Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand
There is a climate change adaptation implementation gap. We have information about the likely impacts and implications, but concrete pre-emptive action is elusive. Key to addressing this are alternative planning approaches that enable decision makers to anticipate impacts and design alternate pathwa...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2025-12-01
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| Series: | Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences |
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| Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2025.2451424 |
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| author | Judy Lawrence Shari L. Gallop Lisa Marquardt Rob Bell Paula Blackett Nicholas A. Cradock-Henry Anita Wreford |
| author_facet | Judy Lawrence Shari L. Gallop Lisa Marquardt Rob Bell Paula Blackett Nicholas A. Cradock-Henry Anita Wreford |
| author_sort | Judy Lawrence |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | There is a climate change adaptation implementation gap. We have information about the likely impacts and implications, but concrete pre-emptive action is elusive. Key to addressing this are alternative planning approaches that enable decision makers to anticipate impacts and design alternate pathways depending on how conditions change, in time for adaptation actions to be implemented. Over the last ten years, dynamic adaptive pathways planning (DAPP) has been applied in Aotearoa New Zealand (A-NZ) to assist in such circumstances. Pathways planning has now been applied in diverse decision settings and has motivated the use and development of complementary methods and tools for evaluating adaptation options and pathways. Different governance and engagement models have emerged, tailored with and for different communities. DAPP research and practice in A-NZ has advanced the design of monitoring systems, decision signals and triggers, staging managed retreat over time, and serious games to prime decision makers for dealing with uncertainty. Māori (the Indigenous people of A-NZ) worldviews, knowledge and values have intersected and informed DAPP applications, but significant untapped opportunities exist. This paper presents lessons learned from these applications and further research needed. Opportunities for supporting and extending the DAPP process for adaptation decision making through governance, engagement and indigenous knowledge and values are suggested. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-9157ee0c67bd4739b5ba9da6da841dfb |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1943-815X 1943-8168 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-12-01 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences |
| spelling | doaj-art-9157ee0c67bd4739b5ba9da6da841dfb2025-01-17T06:53:51ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Integrative Environmental Sciences1943-815X1943-81682025-12-0122110.1080/1943815X.2025.2451424Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New ZealandJudy Lawrence0Shari L. Gallop1Lisa Marquardt2Rob Bell3Paula Blackett4Nicholas A. Cradock-Henry5Anita Wreford6Climate Change Research Institute, School of Geography, Environment and Earth Sciences, Te Herenga Waka, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New ZealandCoastal Hazards and Climate Change, Pattle Delamore Partners Ltd, Tauranga and Nelson, New ZealandCoastal Hazards and Climate Change, Pattle Delamore Partners Ltd, Tauranga and Nelson, New ZealandManaging Director, Bell Adapt, Hamilton, New ZealandSocial Science and Economics, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Hamilton, New ZealandEnvironmental Social Science, GNS Science Te Pῡ Ao, Lower Hutt, New ZealandFaculty of Environment, Society and Design, Lincoln University, Lincoln, New ZealandThere is a climate change adaptation implementation gap. We have information about the likely impacts and implications, but concrete pre-emptive action is elusive. Key to addressing this are alternative planning approaches that enable decision makers to anticipate impacts and design alternate pathways depending on how conditions change, in time for adaptation actions to be implemented. Over the last ten years, dynamic adaptive pathways planning (DAPP) has been applied in Aotearoa New Zealand (A-NZ) to assist in such circumstances. Pathways planning has now been applied in diverse decision settings and has motivated the use and development of complementary methods and tools for evaluating adaptation options and pathways. Different governance and engagement models have emerged, tailored with and for different communities. DAPP research and practice in A-NZ has advanced the design of monitoring systems, decision signals and triggers, staging managed retreat over time, and serious games to prime decision makers for dealing with uncertainty. Māori (the Indigenous people of A-NZ) worldviews, knowledge and values have intersected and informed DAPP applications, but significant untapped opportunities exist. This paper presents lessons learned from these applications and further research needed. Opportunities for supporting and extending the DAPP process for adaptation decision making through governance, engagement and indigenous knowledge and values are suggested.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2025.2451424Dynamic adaptive pathways planningclimate change adaptationTe Tiritimātauranga Māorite ao māoridecision making |
| spellingShingle | Judy Lawrence Shari L. Gallop Lisa Marquardt Rob Bell Paula Blackett Nicholas A. Cradock-Henry Anita Wreford Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences Dynamic adaptive pathways planning climate change adaptation Te Tiriti mātauranga Māori te ao māori decision making |
| title | Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand |
| title_full | Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand |
| title_fullStr | Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand |
| title_full_unstemmed | Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand |
| title_short | Dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation: lessons learned from a decade of practice in Aotearoa New Zealand |
| title_sort | dynamic adaptive pathways planning for adaptation lessons learned from a decade of practice in aotearoa new zealand |
| topic | Dynamic adaptive pathways planning climate change adaptation Te Tiriti mātauranga Māori te ao māori decision making |
| url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2025.2451424 |
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