Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture

This paper proposes an estimator for the endogenous switching regression models with fixed effects. The decision to switch from one regime to the other may depend on unobserved factors, which would cause the state, such as being credit constrained, to be endogenous. Our estimator allows for this end...

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Main Authors: Tiemen Woutersen, Katherine Hauck, Shahidur R. Khandker
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-09-01
Series:Econometrics
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/12/4/27
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author Tiemen Woutersen
Katherine Hauck
Shahidur R. Khandker
author_facet Tiemen Woutersen
Katherine Hauck
Shahidur R. Khandker
author_sort Tiemen Woutersen
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes an estimator for the endogenous switching regression models with fixed effects. The decision to switch from one regime to the other may depend on unobserved factors, which would cause the state, such as being credit constrained, to be endogenous. Our estimator allows for this endogenous selection and for conditional heteroscedasticity in the outcome equation. Applying our estimator to a dataset on the productivity in agriculture substantially changes the conclusions compared to earlier analysis of the same dataset. Intuitively, the reason that our estimate of the impact of switching between states is smaller than previously estimated is that we captured the selection issue: switching between being credit constrained and credit unconstrained may be endogenous to farm production. In particular, we find that being credit constant has the substantial effect of reducing yield by 11%, but not the previously estimated very dramatic effect of reducing yield by 26%.
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series Econometrics
spelling doaj-art-8c5411071d5f4e94bc9779379614c7c52024-12-27T14:22:11ZengMDPI AGEconometrics2225-11462024-09-011242710.3390/econometrics12040027Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian AgricultureTiemen Woutersen0Katherine Hauck1Shahidur R. Khandker2Department of Economics, Eller College of Management, University of Arizona, P.O. Box 210108, Tucson, AZ 85721, USADepartment of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California at Davis, Davis, CA 95616, USAWorld Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USAThis paper proposes an estimator for the endogenous switching regression models with fixed effects. The decision to switch from one regime to the other may depend on unobserved factors, which would cause the state, such as being credit constrained, to be endogenous. Our estimator allows for this endogenous selection and for conditional heteroscedasticity in the outcome equation. Applying our estimator to a dataset on the productivity in agriculture substantially changes the conclusions compared to earlier analysis of the same dataset. Intuitively, the reason that our estimate of the impact of switching between states is smaller than previously estimated is that we captured the selection issue: switching between being credit constrained and credit unconstrained may be endogenous to farm production. In particular, we find that being credit constant has the substantial effect of reducing yield by 11%, but not the previously estimated very dramatic effect of reducing yield by 26%.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/12/4/27endogenous switching regression modelscredit constraints
spellingShingle Tiemen Woutersen
Katherine Hauck
Shahidur R. Khandker
Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture
Econometrics
endogenous switching regression models
credit constraints
title Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture
title_full Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture
title_fullStr Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture
title_short Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture
title_sort estimating the effects of credit constraints on productivity of peruvian agriculture
topic endogenous switching regression models
credit constraints
url https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/12/4/27
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