Projected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice caps
Rapid global warming has caused drastic mass loss in Greenland’s peripheral glaciers and ice caps (GICs), contributing to a rise of global sea levels. To better understand future changes under different emission scenarios, we used the Open Global Glacier Model to simulate glacier dynamics and runoff...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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IOP Publishing
2024-01-01
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| Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad8b5f |
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| author | Limin Kang Minghu Ding Yuzhe Wang Weijun Sun Lei Wang Hongmin An Qinglin Zhang Jiahang Che Baojuan Huai |
| author_facet | Limin Kang Minghu Ding Yuzhe Wang Weijun Sun Lei Wang Hongmin An Qinglin Zhang Jiahang Che Baojuan Huai |
| author_sort | Limin Kang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Rapid global warming has caused drastic mass loss in Greenland’s peripheral glaciers and ice caps (GICs), contributing to a rise of global sea levels. To better understand future changes under different emission scenarios, we used the Open Global Glacier Model to simulate glacier dynamics and runoff changes from 2015 to 2100. The results show that their area and volume will decrease by 38.88% (SSP1-2.6) to 60.84% (SSP5-8.5) and 47.56% (SSP1-2.6) to 67.10% (SSP5-8.5) by 2100, with regions that have larger glacierized areas and are farther from the ocean experiencing less volume loss. Meanwhile, the predicted surface mass balance of Greenland’s peripheral GICs in 2100 is −0.58 ± 0.92, −1.18 ± 1.13, −2.04 ± 0.79 and −3.16 ± 0.96 m w.e. a ^−1 under four emission scenarios. The runoff under higher emission scenarios is larger than that under lower emission scenarios, with peak water occurring later in regions that have larger glacierized areas and are farther from the ocean. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-87bbf832d6ac4dacbb7cad6565f5bcdb |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1748-9326 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj-art-87bbf832d6ac4dacbb7cad6565f5bcdb2024-11-12T15:16:08ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262024-01-01191212404110.1088/1748-9326/ad8b5fProjected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice capsLimin Kang0https://orcid.org/0009-0000-7167-801XMinghu Ding1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1142-6598Yuzhe Wang2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3564-6787Weijun Sun3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6386-8937Lei Wang4https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4742-7127Hongmin An5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3412-295XQinglin Zhang6https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8048-951XJiahang Che7https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1698-5679Baojuan Huai8https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1415-8234College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University , Jinan 250358, People’s Republic of ChinaState Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences , Beijing 100081, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University , Jinan 250358, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University , Jinan 250358, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University , Jinan 250358, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University , Jinan 250358, People’s Republic of ChinaState Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences , Beijing 100081, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University , Jinan 250358, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University , Jinan 250358, People’s Republic of ChinaRapid global warming has caused drastic mass loss in Greenland’s peripheral glaciers and ice caps (GICs), contributing to a rise of global sea levels. To better understand future changes under different emission scenarios, we used the Open Global Glacier Model to simulate glacier dynamics and runoff changes from 2015 to 2100. The results show that their area and volume will decrease by 38.88% (SSP1-2.6) to 60.84% (SSP5-8.5) and 47.56% (SSP1-2.6) to 67.10% (SSP5-8.5) by 2100, with regions that have larger glacierized areas and are farther from the ocean experiencing less volume loss. Meanwhile, the predicted surface mass balance of Greenland’s peripheral GICs in 2100 is −0.58 ± 0.92, −1.18 ± 1.13, −2.04 ± 0.79 and −3.16 ± 0.96 m w.e. a ^−1 under four emission scenarios. The runoff under higher emission scenarios is larger than that under lower emission scenarios, with peak water occurring later in regions that have larger glacierized areas and are farther from the ocean.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad8b5fGreenlandGICsOGGMCMIP6projections |
| spellingShingle | Limin Kang Minghu Ding Yuzhe Wang Weijun Sun Lei Wang Hongmin An Qinglin Zhang Jiahang Che Baojuan Huai Projected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice caps Environmental Research Letters Greenland GICs OGGM CMIP6 projections |
| title | Projected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice caps |
| title_full | Projected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice caps |
| title_fullStr | Projected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice caps |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice caps |
| title_short | Projected changes of Greenland’s periphery glaciers and ice caps |
| title_sort | projected changes of greenland s periphery glaciers and ice caps |
| topic | Greenland GICs OGGM CMIP6 projections |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad8b5f |
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