Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South Korea

African swine fever (ASF) occurred in Gyeonggi of South Korea in 2019 and there were 21 reported cases in domestic swine farms. South Korea is the one of top countries for pork consumption, and half of the 2.9 million tons of meat consumed in 2022 were pork. Outbreaks from animal products have a sev...

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Main Author: Sungtae Eun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Climate
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2024.1485355/full
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author Sungtae Eun
author_facet Sungtae Eun
author_sort Sungtae Eun
collection DOAJ
description African swine fever (ASF) occurred in Gyeonggi of South Korea in 2019 and there were 21 reported cases in domestic swine farms. South Korea is the one of top countries for pork consumption, and half of the 2.9 million tons of meat consumed in 2022 were pork. Outbreaks from animal products have a severe impact on the shift of diet and the change in dietary patterns of consumers shape climate change. Moreover, animal products account for 18% of worldwide GHG emissions which is more than industry (16%), transportation (13.5%), and energy usage (13%). This study is the first study to analyze the regional impact of animal products associated with climate change in South Korea. The objective of this study is to analyze the regional effect of dietary shifts on per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption in South Korea. Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is employed to analyze the impact of ASF on the change of per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption by shifting the nutritional patterns in South Korea. The dependent variable is per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption, and the type of event is an epizootic disease. The event period is between 2010 and 2021 (pre-intervention: 2010–2018 and post-intervention: 2019–2021). By establishing synthetic Gyeonggi from the optimal synthetic control unit, the trajectories present how dietary shifts have influenced per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption in a positive direction after ASF. ASF caused consumer dietary shifts from pork to other types of meat. This divergence between Gyeonggi and synthetic Gyeonggi indicates that there is an impact influencing per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption after ASF. Performing an SCM analysis with the treated (Gyeonggi) and control (thirteen municipalities) units, the study found that the two trajectory lines (Gyeonggi and synthetic Gyeonggi) were similar before diverging after the introduction of ASF. The gaps also indicate the impact of the shift in dietary patterns on per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption.JEL classificationC31, Q54.
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spelling doaj-art-998bafc7c1f24a4489507b5b7d659d1c2024-12-20T06:29:28ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Climate2624-95532024-12-01610.3389/fclim.2024.14853551485355Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South KoreaSungtae EunAfrican swine fever (ASF) occurred in Gyeonggi of South Korea in 2019 and there were 21 reported cases in domestic swine farms. South Korea is the one of top countries for pork consumption, and half of the 2.9 million tons of meat consumed in 2022 were pork. Outbreaks from animal products have a severe impact on the shift of diet and the change in dietary patterns of consumers shape climate change. Moreover, animal products account for 18% of worldwide GHG emissions which is more than industry (16%), transportation (13.5%), and energy usage (13%). This study is the first study to analyze the regional impact of animal products associated with climate change in South Korea. The objective of this study is to analyze the regional effect of dietary shifts on per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption in South Korea. Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is employed to analyze the impact of ASF on the change of per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption by shifting the nutritional patterns in South Korea. The dependent variable is per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption, and the type of event is an epizootic disease. The event period is between 2010 and 2021 (pre-intervention: 2010–2018 and post-intervention: 2019–2021). By establishing synthetic Gyeonggi from the optimal synthetic control unit, the trajectories present how dietary shifts have influenced per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption in a positive direction after ASF. ASF caused consumer dietary shifts from pork to other types of meat. This divergence between Gyeonggi and synthetic Gyeonggi indicates that there is an impact influencing per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption after ASF. Performing an SCM analysis with the treated (Gyeonggi) and control (thirteen municipalities) units, the study found that the two trajectory lines (Gyeonggi and synthetic Gyeonggi) were similar before diverging after the introduction of ASF. The gaps also indicate the impact of the shift in dietary patterns on per capita CO2 emissions from household consumption.JEL classificationC31, Q54.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2024.1485355/fullAfrican swine fevermeat consumption per capitaper capita CO2 emissionschange of dietary patternssynthetic control method (SCM)
spellingShingle Sungtae Eun
Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South Korea
Frontiers in Climate
African swine fever
meat consumption per capita
per capita CO2 emissions
change of dietary patterns
synthetic control method (SCM)
title Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South Korea
title_full Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South Korea
title_fullStr Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South Korea
title_full_unstemmed Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South Korea
title_short Change of dietary patterns on CO2 emissions under the African swine fever in South Korea
title_sort change of dietary patterns on co2 emissions under the african swine fever in south korea
topic African swine fever
meat consumption per capita
per capita CO2 emissions
change of dietary patterns
synthetic control method (SCM)
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2024.1485355/full
work_keys_str_mv AT sungtaeeun changeofdietarypatternsonco2emissionsundertheafricanswinefeverinsouthkorea