Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in Jordan

The study examined three machine learning algorithms (MLAs): random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural networks (ANN) for generating flood susceptibility maps in two watersheds in Jordan. Both were selected because they represent two climatic regimes: desert and mountai...

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Main Authors: Mohanned S. Al-Sheriadeh, Mohammad A. Daqdouq
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2024.2378991
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author Mohanned S. Al-Sheriadeh
Mohammad A. Daqdouq
author_facet Mohanned S. Al-Sheriadeh
Mohammad A. Daqdouq
author_sort Mohanned S. Al-Sheriadeh
collection DOAJ
description The study examined three machine learning algorithms (MLAs): random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural networks (ANN) for generating flood susceptibility maps in two watersheds in Jordan. Both were selected because they represent two climatic regimes: desert and mountainous areas. Because of a shortage of past floods location, a physical model was utilized to generate them based on simulations of 100-year rainfall. 10,000 of them were selected randomly and used for MLAs training and testing. During training, thirteen flood influential factors were identified. Out of them, the distance to stream, elevation, and topographic wetness index have shown an overwhelming effect in Zarqa Ma’in watershed (they gained 50% of IGR), while the distance to stream, stream density, and elevation have an overwhelming effect in Al-Buaida watershed (they gained 44% of IGR). For flood susceptibility mapping, RF outperformed the other two algorithms for both watersheds and was thus selected for susceptibility mapping. The maps were classified into five classes, and 11% of Al-Buaida watershed fell into high to very high classes, while 5.2% of Zarqa Ma’in watershed fell within these classes. In conclusion, MLAs were able to produce susceptibility maps efficiently, and they can form an alternative to physical modeling.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2024-12-01
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spelling doaj-art-93089e96689b4b16b958c71b2566de992024-12-12T18:11:17ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk1947-57051947-57132024-12-0115110.1080/19475705.2024.2378991Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in JordanMohanned S. Al-Sheriadeh0Mohammad A. Daqdouq1Department of Civil Engineering, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, JordanDepartment of Civil Engineering, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, JordanThe study examined three machine learning algorithms (MLAs): random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural networks (ANN) for generating flood susceptibility maps in two watersheds in Jordan. Both were selected because they represent two climatic regimes: desert and mountainous areas. Because of a shortage of past floods location, a physical model was utilized to generate them based on simulations of 100-year rainfall. 10,000 of them were selected randomly and used for MLAs training and testing. During training, thirteen flood influential factors were identified. Out of them, the distance to stream, elevation, and topographic wetness index have shown an overwhelming effect in Zarqa Ma’in watershed (they gained 50% of IGR), while the distance to stream, stream density, and elevation have an overwhelming effect in Al-Buaida watershed (they gained 44% of IGR). For flood susceptibility mapping, RF outperformed the other two algorithms for both watersheds and was thus selected for susceptibility mapping. The maps were classified into five classes, and 11% of Al-Buaida watershed fell into high to very high classes, while 5.2% of Zarqa Ma’in watershed fell within these classes. In conclusion, MLAs were able to produce susceptibility maps efficiently, and they can form an alternative to physical modeling.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2024.2378991Machine learning algorithmsflood susceptibilityrandom forestartificial neural networkssupport vector machine
spellingShingle Mohanned S. Al-Sheriadeh
Mohammad A. Daqdouq
Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in Jordan
Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
Machine learning algorithms
flood susceptibility
random forest
artificial neural networks
support vector machine
title Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in Jordan
title_full Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in Jordan
title_fullStr Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in Jordan
title_full_unstemmed Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in Jordan
title_short Robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in Jordan
title_sort robustness of machine learning algorithms to generate flood susceptibility maps for watersheds in jordan
topic Machine learning algorithms
flood susceptibility
random forest
artificial neural networks
support vector machine
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2024.2378991
work_keys_str_mv AT mohannedsalsheriadeh robustnessofmachinelearningalgorithmstogeneratefloodsusceptibilitymapsforwatershedsinjordan
AT mohammadadaqdouq robustnessofmachinelearningalgorithmstogeneratefloodsusceptibilitymapsforwatershedsinjordan