenbergAbstract Raw material criticality has played an important role in geostrategic thinking, especially since the crisis surrounding the price and supply of rare earths at the beginning of the 2010s. However, once dependency and strategic importance grow too strong, substitution efforts will take place that could reduce or even eradicate the previous criticality. Critical resources rarely become obsolete very quickly. However, this could happen in the case of crude oil because climate policy is forcing defossilisation, but also because artificial scarcity is falling as a result of geostrategic rivalries that are causing oversupply. This article analyses this process and the possible consequences using Saudi Arabia as an example. The development of a green hydrogen industry has potential, but it should not be overestimated in view of the absorption capacity of the economy.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-021-1015-4
spellingShingle Ulrich Blum
Jiarui Zhong
The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports
Intereconomics
title The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports
title_full The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports
title_fullStr The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports
title_full_unstemmed The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports
title_short The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports
title_sort loss of raw material criticality implications of the collapse of saudi arabian oil exports
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-021-1015-4
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