Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence Methods

The coefficient of performance (COP) is a crucial metric for evaluating the efficiency of heat pump systems. Real-time monitoring of heat pump system performance necessitates continuously collecting and processing data from various components utilizing multiple sensors and controllers. This process...

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Main Authors: Minghui Ma, Oguzhan Pektezel, Vincenzo Ballerini, Paolo Valdiserri, Eugenia Rossi di Schio
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/22/5607
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author Minghui Ma
Oguzhan Pektezel
Vincenzo Ballerini
Paolo Valdiserri
Eugenia Rossi di Schio
author_facet Minghui Ma
Oguzhan Pektezel
Vincenzo Ballerini
Paolo Valdiserri
Eugenia Rossi di Schio
author_sort Minghui Ma
collection DOAJ
description The coefficient of performance (COP) is a crucial metric for evaluating the efficiency of heat pump systems. Real-time monitoring of heat pump system performance necessitates continuously collecting and processing data from various components utilizing multiple sensors and controllers. This process is inherently complex and presents significant challenges. In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) models have increasingly been applied in refrigeration, heat pump, and air conditioning systems due to their capability to identify and analyze complex patterns and data relationships, demonstrating higher accuracy and reduced computation time. In this study, multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector machines (SVM), and random forest (RF) are used to develop COP prediction models for solar-assisted heat pumps. By comparing the predictive accuracy and modeling time of the three models built, the results demonstrate that the random forest model achieves the best prediction performance, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.42% and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 4.01% on the train set. On the test set, the MAE was 2.35% and the RMSE was 3.84%. The modeling time for the RF model was 6.57 s.
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id doaj-art-9bcf42fd63c4476da5a55db6a9b3e0f9
institution Kabale University
issn 1996-1073
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publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher MDPI AG
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series Energies
spelling doaj-art-9bcf42fd63c4476da5a55db6a9b3e0f92024-11-26T18:02:01ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732024-11-011722560710.3390/en17225607Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence MethodsMinghui Ma0Oguzhan Pektezel1Vincenzo Ballerini2Paolo Valdiserri3Eugenia Rossi di Schio4Department of Industrial Engineering DIN, Alma Mater Studiorum—University of Bologna, Viale Risorgimento 2, 40136 Bologna, ItalyDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, University of Tokat Gaziosmanpasa, Tokat 60250, TurkeyDepartment of Industrial Engineering DIN, Alma Mater Studiorum—University of Bologna, Viale Risorgimento 2, 40136 Bologna, ItalyDepartment of Industrial Engineering DIN, Alma Mater Studiorum—University of Bologna, Viale Risorgimento 2, 40136 Bologna, ItalyDepartment of Industrial Engineering DIN, Alma Mater Studiorum—University of Bologna, Viale Risorgimento 2, 40136 Bologna, ItalyThe coefficient of performance (COP) is a crucial metric for evaluating the efficiency of heat pump systems. Real-time monitoring of heat pump system performance necessitates continuously collecting and processing data from various components utilizing multiple sensors and controllers. This process is inherently complex and presents significant challenges. In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) models have increasingly been applied in refrigeration, heat pump, and air conditioning systems due to their capability to identify and analyze complex patterns and data relationships, demonstrating higher accuracy and reduced computation time. In this study, multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector machines (SVM), and random forest (RF) are used to develop COP prediction models for solar-assisted heat pumps. By comparing the predictive accuracy and modeling time of the three models built, the results demonstrate that the random forest model achieves the best prediction performance, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.42% and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 4.01% on the train set. On the test set, the MAE was 2.35% and the RMSE was 3.84%. The modeling time for the RF model was 6.57 s.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/22/5607data-driven intelligent algorithmsprediction modelsMLPSVMRFsolar-assisted heat pumps
spellingShingle Minghui Ma
Oguzhan Pektezel
Vincenzo Ballerini
Paolo Valdiserri
Eugenia Rossi di Schio
Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence Methods
Energies
data-driven intelligent algorithms
prediction models
MLP
SVM
RF
solar-assisted heat pumps
title Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence Methods
title_full Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence Methods
title_fullStr Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence Methods
title_full_unstemmed Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence Methods
title_short Performance Predictions of Solar-Assisted Heat Pumps: Methodological Approach and Comparison Between Various Artificial Intelligence Methods
title_sort performance predictions of solar assisted heat pumps methodological approach and comparison between various artificial intelligence methods
topic data-driven intelligent algorithms
prediction models
MLP
SVM
RF
solar-assisted heat pumps
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/22/5607
work_keys_str_mv AT minghuima performancepredictionsofsolarassistedheatpumpsmethodologicalapproachandcomparisonbetweenvariousartificialintelligencemethods
AT oguzhanpektezel performancepredictionsofsolarassistedheatpumpsmethodologicalapproachandcomparisonbetweenvariousartificialintelligencemethods
AT vincenzoballerini performancepredictionsofsolarassistedheatpumpsmethodologicalapproachandcomparisonbetweenvariousartificialintelligencemethods
AT paolovaldiserri performancepredictionsofsolarassistedheatpumpsmethodologicalapproachandcomparisonbetweenvariousartificialintelligencemethods
AT eugeniarossidischio performancepredictionsofsolarassistedheatpumpsmethodologicalapproachandcomparisonbetweenvariousartificialintelligencemethods