Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study

This article focused on the relationship between the influence of climatic variables and seismic activity in the dynamics of slopes that presented mass removal phenomena in the case study: Tunja-Páez Corridor. This analysis was carried out through the application of a probabilistic model that integ...

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Main Authors: July Katerine Rojas-Mesa, Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto, Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad Nacional de Colombia 2024-11-01
Series:Dyna
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/114941
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author July Katerine Rojas-Mesa
Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto
Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez
author_facet July Katerine Rojas-Mesa
Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto
Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez
author_sort July Katerine Rojas-Mesa
collection DOAJ
description This article focused on the relationship between the influence of climatic variables and seismic activity in the dynamics of slopes that presented mass removal phenomena in the case study: Tunja-Páez Corridor. This analysis was carried out through the application of a probabilistic model that integrated parameters of soil resistance, seismic activity, and accumulated precipitation to establish the definition of rainfall thresholds obtained from the rainfall records preceding each of the removal events. This model used first order, second moment FOSM, and the Poisson distribution of probabilistic foundations to estimate the probability of failure of given slope. Additionally, the change in precipitation in the years 2040, 2070, and 2100 as defined by forecasts of Climate Change (CC) according to IDEAM were used to compare the effects on the probability of soil saturation.
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publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher Universidad Nacional de Colombia
record_format Article
series Dyna
spelling doaj-art-8a74f957cf704e1b9a207ad9bb09e8c72025-01-17T17:09:49ZengUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaDyna0012-73532346-21832024-11-019123410.15446/dyna.v91n234.114941Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case studyJuly Katerine Rojas-Mesa0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0779-3843Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto 1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3316-3768Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez 2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7343-5791Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, ColombiaFacultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, ColombiaFacultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, Colombia This article focused on the relationship between the influence of climatic variables and seismic activity in the dynamics of slopes that presented mass removal phenomena in the case study: Tunja-Páez Corridor. This analysis was carried out through the application of a probabilistic model that integrated parameters of soil resistance, seismic activity, and accumulated precipitation to establish the definition of rainfall thresholds obtained from the rainfall records preceding each of the removal events. This model used first order, second moment FOSM, and the Poisson distribution of probabilistic foundations to estimate the probability of failure of given slope. Additionally, the change in precipitation in the years 2040, 2070, and 2100 as defined by forecasts of Climate Change (CC) according to IDEAM were used to compare the effects on the probability of soil saturation. https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/114941climate variabilitymass removalprecipitationseismic activityroad infrastructure
spellingShingle July Katerine Rojas-Mesa
Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto
Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez
Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study
Dyna
climate variability
mass removal
precipitation
seismic activity
road infrastructure
title Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study
title_full Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study
title_fullStr Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study
title_full_unstemmed Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study
title_short Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study
title_sort relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes tunja paez case study
topic climate variability
mass removal
precipitation
seismic activity
road infrastructure
url https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/114941
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