Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State Estimation

In this paper, an innovative approach based on an artificial neural network (ANN) load forecasting model to improve the distribution system state estimation accuracy is proposed. High-quality pseudomeasurements are produced by a neural model fed with both exogenous and historical load information an...

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Main Authors: S. Carcangiu, A. Fanni, P. A. Pegoraro, G. Sias, S. Sulis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/4281219
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author S. Carcangiu
A. Fanni
P. A. Pegoraro
G. Sias
S. Sulis
author_facet S. Carcangiu
A. Fanni
P. A. Pegoraro
G. Sias
S. Sulis
author_sort S. Carcangiu
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, an innovative approach based on an artificial neural network (ANN) load forecasting model to improve the distribution system state estimation accuracy is proposed. High-quality pseudomeasurements are produced by a neural model fed with both exogenous and historical load information and applied in a realistic measurement scenario. Aggregated active and reactive powers of small or medium enterprises and residential loads are simultaneously predicted by a one-step ahead forecast. The correlation between the forecasted real and reactive power errors is duly kept into account in the definition of the estimator together with the uncertainty of the overall measurement chain. The beneficial effects of the ANN-based pseudomeasurements on the quality of the state estimation are demonstrated by simulations carried out on a small medium-voltage distribution grid.
format Article
id doaj-art-9643c284a56f4c9bbad921d52a092bf3
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-9643c284a56f4c9bbad921d52a092bf32025-02-03T05:53:10ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262020-01-01202010.1155/2020/42812194281219Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State EstimationS. Carcangiu0A. Fanni1P. A. Pegoraro2G. Sias3S. Sulis4DIEE, University of Cagliari, Via Marengo 2, 09123 Cagliari, ItalyDIEE, University of Cagliari, Via Marengo 2, 09123 Cagliari, ItalyDIEE, University of Cagliari, Via Marengo 2, 09123 Cagliari, ItalyDIEE, University of Cagliari, Via Marengo 2, 09123 Cagliari, ItalyDIEE, University of Cagliari, Via Marengo 2, 09123 Cagliari, ItalyIn this paper, an innovative approach based on an artificial neural network (ANN) load forecasting model to improve the distribution system state estimation accuracy is proposed. High-quality pseudomeasurements are produced by a neural model fed with both exogenous and historical load information and applied in a realistic measurement scenario. Aggregated active and reactive powers of small or medium enterprises and residential loads are simultaneously predicted by a one-step ahead forecast. The correlation between the forecasted real and reactive power errors is duly kept into account in the definition of the estimator together with the uncertainty of the overall measurement chain. The beneficial effects of the ANN-based pseudomeasurements on the quality of the state estimation are demonstrated by simulations carried out on a small medium-voltage distribution grid.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/4281219
spellingShingle S. Carcangiu
A. Fanni
P. A. Pegoraro
G. Sias
S. Sulis
Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State Estimation
Complexity
title Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State Estimation
title_full Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State Estimation
title_fullStr Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State Estimation
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State Estimation
title_short Forecasting-Aided Monitoring for the Distribution System State Estimation
title_sort forecasting aided monitoring for the distribution system state estimation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/4281219
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AT afanni forecastingaidedmonitoringforthedistributionsystemstateestimation
AT papegoraro forecastingaidedmonitoringforthedistributionsystemstateestimation
AT gsias forecastingaidedmonitoringforthedistributionsystemstateestimation
AT ssulis forecastingaidedmonitoringforthedistributionsystemstateestimation