Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study
This article focused on the relationship between the influence of climatic variables and seismic activity in the dynamics of slopes that presented mass removal phenomena in the case study: Tunja-Páez Corridor. This analysis was carried out through the application of a probabilistic model that integ...
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia
2024-11-01
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Series: | Dyna |
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Online Access: | https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/114941 |
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author | July Katerine Rojas-Mesa Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez |
author_facet | July Katerine Rojas-Mesa Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez |
author_sort | July Katerine Rojas-Mesa |
collection | DOAJ |
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This article focused on the relationship between the influence of climatic variables and seismic activity in the dynamics of slopes that presented mass removal phenomena in the case study: Tunja-Páez Corridor. This analysis was carried out through the application of a probabilistic model that integrated parameters of soil resistance, seismic activity, and accumulated precipitation to establish the definition of rainfall thresholds obtained from the rainfall records preceding each of the removal events. This model used first order, second moment FOSM, and the Poisson distribution of probabilistic foundations to estimate the probability of failure of given slope. Additionally, the change in precipitation in the years 2040, 2070, and 2100 as defined by forecasts of Climate Change (CC) according to IDEAM were used to compare the effects on the probability of soil saturation.
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format | Article |
id | doaj-art-8a74f957cf704e1b9a207ad9bb09e8c7 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 0012-7353 2346-2183 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-11-01 |
publisher | Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
record_format | Article |
series | Dyna |
spelling | doaj-art-8a74f957cf704e1b9a207ad9bb09e8c72025-01-17T17:09:49ZengUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaDyna0012-73532346-21832024-11-019123410.15446/dyna.v91n234.114941Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case studyJuly Katerine Rojas-Mesa0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0779-3843Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto 1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3316-3768Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez 2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7343-5791Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, ColombiaFacultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, ColombiaFacultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, Colombia This article focused on the relationship between the influence of climatic variables and seismic activity in the dynamics of slopes that presented mass removal phenomena in the case study: Tunja-Páez Corridor. This analysis was carried out through the application of a probabilistic model that integrated parameters of soil resistance, seismic activity, and accumulated precipitation to establish the definition of rainfall thresholds obtained from the rainfall records preceding each of the removal events. This model used first order, second moment FOSM, and the Poisson distribution of probabilistic foundations to estimate the probability of failure of given slope. Additionally, the change in precipitation in the years 2040, 2070, and 2100 as defined by forecasts of Climate Change (CC) according to IDEAM were used to compare the effects on the probability of soil saturation. https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/114941climate variabilitymass removalprecipitationseismic activityroad infrastructure |
spellingShingle | July Katerine Rojas-Mesa Luis Carlos Leguizamón-Barreto Luis Alfredo Vega-Báez Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study Dyna climate variability mass removal precipitation seismic activity road infrastructure |
title | Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study |
title_full | Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study |
title_fullStr | Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study |
title_full_unstemmed | Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study |
title_short | Relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes. Tunja-Páez case study |
title_sort | relationship between climate variability and mass removal processes tunja paez case study |
topic | climate variability mass removal precipitation seismic activity road infrastructure |
url | https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/114941 |
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