Short‐Term Prediction of the Dst Index and Estimation of Efficient Uncertainty Using a Hybrid Deep Learning Network
Abstract In this study, we developed a novel deep learning model to predict the disturbance storm time (Dst) index 1–4 hr ahead. We also employed the Monte Carlo (MC) dropout technique to estimate the uncertainty and provide the prediction interval by introducing a recalibration factor. The proposed...
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Main Authors: | Ruyao Wang, Jianhui Wang, Tuo Liang, Huixiong Zhang |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Wiley
2024-12-01
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Series: | Space Weather |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW004002 |
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