Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.

<h4>Background</h4>Heart failure (HF) is still associated with quite considerable mortality rates and usage of simple tools for prognosis is pivotal. We aimed to evaluate the effect of shock index (SI) and its derivatives (age SI (ASI), modified SI (MSI), and age MSI (AMSI)) on acute HF...

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Main Authors: Mehrbod Vakhshoori, Niloofar Bondariyan, Sadeq Sabouhi, Mehrnaz Shakarami, Sayed Ali Emami, Sepehr Nemati, Golchehreh Tavakol, Behzad Yavari, Davood Shafie
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Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314528
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author Mehrbod Vakhshoori
Niloofar Bondariyan
Sadeq Sabouhi
Mehrnaz Shakarami
Sayed Ali Emami
Sepehr Nemati
Golchehreh Tavakol
Behzad Yavari
Davood Shafie
author_facet Mehrbod Vakhshoori
Niloofar Bondariyan
Sadeq Sabouhi
Mehrnaz Shakarami
Sayed Ali Emami
Sepehr Nemati
Golchehreh Tavakol
Behzad Yavari
Davood Shafie
author_sort Mehrbod Vakhshoori
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>Heart failure (HF) is still associated with quite considerable mortality rates and usage of simple tools for prognosis is pivotal. We aimed to evaluate the effect of shock index (SI) and its derivatives (age SI (ASI), modified SI (MSI), and age MSI (AMSI)) on acute HF (AHF) clinical outcomes.<h4>Methods</h4>PubMed/Medline, Scopus and Web of science databases were screened with no time and language limitations till February 2024. We recruited relevant records assessed SI, ASI, MSI or AMSI with AHF clinical outcomes.<h4>Results</h4>Eight records were selected (age: 69.44±15.05 years). Mean SI in those records reported mortality (either in-hospital or long-term death) was 0.67 (95% confidence interval (CI):0.63-0.72)). In-hospital and follow-up mortality rates in seven(n = 12955) and three(n = 5253) enrolled records were 6.18% and 10.14% with mean SI of 0.68(95%CI:0.63-0.73) and 0.72(95%CI:0.62-0.81), respectively. Deceased versus survived patients had higher SI difference (0.30, 95%CI:0.06-0.53, P = 0.012). Increased SI was associated with higher chances of in-hospital death (odds ratio (OR): 1.93, 95%CI:1.30-2.85, P = 0.001).The optimal SI cut-off point was found to be 0.79 (sensitivity: 57.6%, specificity: 62.1%). In-hospital mortality based on ASI was 6.12% (mean ASI: 47.49, 95%CI: 44.73-50.25) and significant difference was found between death and alive subgroups (0.48, 95%CI:0.39-0.57, P<0.001). Also, ASI was found to be independent in-hospital mortality predictor (OR: 2.54, 95%CI:2.04-3.16, P<0.001)). The optimal ASI cut-off point was found to be 49.6 (sensitivity: 66.3%, specificity: 58.6%). In terms of MSI (mean: 0.93, 95%CI:0.88-0.98)), significant difference was found specified by death/survival status (0.34, 95%CI:0.05-0.63, P = 0.021). AMSI data synthesis was not possible due to presence of a single record.<h4>Conclusions</h4>SI, ASI, and MSI are practical available tools for AHF prognosis assessment in clinical settings to prioritize high risk patients.
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spelling doaj-art-9bdc3f7a7d5b40759006c89da7de9fc92025-01-08T05:32:56ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-011912e031452810.1371/journal.pone.0314528Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.Mehrbod VakhshooriNiloofar BondariyanSadeq SabouhiMehrnaz ShakaramiSayed Ali EmamiSepehr NematiGolchehreh TavakolBehzad YavariDavood Shafie<h4>Background</h4>Heart failure (HF) is still associated with quite considerable mortality rates and usage of simple tools for prognosis is pivotal. We aimed to evaluate the effect of shock index (SI) and its derivatives (age SI (ASI), modified SI (MSI), and age MSI (AMSI)) on acute HF (AHF) clinical outcomes.<h4>Methods</h4>PubMed/Medline, Scopus and Web of science databases were screened with no time and language limitations till February 2024. We recruited relevant records assessed SI, ASI, MSI or AMSI with AHF clinical outcomes.<h4>Results</h4>Eight records were selected (age: 69.44±15.05 years). Mean SI in those records reported mortality (either in-hospital or long-term death) was 0.67 (95% confidence interval (CI):0.63-0.72)). In-hospital and follow-up mortality rates in seven(n = 12955) and three(n = 5253) enrolled records were 6.18% and 10.14% with mean SI of 0.68(95%CI:0.63-0.73) and 0.72(95%CI:0.62-0.81), respectively. Deceased versus survived patients had higher SI difference (0.30, 95%CI:0.06-0.53, P = 0.012). Increased SI was associated with higher chances of in-hospital death (odds ratio (OR): 1.93, 95%CI:1.30-2.85, P = 0.001).The optimal SI cut-off point was found to be 0.79 (sensitivity: 57.6%, specificity: 62.1%). In-hospital mortality based on ASI was 6.12% (mean ASI: 47.49, 95%CI: 44.73-50.25) and significant difference was found between death and alive subgroups (0.48, 95%CI:0.39-0.57, P<0.001). Also, ASI was found to be independent in-hospital mortality predictor (OR: 2.54, 95%CI:2.04-3.16, P<0.001)). The optimal ASI cut-off point was found to be 49.6 (sensitivity: 66.3%, specificity: 58.6%). In terms of MSI (mean: 0.93, 95%CI:0.88-0.98)), significant difference was found specified by death/survival status (0.34, 95%CI:0.05-0.63, P = 0.021). AMSI data synthesis was not possible due to presence of a single record.<h4>Conclusions</h4>SI, ASI, and MSI are practical available tools for AHF prognosis assessment in clinical settings to prioritize high risk patients.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314528
spellingShingle Mehrbod Vakhshoori
Niloofar Bondariyan
Sadeq Sabouhi
Mehrnaz Shakarami
Sayed Ali Emami
Sepehr Nemati
Golchehreh Tavakol
Behzad Yavari
Davood Shafie
Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.
PLoS ONE
title Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_full Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_fullStr Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_short Impact of shock index (SI), modified SI, and age-derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis; A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_sort impact of shock index si modified si and age derivative indices on acute heart failure prognosis a systematic review and meta analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314528
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