Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change Mitigation

As the world’s second-largest carbon storehouse after oceans, forests mitigate global warming and its associated climate change challenges. Hence, forest conservation efforts such as reforestation are crucial in maintaining this vital ecological service. Current approaches to large-scale...

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Main Authors: Amna Faisal, Rafia Mumtaz, Muhammad Deedahwar Mazhar Qureshi, Muhammad Ali Tahir, N. Z. Jhanjhi, Mehedi Masud, Mohammad Shorfuzzaman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2024-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10772469/
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author Amna Faisal
Rafia Mumtaz
Muhammad Deedahwar Mazhar Qureshi
Muhammad Ali Tahir
N. Z. Jhanjhi
Mehedi Masud
Mohammad Shorfuzzaman
author_facet Amna Faisal
Rafia Mumtaz
Muhammad Deedahwar Mazhar Qureshi
Muhammad Ali Tahir
N. Z. Jhanjhi
Mehedi Masud
Mohammad Shorfuzzaman
author_sort Amna Faisal
collection DOAJ
description As the world’s second-largest carbon storehouse after oceans, forests mitigate global warming and its associated climate change challenges. Hence, forest conservation efforts such as reforestation are crucial in maintaining this vital ecological service. Current approaches to large-scale reforestation include considering factors like soil quality, climate, topography, and land-use history to narrow areas for reforestation. However, these methods often struggle to efficiently identify suitable land across vast and diverse landscapes, leading to suboptimal outcomes. Despite the promise of modern techniques like Geographic Information Systems (GIS), remote sensing, and spatial modeling for optimizing reforestation success and ecological benefits, their large-scale implementation for selecting suitable land remains limited. This paper proposes a novel technique using unsupervised machine learning and remotely sensed satellite data to assess reforestation potential across vast and diverse landscapes. The approach utilizes K-means clustering and Gaussian Mixture Models to group regions based on their indexes. Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) is used to measure water availability; Laterite, Biotite, and Gossan indexes are used for mineral content, and the Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI) and Urbanization Index (UI) are used to measure urbanization of a region. By analyzing the variation in vegetation within these clusters, the model identifies areas with high potential for future forestation. Our proposed model achieved an accuracy of 92% compared to a validation data set obtained from the Conservator of Forests for the Rawalpindi district. The presented approach can potentially optimize reforestation efforts and maximize their impact on climate change mitigation, leading to benefits such as increased carbon sequestration in countries like Pakistan with limited forest cover.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2169-3536
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher IEEE
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series IEEE Access
spelling doaj-art-830d531b0e1444a68cb92f4e4d5ef9232024-12-20T00:00:54ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362024-01-011219037519038810.1109/ACCESS.2024.351056510772469Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change MitigationAmna Faisal0https://orcid.org/0009-0007-2123-1149Rafia Mumtaz1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0966-3957Muhammad Deedahwar Mazhar Qureshi2Muhammad Ali Tahir3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2335-2776N. Z. Jhanjhi4https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8116-4733Mehedi Masud5https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6019-7245Mohammad Shorfuzzaman6https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8050-8431School of Computer Science, Taylor’s University, Subang Jaya, Selangor, MalaysiaSchool of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (SEECS), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Punjab, PakistanSchool of Business Technology, Retail, and Supply Chain, TU Dublin, Dublin 2, IrelandSchool of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (SEECS), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Punjab, PakistanSchool of Computer Science, Taylor’s University, Subang Jaya, Selangor, MalaysiaDepartment of Computer Science, College of Computers and Information Technology, Taif University, Taif, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Computer Science, College of Computers and Information Technology, Taif University, Taif, Saudi ArabiaAs the world’s second-largest carbon storehouse after oceans, forests mitigate global warming and its associated climate change challenges. Hence, forest conservation efforts such as reforestation are crucial in maintaining this vital ecological service. Current approaches to large-scale reforestation include considering factors like soil quality, climate, topography, and land-use history to narrow areas for reforestation. However, these methods often struggle to efficiently identify suitable land across vast and diverse landscapes, leading to suboptimal outcomes. Despite the promise of modern techniques like Geographic Information Systems (GIS), remote sensing, and spatial modeling for optimizing reforestation success and ecological benefits, their large-scale implementation for selecting suitable land remains limited. This paper proposes a novel technique using unsupervised machine learning and remotely sensed satellite data to assess reforestation potential across vast and diverse landscapes. The approach utilizes K-means clustering and Gaussian Mixture Models to group regions based on their indexes. Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) is used to measure water availability; Laterite, Biotite, and Gossan indexes are used for mineral content, and the Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI) and Urbanization Index (UI) are used to measure urbanization of a region. By analyzing the variation in vegetation within these clusters, the model identifies areas with high potential for future forestation. Our proposed model achieved an accuracy of 92% compared to a validation data set obtained from the Conservator of Forests for the Rawalpindi district. The presented approach can potentially optimize reforestation efforts and maximize their impact on climate change mitigation, leading to benefits such as increased carbon sequestration in countries like Pakistan with limited forest cover.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10772469/Remote sensingunsupervised learningsentinel-2reforestationclimate change mitigation
spellingShingle Amna Faisal
Rafia Mumtaz
Muhammad Deedahwar Mazhar Qureshi
Muhammad Ali Tahir
N. Z. Jhanjhi
Mehedi Masud
Mohammad Shorfuzzaman
Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change Mitigation
IEEE Access
Remote sensing
unsupervised learning
sentinel-2
reforestation
climate change mitigation
title Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change Mitigation
title_full Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change Mitigation
title_fullStr Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change Mitigation
title_full_unstemmed Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change Mitigation
title_short Data-Driven Spatial Analysis of Reforestation in Pakistan: Identifying Optimal Locations for Sustainable Forest Growth and Climate Change Mitigation
title_sort data driven spatial analysis of reforestation in pakistan identifying optimal locations for sustainable forest growth and climate change mitigation
topic Remote sensing
unsupervised learning
sentinel-2
reforestation
climate change mitigation
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10772469/
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