ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE-RELATED RISK AND MAIZE PRODUCTION IN SOUTHWEST, NIGERIA

One of the consequences of climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa is that farmers would be more exposed to production risk. Therefore, it is imperative to analyse the climate-related risk and maize production in Southwest, Nigeria. Secondary data between 1981 and 2012 were collected on relevant variab...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Lawrence Olusola OPARINDE, Emmanuel Chilekwu OKOGBUE
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Agricultural Sciences and Veterinary Medicine, Bucharest 2018-01-01
Series:Scientific Papers Series : Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and Rural Development
Online Access:https://managementjournal.usamv.ro/pdf/vol.18_1/Art38.pdf
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Summary:One of the consequences of climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa is that farmers would be more exposed to production risk. Therefore, it is imperative to analyse the climate-related risk and maize production in Southwest, Nigeria. Secondary data between 1981 and 2012 were collected on relevant variables and analysed using Growth Function, Co-integration Model (Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach) and J-P Model. The results confirmed the presence of long-run equilibrium between maize production and temperature, rainfall and relative humidity. The Error Correction Model (ECM) value was -0.0238 for the enterprise. The results of the analysis on the climate-related risk indicated that temperature increased the production risk of maize farmers. It can be concluded that farmers face climate-related risk as temperature increased the production risk of maize farmers. Therefore, stakeholders should create more awareness on the need to always practice eco-friendly activities and put in place coping strategies against the menace of climate change.
ISSN:2284-7995
2285-3952