Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling

Abstract Herbivorous insects occasionally produce population outbreaks that can alter the availability of food resources for other animals and cause economical losses. In the Patagonian steppe, wetlands are important ecosystems due to their environmental and ecological functions. Within these ecosys...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Laura Soledad Serrano, Ana Laura Pietrantuono, María Fabiana Laguna, Mariana Weigandt, María Emilia Amadio, Valeria Fernández-Arhex
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83959-3
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1841559607162437632
author Laura Soledad Serrano
Ana Laura Pietrantuono
María Fabiana Laguna
Mariana Weigandt
María Emilia Amadio
Valeria Fernández-Arhex
author_facet Laura Soledad Serrano
Ana Laura Pietrantuono
María Fabiana Laguna
Mariana Weigandt
María Emilia Amadio
Valeria Fernández-Arhex
author_sort Laura Soledad Serrano
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Herbivorous insects occasionally produce population outbreaks that can alter the availability of food resources for other animals and cause economical losses. In the Patagonian steppe, wetlands are important ecosystems due to their environmental and ecological functions. Within these ecosystems, there is a wide diversity of phytophagous insects, among which two species of orthoptera are predominant: Dichroplus elongatus (usually considered a pest) and D. vittigerum. These species are native to Argentina and commonly feed on grasses and herbaceous plants present in wetlands and crops. To evaluate the consequences of grasshopper population outbreaks on wetlands, we conducted an interdisciplinary study that included field and laboratory experiments, along with the development of a mathematical model. We determined the plant cover of the most representative species included in the diet of grasshoppers in a specific Patagonian wetland and performed feeding experiments to determine their consumption rate and preferences. We employed this information to develop a spatially explicit stochastic model based on individuals. This model demonstrates that the potential impact of these species depends on both their densities and the wetland’s vegetal biomass. Our results enabled us to define pest thresholds for various realistic scenarios. Conducting such studies is crucial for developing early warning strategies and promoting the conservation and management of natural environments.
format Article
id doaj-art-888ac4da8d7b4f05b54290a860a5022c
institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj-art-888ac4da8d7b4f05b54290a860a5022c2025-01-05T12:22:11ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-0115111510.1038/s41598-024-83959-3Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modellingLaura Soledad Serrano0Ana Laura Pietrantuono1María Fabiana Laguna2Mariana Weigandt3María Emilia Amadio4Valeria Fernández-Arhex5IFAB (CONICET-INTA), EEA BarilocheIFAB (CONICET-INTA), EEA BarilocheStatistical and Interdisciplinary Physics Group, Centro Atómico Bariloche and CONICET (R8402AGP)IFAB (CONICET-INTA), EEA BarilocheUniversidad Nacional de Córdoba (UNC)IFAB (CONICET-INTA), EEA BarilocheAbstract Herbivorous insects occasionally produce population outbreaks that can alter the availability of food resources for other animals and cause economical losses. In the Patagonian steppe, wetlands are important ecosystems due to their environmental and ecological functions. Within these ecosystems, there is a wide diversity of phytophagous insects, among which two species of orthoptera are predominant: Dichroplus elongatus (usually considered a pest) and D. vittigerum. These species are native to Argentina and commonly feed on grasses and herbaceous plants present in wetlands and crops. To evaluate the consequences of grasshopper population outbreaks on wetlands, we conducted an interdisciplinary study that included field and laboratory experiments, along with the development of a mathematical model. We determined the plant cover of the most representative species included in the diet of grasshoppers in a specific Patagonian wetland and performed feeding experiments to determine their consumption rate and preferences. We employed this information to develop a spatially explicit stochastic model based on individuals. This model demonstrates that the potential impact of these species depends on both their densities and the wetland’s vegetal biomass. Our results enabled us to define pest thresholds for various realistic scenarios. Conducting such studies is crucial for developing early warning strategies and promoting the conservation and management of natural environments.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83959-3Acrididae pestsDichoroplus sp.Insect herbivorySpatially explicit individual based model
spellingShingle Laura Soledad Serrano
Ana Laura Pietrantuono
María Fabiana Laguna
Mariana Weigandt
María Emilia Amadio
Valeria Fernández-Arhex
Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling
Scientific Reports
Acrididae pests
Dichoroplus sp.
Insect herbivory
Spatially explicit individual based model
title Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling
title_full Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling
title_fullStr Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling
title_short Assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on Patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling
title_sort assessing the potential impact of grasshopper outbreaks on patagonian wetlands through mathematical modelling
topic Acrididae pests
Dichoroplus sp.
Insect herbivory
Spatially explicit individual based model
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83959-3
work_keys_str_mv AT laurasoledadserrano assessingthepotentialimpactofgrasshopperoutbreaksonpatagonianwetlandsthroughmathematicalmodelling
AT analaurapietrantuono assessingthepotentialimpactofgrasshopperoutbreaksonpatagonianwetlandsthroughmathematicalmodelling
AT mariafabianalaguna assessingthepotentialimpactofgrasshopperoutbreaksonpatagonianwetlandsthroughmathematicalmodelling
AT marianaweigandt assessingthepotentialimpactofgrasshopperoutbreaksonpatagonianwetlandsthroughmathematicalmodelling
AT mariaemiliaamadio assessingthepotentialimpactofgrasshopperoutbreaksonpatagonianwetlandsthroughmathematicalmodelling
AT valeriafernandezarhex assessingthepotentialimpactofgrasshopperoutbreaksonpatagonianwetlandsthroughmathematicalmodelling