Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry Seasons

Under the influence of climate change and human activities, the saltwater intrusion in the Modaomen Estuary Waterway has intensified significantly,which has greatly threatened the safety of the water supply in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.Based on the daily exceedance time data of...

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Main Authors: HUANG Chunhua, LIN Zhongyuan, ZOU Huazhi, HUANG Pengfei, XU Wei
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2023-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2023.09.005
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author HUANG Chunhua
LIN Zhongyuan
ZOU Huazhi
HUANG Pengfei
XU Wei
author_facet HUANG Chunhua
LIN Zhongyuan
ZOU Huazhi
HUANG Pengfei
XU Wei
author_sort HUANG Chunhua
collection DOAJ
description Under the influence of climate change and human activities, the saltwater intrusion in the Modaomen Estuary Waterway has intensified significantly,which has greatly threatened the safety of the water supply in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.Based on the daily exceedance time data of seven stations in the Modaomen Waterway,daily maximum tidal range,volume of runoff, mean sea level,cross-shore wind,and alongshore wind from 2004 to 2016,empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and univariate and multiple linear regression analysis were carried out to reveal the response relationship between the saltwater intrusion and the impact factors and quantify the contribution of each impact factor.The results show that the maximum contribution to the saltwater intrusion is the tidal range,followed by the volume of runoff, which can explain 30% and 28% of the diurnal variation of the exceedance time, respectively.The contribution of wind to the saltwater intrusion is slightly greater than that of the mean sea level,and the contribution of wind and mean sea level to the saltwater intrusion is 12% and 11%,respectively.The effect of cross-shore wind is slightly greater than that of alongshore wind.The peak of Modaomen saltwater intrusion appears in 3.2 days after the minimum tidal range,and the salinity of Modaomen Waterway is not suppressed until 1.8 days after the increase in the volume of runoff of Gaoyao station.This paper can provide theoretical support for watershed scheduling and saltwater intrusion forecast.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-8fda135ea5344dc5a5b9afa9c52026262025-01-15T02:22:05ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352023-01-014447637688Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry SeasonsHUANG ChunhuaLIN ZhongyuanZOU HuazhiHUANG PengfeiXU WeiUnder the influence of climate change and human activities, the saltwater intrusion in the Modaomen Estuary Waterway has intensified significantly,which has greatly threatened the safety of the water supply in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.Based on the daily exceedance time data of seven stations in the Modaomen Waterway,daily maximum tidal range,volume of runoff, mean sea level,cross-shore wind,and alongshore wind from 2004 to 2016,empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and univariate and multiple linear regression analysis were carried out to reveal the response relationship between the saltwater intrusion and the impact factors and quantify the contribution of each impact factor.The results show that the maximum contribution to the saltwater intrusion is the tidal range,followed by the volume of runoff, which can explain 30% and 28% of the diurnal variation of the exceedance time, respectively.The contribution of wind to the saltwater intrusion is slightly greater than that of the mean sea level,and the contribution of wind and mean sea level to the saltwater intrusion is 12% and 11%,respectively.The effect of cross-shore wind is slightly greater than that of alongshore wind.The peak of Modaomen saltwater intrusion appears in 3.2 days after the minimum tidal range,and the salinity of Modaomen Waterway is not suppressed until 1.8 days after the increase in the volume of runoff of Gaoyao station.This paper can provide theoretical support for watershed scheduling and saltwater intrusion forecast.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2023.09.005saltwater intrusionempirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysisunivariate and multiple linear regressionlag timeModaomen Waterway
spellingShingle HUANG Chunhua
LIN Zhongyuan
ZOU Huazhi
HUANG Pengfei
XU Wei
Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry Seasons
Renmin Zhujiang
saltwater intrusion
empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis
univariate and multiple linear regression
lag time
Modaomen Waterway
title Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry Seasons
title_full Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry Seasons
title_fullStr Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry Seasons
title_full_unstemmed Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry Seasons
title_short Study on Attribution Analysis and Response of Saltwater Intrusion in Modaomen Waterway During Dry Seasons
title_sort study on attribution analysis and response of saltwater intrusion in modaomen waterway during dry seasons
topic saltwater intrusion
empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis
univariate and multiple linear regression
lag time
Modaomen Waterway
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2023.09.005
work_keys_str_mv AT huangchunhua studyonattributionanalysisandresponseofsaltwaterintrusioninmodaomenwaterwayduringdryseasons
AT linzhongyuan studyonattributionanalysisandresponseofsaltwaterintrusioninmodaomenwaterwayduringdryseasons
AT zouhuazhi studyonattributionanalysisandresponseofsaltwaterintrusioninmodaomenwaterwayduringdryseasons
AT huangpengfei studyonattributionanalysisandresponseofsaltwaterintrusioninmodaomenwaterwayduringdryseasons
AT xuwei studyonattributionanalysisandresponseofsaltwaterintrusioninmodaomenwaterwayduringdryseasons